The Cellar  

Go Back   The Cellar > Main > Sports
FAQ Community Calendar Today's Posts Search

Sports My tribe can beat up your tribe

Closed Thread
 
Thread Tools Display Modes
Old 12-14-2009, 01:19 AM   #1
W.HI.P
Free
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
Quote:
Originally Posted by xxxshowxxx View Post
Whips got a great method of betting here its all about the base teams winning and if you can pick to winning spreads in a week which is really easy then your making money easy easy money !
thanks there xxxshowxxx ,as i've said before, this thread is not so much about what to bet on, but how to bet.

i see you've done pretty well this week... 4 out of 4

Quote:
1] Green Bay [-3.0] vs Chicago
2]San Diego vs Dallas[-3]
3]NYJ -3 vs TB
4]new york giants vs philadelphia eagles[-1.5]
5]san fransisco 49ers vs arizona cardinals[-3.5]

10 bets x $300 = $3.000

123
124
125
134
135
145
234
235
245
345
well, you're already cashing in on $8.400.
with a chance to make it $21.000 if arizona beats the spread...not bad , not bad at all.
__________________
pls stfu k thx
W.HI.P is offline  
Old 12-14-2009, 05:51 PM   #2
W.HI.P
Free
 
Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
just so people get the true idea of what this sytem is, i'll go into further detail.

most people, make one straight bet on 3-6 games.
this would require them to win 100 percent of their games to cash in.
if we look at our accomplishments over the past 3 years in this thread, we will see that the majority of time, while picking 5 games, we get [3 out of 5] or [4 out of 5] correct.
if we were to have wagered these weeks the way the majority of people gamble, we would have zero returns on these weeks.

what this system provides is, instead of winning nothing on weeks where you go [3 out of 5] or [4 out of 5], you collect almost all of your money back while going [3 out of 5], and almost tripling your money while going [4 out of 5].

in a 3 week span, if you can achieve [4 out of 5] in 1 of those weeks, you will be in a positive $ net.

the only negative aspect of this defencive system of wagering, is that should a week come around where you achieve [5 out of 5] your return is less than it would be than if you had bet the way most people bet.
lets use xxxshowxxx's week for example.
he's gone 4 out of 4 with 1 game left.

what position would you rather be in.
having wagered $3.000

would you rather have $8.400 already won and $21.000 sitting on arizona -3.5?

or would you chose to be in a position where you've won nothing, but
waiting on $60.000.

greed would have us going after the larger sum, but thats where they get us.

if you do the math, you'll see that [4 out of 5] comes a lot more often than [5 out of 5], and i'd like to cash in on that $8.400, so that its all good in the end no matter how that 5th game goes.

look at the net of the year rather than the particular week you're in.
__________________
pls stfu k thx
W.HI.P is offline  
Closed Thread


Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)
 

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump

All times are GMT -5. The time now is 05:18 AM.


Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.8.1
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.