Election Predictions

[iamthewalrus109]

Kerry 267 Kerry 257
Bush 271 or Bush 281

I don't think Kerry is going to take Missouri or Florida, as shown in the map from sycamore, I just don't think it's going to happen. Accordingly, I don't think West Virginia is a given for Bush, but is strong to go Bush. I heard one elector is thinking about going Kerry if Bush starts to win an electoral battle. Ohio is not looinkg good for GW though, I think he's going to loose that, but Florida and Missouri I'm not too sure about. Furthermore, states that Kerry has taken for granted, like my home state of NJ, I would be watchful of, your going to see much more Republican votes here than anticipated. NJ is a very segreagated state for all intents and purposes, with disparate populations living in separate communities to a larger extent. In suburban communities here all you see are Bush signs, these are the same communites that have a municipal police force that will stop anybody that's a shade or two darker than the resident population The large Dem voting blocks exist in the inner cities and the surrounding areas like Newark, Camden, etc., but 9/11 is a wild card in this election for the state of NJ, that's why you saw Bush campaining here, even traditionally democratic voters have shifted, and I don't think it's been handled too well by the polls. I think it's not going to be a blow away victory in any event, for either candidate. In the end I hand a narrow victory to GW.

-Walrus