Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

[Undertoad]

Two days later, most excellent update on the IHME models website which everyone is using

Overall US:
- # of deaths projected decreased from 93,531 to 81,766 to 60,415
- Projected total bed shortage went from 87,674 to 36,654 to 15,852
- Peak dates (April 15 for resource needed peak, 16th for peak daily death toll) down to April 13/12
- Under 200 deaths a day: Moved from June 3 to May 18 to May 16

New speculation is that the disease resembles high altitude sickness, and docs are on their way to developing a way to fight it with the new details they have found. One possible outcome is that respirators may be the wrong approach.

[henry quirk]

Coronavirus COVID-19 Global Cases

*Infections: 1,447,466

*Deaths: 83,471

*Recovered: 308,215

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*World Population: 8,000,000,000









*approximate

[henry quirk]

Infections

COVID-19: Approximately 1,446,557 cases worldwide; 399,929 cases in the U.S. as of Apr. 8, 2020.

Flu: Estimated 1 billion cases worldwide; 9.3 million to 45 million cases in the U.S. per year.

Deaths

COVID-19: Approximately 83,149 deaths reported worldwide; 12,911 deaths in the U.S., as of Apr. 8, 2020.

Flu: 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide; 12,000 to 61,000 deaths in the U.S. per year.

[glatt]

Originally Posted by henry quirk

Infections

COVID-19: Approximately 1,446,557 cases worldwide; 399,929 cases in the U.S. as of Apr. 8, 2020.

Flu: Estimated 1 billion cases worldwide; 9.3 million to 45 million cases in the U.S. per year.

Deaths

COVID-19: Approximately 83,149 deaths reported worldwide; 12,911 deaths in the U.S., as of Apr. 8, 2020.

Flu: 291,000 to 646,000 deaths worldwide; 12,000 to 61,000 deaths in the U.S. per year.

Wait. So the flu has 12,000 death in a slow YEAR, and Covid has 12,900 death in a MONTH, and you think they are about the same, even though the Covid deaths are occurring while we are all under lock down?

I guess we'll all know in March 2021 if Covid was worse in a year than the seasonal flu. Do you think you'll have the courage to admit when you are wrong?

[sexobon]

Originally Posted by glatt

… even though the Covid deaths are occurring while we are all under lock down? ...

The flu deaths are occurring even though we have a vaccine.

[tw]

Originally Posted by sexobon

The flu deaths are occurring even though we have a vaccine.

Wrong vaccine or wrong flu? Who do we blame?

[glatt]

Originally Posted by sexobon

The flu deaths are occurring even though we have a vaccine.

Good point.

[henry quirk]

12,900 death in a MONTH

That's the total deaths, not monthly.


Do you think you'll have the courage to admit when you are wrong?

Will you?