Hot takes on the Democratic frontrunners

Torrere · 08-15-2019, 02:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad

These are Democratic Trump voters. It appears Democratic Trump voters are most likely to be Bernie voters in the Primary.

One of the weirder predictors for Bernie support in the 2016 primary was counties that voted for non-Obama candidates in the 2012 primary. These are voters that have been voting for Republicans in general elections since Reagan, but remain registered Democrats. In the primaries, they file protest votes. I'd wager that a lot of the Bernie-Trump voters also voted for Clinton in 2008.

glatt · 08-15-2019, 03:18 PM

Just saw on the little TV on the elevator that Warren and Biden are in a virtual tie.

I predict Warren will get the nomination. It's early still, and odds are against my prediction, but I think she is the primary candidate to beat. Biden has the cash to do some damage, but I think he won't be successful.

I'm a Bernie supporter, and I loathe age discrimination, but I really wonder about his age. If elected, would he live out his term?

08-15-2019, 03:18 PM	#2
glatt ™ Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: Arlington, VA Posts: 27,717	Just saw on the little TV on the elevator that Warren and Biden are in a virtual tie. I predict Warren will get the nomination. It's early still, and odds are against my prediction, but I think she is the primary candidate to beat. Biden has the cash to do some damage, but I think he won't be successful. I'm a Bernie supporter, and I loathe age discrimination, but I really wonder about his age. If elected, would he live out his term?

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