Two days later, most excellent update on the IHME models website which everyone is using
Overall US:
- # of deaths projected decreased from 93,531 to 81,766 to 60,415
- Projected total bed shortage went from 87,674 to 36,654 to 15,852
- Peak dates (April 15 for resource needed peak, 16th for peak daily death toll) down to April 13/12
- Under 200 deaths a day: Moved from June 3 to May 18 to May 16
New speculation is that the disease resembles high altitude sickness, and docs are on their way to developing a way to fight it with the new details they have found. One possible outcome is that respirators may be the wrong approach.
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