Well, well... a new playmate here in the sandbox! Welcome, welcome!
originally posted by 99 44/100% pure
I didn’t have time to reply to Hubris Boy before taking off for the weekend, but I was sure I’d see some refutation of some his more specious statements upon my return.
Hubris Boy doesn't
make specious statements, as we shall soon see.
Well, as it happens, the Republican party has already received more than 9% of the vote in a presidential election, in fact, in every presidential election from Carter in ’76 through Clinton in ’96, 9% or more of voting blacks have voted for the Republican candidate.
I was thinking about the most recent presidential election, when the Republicans received only
8 percent of the black vote. I was also thinking about the future, and I stand by my prediction that fewer than 9% of black voters will vote Republican in 2004.
I didn't consider any elections earlier than the last one. You may be right, that more than 9% of black voters weren't stupid enough to vote for Carter or Mondale or Dukakis. I don't know. If you say it's true, I certainly believe you.
In 2000, blacks made up 12.3% of population, but 12.9% of the eligible voters.
Well, I was more worried about readability than I was about the digits to the
right of the decimal point but, hey... if you have to dig
that deep in search of something to refute in my post, it's cool with me. I'll let you have that other 3/10s of 1 percent, if it'll make you feel better.
But HB is right; the hispanic population is growing at a much faster rate. While they currently vote at a lesser rate than both blacks and whites, they vote Republican far more frequently than blacks, so Republicans ought to be able to capitalize on this demographic trend, rather than running scared.
I never said otherwise. Actually, I didn't say anything at all about voting trends among Hispanics. But since you mention it, yeah... everything I've read suggests that Republican strategists are beside themselves with delight over all those nice, conservative, Catholic, Hispanic potential voters who now make America their home. Voters whose strength and numbers will serve only to further marginalize the importance of the "black vote".
HB, you and I both know that Republican Ehrlich won the election because his opponent, Kennedy-Townsend, was an unparalleled doofus.
I know nothing of the sort, and neither do you. What I
do know is that the Democrats, relying heavily on black majorities in Prince George's County and Baltimore City,
failed to get their candidate elected in one of the most solidly Democratic states in the nation. That's what
I know.
As a result, the 3 majority black/Democratic jurisdictions in Maryland voted republican 29% in 2002, as opposed to 22.3% in 2000.
I was only aware of
two majority black jurisdictions in Maryland: Baltimore City and PG County. What's the third? More importantly, what's your point? Even PG County and Baltimore City have
some Republicans and
some white people living in them.
What you fail to note is that the Republican party had the savvy to run the first ever black candidate for Maryland lieutenant governor on their ticket.
Mr. Steele's race had nothing to do with his selection as Mr. Ehrlich's running mate for lieutenant governor. He was chosen solely on the basis of his qualifications. And if you
dare to suggest otherwise, I'll brand you as a racist and demand that you immediately resign from any public office you may hold.
...they’ve probably maximized their return on the white vote and get greater marginal utility out of campaign dollars by targeting blacks and hispanics.
I think you're absolutely right about the Hispanics; I think you're dead wrong about the "black vote". Until the "black vote" gets tired of being the Stand-by Saturday Night Fuck Date for the DNC, they're going to stay right there in that nice, cozy hip pocket.
And so, Hubris Boy's sterling reputation remains untarnished... indeed, becomes shinier and more lustrous with every passing day.
By the way... I really dig your writing style, and the fact that you can spell and compose a coherent sentence. I also really liked the cookies you and the girls left out on the counter for me earlier. Glad you're here. Honey.
p.s.
I've known ever since you posted the lyrics to National Brotherhood Week