Betting tips - Page 2

W.HI.P · 10-26-2006, 04:45 PM

College football point spreads
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Virginia tech - Clemson(-4,5)
Penn State (-3,0)-Purdue

NHL Hockey
*~*~*~*~*

Anaheim-Minnesota =1,90
Detroit-Dallas =2,00

W.HI.P · 10-26-2006, 11:18 PM

N.H.L Hockey
*~*~*~*~*
I've been going on about the Mighty ducks of Anaheim since day one, well actually since the day they aquirred Chris Pronger from the Stanley Cup finisher's oilers. Its not just Pronger, Its the 2 Goalies who IMO ae equally as good, and Scott .and most of all the coach, the coach which is doing some amazing work given the tools that he has.
For this year at least, Anheim is the # 1 team in the NHL, they Play in Minnesota tommorow after a days rest, and lol at them being underdogs at 1,90.now thats a good bet!

I watched the Detroit Red wings last night, and what i saw was that the've changed that old school hockey they were playing last year and are adapting to the new NHL.now thats a scary thought..I mean when these guys get it rolling with this lineup, they're gonna look like the senators, but with a better defence and a hard hitting team, anyhow, they play in Dallas tommorow, and although its a toughy, at 2,00, whats not to like?

N.F.L
*~*~*
Now lets take a closer look at some of these.
Now I've already given the Chicago Bears over the 49ers at 16,5 points, and you're probably saying wtf? .but you know, out of all those spreads between 13 and 20, this is really safe, i mean this Bears Defence is not gonna be letting up at any time in the game, and no matter how many time the Bears run the ball to kill the time or protect their lead, or even keep players on the bench to get ready for next week.this 49ers pass defence is High-school, the only threat we really have is the 49ers scoring a whole bunch of points..now thats simply not gonna happen, because this Bears defence will simply not let up no matter what the lead is! Don't fear the spread on the Bears this week.

Now I've also given the Indianapolis Colts over the Broncos.
Now in this one..even if the broncos had the Bears defence...the colts would still score AT LEAST 21 points..and given that the Broncos cannot score no matter who they're up against..AND!!! the friggin Broncos are favorites by 2,5!!?!?! Colts all the way..actually take the -3,5 that pays 2,50 on the colts win.I aready have!

Texans-Titans(-3) My hands are kind up in the air in this game.My gut says the Titans, fact is the Titans are a beter team, at home, so even logic say titans, but i'm not touching it.

Jaguars-Eagels(-6,5) First of all ,Mcnair's not playing,that one of the reasons for the 6,5, and apart from the solid Jaguars defence, Mcnair has been the reason the Jag's have won some thi year. Now i dissregard last weeks weak appearence by Jacksonville, and I also must point out the fact that the Bucs offence could NOT move the ball against the Philadelphia Eagels defence last week, both touchdowns came from picks off Donovan Mcnnabb, who showed us an excuse of why is game was a little off....fact is, he is the #1 Quarterback in the NFL at the moment and He will score some touchdown this week, and I really doubt the jags will manage much against this really solid eagels defence, especially without McNair .-6,5???Eagels,easily

Falcons-Bengals(-3,5) you got to like this Bengals team,especially the offence,and it's very very hard to bet against them, and I don't plan to until they face the Chargers maybe, for the obvious reason that Cincinati can't stop the run, now you could say DUNN, and of course Vick and say bet on the Falcons, but given the fact that if this Bengals offence starts rolling, they'll be scoring a touchdown on almost every drive,so,i'm not gonna be touching this.

Bucs-Giants(-8,5) I continue to believe that the Bucs are one of the worst teams in the NFL despite last weeks win, now, the New York Giants, what can you say about them? Amazing pass rush defence, and the offence has too many options, Now i don't really like what i've seen from E.Manning, but this should be a very easy week. even with the -8,5 spread take the Giants

Cardinals-Packers(-3,5) there's no comparing these two teams, Arizona has a better team, i mean, their offencive units are elite..their defence is less than so-so, but there are serious problems in Arizona with the coaching, i mean wtf are they doing??? the had a 20 point lead against the bears with a few minutes left in the third quarter...wtf do you do?...ask a child, a 5 year old...he'll tell you....YOU RUN THE BALL!!!!!!!, you eat the clock...LMAO, but noooooo the coach gave the rookie qb the freedom to throw on every play..and throw 20-30 yards down the field on ever play..assuring that the time would not budge...now given the fact that Arizona's defence sucks, and Green is back for the Packers , it would seem like the Packers win by over 3,5 is easy, but I'm not gonna touch it based on the fact that this Arizona offence CAN SCORE multiple points at any given game.

Seahawks-Chiefs(-6,5) Hasselbeck out,Alexander out for another week at least, looks like the chiefs game, but i don't like all the publicity on this game almost beggin us to bet on KC, keep away from it

Ravens-Saints(-2,5) I lift my hands in the air in this one.

Rams-Chargers(-9,5) LT can't be stopped, and even though he's not getting enough touches, his back-up has risen to the occasion...given the fact that their at home, the defence is coming back,I am gonna bet on the San Diego Chargers to beat this spread -9,5 basically because the rams are not as good as their record shows, not at all.

Steelers(-9,5)-Raiders..the Steelers are a team that will finish below .500 this year, and next year, below .300, Now ok so the raiders suck as well, I should take the -9,5 but I won't.

Jets(-2,5)-Browns..the jets are my 2nd favorite team, but i'm not gonna be betting on them this week as the Browns are really a better team than they seem, and they're gonna score against the jets weak defence...so will he Jets, but I'm not gonna risk my money on it.

Cowboys-Panthers(-6,5) Bledsoe's out FINALY!!! I mean, Bill should have done that at the start of the year, he looked like a headless chicken running around back there, he disgraced this amazing Dallas Cowboys team...now i know rollo looked a little messed up coming on last week, but keep in mind, they brought him in in a game of desperation againt a team that was expecting the pass on every play..i say, with these tools, rollo's gonna do just fine, the Cowboys aren't only gonna beat this -6,5 point spread, I say their gonna win thi game EASILY ..bet on Dallas!!!

Patriots(-2,5)-Vikings..If I've made one mistake this year in my estimation of a team, it been on these Minnesota Vikings, i thought they just sucked, but let the truth be told, Brad Johnson is really playing well, I mean, if you 've watched him in a few games this year, you'd know one thing..he's not gonna throw a pick! He's mature and having his best year of his life, the defence isn't that bad at all, so yeah, the Minnesota Vikings don't suck, they don't suck at all, now they don't have muh of a chance at winning the division with the superbowl bears there, but they can sure beat this Patriot team at home, and given the fact that patriots are -2,5 point favorites, I'd say thats a good bet!

The Results so far
*~*~*~*~*~*~*
Colorado Avalanche 4-1 Toronto Maple leafs Win=2,00
Mighty ducks of Anaheim 4-1 Detroit Red wings Win=2,00
New York Mets 4-2 St.Louis Cardinals Win=1,80
Mighty Ducks of Anaheim 2-1 Minnesota Wild Win=1,60
Carolina Hurricaine 4-5 Buffalo Sabres Loss=2,50
Nebraska 20-22 (-6,5) Texas Win/Point spread
Georgia Tech 7-31 Clemson(-7,5) Loss
Buffalo Bills 6-28 NE Patriots (-6,5) Loss
Green Bay Packers 34-24 Miami Dolphins(-4,5) Win
New York Giants 36-22 Dallas Cowboys(-3,5) Win
New York Jets(3,5) 31-24 Miami Dolphins Win=1,90
Liverpool 0-2 Man Utd Loss=1,66
Philadelphia Eagels(-3,5) 21-23 TB Bucs Loss=1,50
Montreal Canadiens 1-4 Buffalo Sabres Loss=2,00
LA Kings 1-6 Colorado Avalanche Loss=2,90
Vancouver Canucks 1-2 Dallas Stars Loss=2,20
Ottawa Senators 6-2 Toronto Maple Leafs Win=1,95
St.Louis Cardinals 5-0 Detroit tigers Win=1,50
Charlton 1-0 Bolton Win=2,90
Pari St.Germain 1-2 Lyon loss=6,50
Atlanta Thrashers 4-5 Carolina Hurricaine loss=1,90
Detroit red wings 2-1 san jose Sharks Win=1,95
Chicago Blackhawks 0-5 Vancouver Canucks loss=2,20
Montreal Canadiens 3-2 Boston Bruins Win=1,85
Ottawa Senators 7-2 Toronto Maple Leafs Win=1,50
Virginia Tech 24-7 Clemson(-4,5) Win

Still to come...
*~*~*~*~*

NHL Hockey
**~*~*~*~*

Anaheim Mighty ducss-Minnesota Wild =1,90
Detroit Red Wings-Dallas Stars =2,00

College football point spread
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Penn State (-3,0)-Purdue

N.F.L Pointspread
*~*~*~*~*~*
Chicago Bears (-16,5)-SF 49ers
Indianapolis Colts-Denver Broncos(-2,5)

Philadelphia Eagels(6,5)-Jacksonville jaguars
New York Giants(8,5)-TB Bucs
San Diego Chargers(9,5)-St.louis rams
Dallas Cowboys-Carolina Panthers(-6,5)
Minnesota Vikings-New England Patriots(-2,5)

W.HI.P · 10-29-2006, 10:52 PM

N.H.L. Hockey
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Are they insaine? Have they even watched the Atlanta Thrashers play this year? ...Hossa is amaing, I mean, I can't believe the stuff he does on the ice... So they're coming here, to Toronto, to face the Leafs...you figure they're the favorite right? ...WRONG!!
Toronto win=1,50
Atlanta win=2,20
If you don't take this 2,20 on Atlanta, then don't bet on hockey!

Latest Results................

NHL Hockey
*~*~*~*~*~*

Anaheim 2-3(SO) Minnesota Loss=1,90
Detroit 4-3 Dallas WIN=2,00

College Football
*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Virginia Tech 24-7 Clemson(-4,5) WIN
Penn State(-3,0) 12-0 Purdue WIN

NFL FOOTBALL
*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Chicago Bears(-16,5) 41-10 SF 49ersWIN
Indianapolis Colts 34-31 Denver Broncos(-2,5)WIN
Philadelphia Eagels(-6,5) 6-13 Jacksonville JaguarsLoss
New York Giants(-8,5) 17-3 TB Bucs WIN
San Diego Chargers(-9,5) 38-24 St.Louios Rams WIN
Dallas Cowboys 35-14 Carolina Panthers(-6,5) WIN

Still to come...................

NFL Football
*~*~*~*~*~*

Minnesota Vikings - New England Patriots (-2,5)

NHL Hockey
*~*~*~*~*

Atlanta Thrashers-Toronto Maple Leafs

Undertoad · 10-29-2006, 10:57 PM

Uh yeah, sorry about the Eagles. They could not have looked more average, which hopefully means they turned in their season mulligan. Although there was no reason to turn in a mulligan the week before the bye and after two losses.

W.HI.P · 10-29-2006, 11:37 PM

I would have chosen them anyways... this is kinda reminding me of last year.
Of course Donovan has his health and all, the defence looks just fine, it all rests on Mcnnabb and what kinda day he's gonna have.
lol, did i say McNair up here in my analyses....of course i meant Leftwich.
I guess the Jaguars defence did that little extra to win the game...
Nooooo who are we kidding? it was Mcnnabb...we knew this was a difficult division to begin with, and with the Giants flying, and now that Dallas has OBVIOUSLY got things going without the bledsoe burden, the year is starting to look grim..I mean, even if Phillie had won, those teams will be hard to beat now.

W.HI.P · 10-30-2006, 12:34 AM

In total annaylsis of my so far tips, if you were to wager $100 on each as a single bet, you would be +$575.00.

Undertoad · 10-30-2006, 07:37 AM

Yes, you're exactly right, every Eagles game rests completely in McNabb's hands... when he is on they win, but if he is a little bit off the game turns into muck. The west coast offense depends on him throwing little "dink n dunk" passes with 100% accuracy and if he can't do that for some reason, everything seems to fall apart.

W.HI.P · 10-31-2006, 01:22 PM

Ouch@ the Vikings and Thrashers losses

Not much to talk about over the next couple days, just one game, and you'll call me crazy, but hear me out...

CSSKA Moscow travels to London to take on Arsenal, after beating them at home 1-0.
One would say that ok, it was in Moscow, therefore very cold and the Russians had the advantage.
One would say that Arsenal will take revenge against this much weaker Russian team.
Fact:Russian football is on the rise, it has been over the past 5 years, with various teams popping out of the woodwork making their mark, proving worthy against the strongest teams. ...But one Russian team was to stand out in front of the rest ....CSKA Moscow of course, European basketball champions, have been dominating it since the turn of the century alongside Panathinaikos and various italian and spanish teams.
And now its time for its football(soccer) school, and they are for real, and WILL NOT go away.
Now if all you get out of this is avoiding to bet on this 1,20 Arsenal win, then fine. But you could get more by taking the 5,00 on the draw, and 9,00 on the far fetched CSSKA Win!!

W.HI.P · 11-01-2006, 01:40 PM

N.F.L Football
*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Chiefs-Rams(2,5)
Both teams are mediocre, The Chiefs offencive line has gone down the drain since last year, and the rams despite the positive record, are so-so.
I suppose they can beat KC and better their record,thus destorting our perception of how good they are, but i'm not convinced that they will, so I'll leave this one alone

Bengals-Ravens(-3,0)
Now this is the kind of match-up one can dissect and find the winner.
Cincinnati is back, their offence is rolling, and the've got more wins then losses coming...this division is theirs to take!
They've got one major weakness, they can't stop the run, and with an unavoidable loss coming up against LT and the chargers, you'd have to think they'll win this one against the ravens,and they will.
Baltimore is not famous for their running game and the fact is, when you have an offence like cincinati's or the colts for example, they will generally beat the best defence in the nfl, especially with so many options....look at them!
4 key wr's, looking at each matchup against the cb's, the Cincinnati Bengals are better.
And if that wasn't enough, look at the RB Johnson, he can catch the ball as well as run it while the ravens are playing the nickel and dime.
...and the ravens are the favorites by -3,0?~?~?
....Bet on the bengals!!!

Texans-Giants(-14)
Are you guys watching this New York Giants team? so Mannings lucky to be here with this multiple choice offence, and unlike Bledsoe with the Cowboys, he's holding his job.
...and what about the Giants defence? Strahan's pass rushing on every down like no other...and boy is he gonna have some fun against this texan weak OL and passing game...
this game is a joke, and so is the -14 points.
Take the Giants!

Titans-Jaguars(-9,5)
Nice rivalry here, I like the titans on this spread,it should be a low scoring game, but for another week, I'm gonna leave them alone.

Cowboys(-3,0)-Redskins
Washington's coach is too much! Run the ball on 1st 2nd and 3rd down, and who wouldn't with Clinton in the backfield, and he will beat the Cowboys on some plays, but I'm afraid this defence will be too much for Portis, and the offence is too predictable.
The Dallas Cowboys offence on the other hand, will not be stopped, and this -3,0 point spread is nothing in this one.
Bet on Dallas!

Packers-Bills(-3,0)
Buffalo is a better team, but it seems as though the were in form pre-season and start, and have fallen from it, and with Green on fire for the Packers, you would assume that they can win this. BUT, the Bills are better than this, they really are a good team and i can't believe their record this year, it just dosen't relate to the quality this team has, I recomend staying away from this one and watching these two teams closely for next week.

Saints(1,5)-Bucs
TB is not a good team, i mean, ok, so they have an above average defence, but thats nothing when you have the worst offence in football.
This has New Orleans written all over it, but since the start of the year, i've been watching the saints, and there's something really fishy about some of the games they've played, against the falcons etc etc.
IMO?? the saints are NOT even remotely as good as they seem to be, and based on that alone, i'm not touching this.

Falcons(7,5)-Lions
90% of the bets will be on the falcons with this spread, and i don't blame them, the Lions as a whole are less than a team, and I do not believe they will find their form any time this year, But my instincts tell me not to touch, so i won't!

Dolphins-Bears(-16,5)
This is around the time where a team like the Bears start looking to next week and the week after, and even the playoffs. This will result in AT LEAST 2 losses...they can afford it. I'm not saying that the Miami Dolphins will win, I'm not ruling it out either, not with the superbowl on the line, and I don't see how the Bears can lose it this year, they are by far the best team in the NFL, but under the circumstances, against the Dolphins who are not the 49ers with this -16,5 point spread.
Bet on the Dolphins!

Vikings(-6,5)-49ers
Oh my, the Vikings looked bad Monday night, Maybe my original estimation that they sucked was pretty accurate.....I think it was watching Johnson vs the bears that made my opinion of them change...well, back to reality!

Browns-Chargers(-13,5)
This should be an easy win for the Chargers, but i dunno about that pointspread.

Broncos-Steelers(-2,5)
WTF is this??? how is it that they have the Steelers favorites here by -2,5?
This is a 10 point win for the Denver Broncos kind of game, thats if they're being nice. The Steelers are competing for the worst record in the NFL, and they are gonna have a dificult time winning even that, but next year, they'll be odds on favorites.
HELLO!?!! Bet on the Broncos!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! <---Is that enough emphasis?

Colts-Patriots(-2,5)
Yeah thats right, keep making the Colts -2,5 point underdogs so we can keep making money. the Indiannapolis Colts players are returning from injuries every week, this team just keeps getting stronger, and P.Manning??? the man is unbelievably good..no its "Unbelivably Great!
Bet on the Colts

Raiders-Seahawks(-7,5)
Now if this was a sunday game, I'd tell you to stay away from it, but Monday night is kind of a must for at least a small wager...hrmm, so who to pick?
Hasselbeck out, Alexander out for another week, Seattle's defence is not cutting it, the Raiders just beat a terrible steelers team, so that dosen't count.
You know, I don't care if its a monday night game...Avoid

W.HI.P · 11-06-2006, 01:27 PM

Latest Results
*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Arsenal 0-0 CSKA Moscow WIN =5,00
Cincinatti Bengals 20-26 Baltimore Ravens(-3,5) Loss
New York Giants(-14,5) 14-10 Houston Texans Loss
Dallas Cowboys (-3,0) 19-22 Washington Redskins Loss
Miami Dolphins 31-13 Chicago Bears WIN
Denver Broncos 31-20 Pitchberg Steelers WIN
Indianapolis Colts 27-20 New England Patriots WIN

*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*
NFL Pointspread

I'll give a tip even though my better instincts tell me to avoid this Monday night game.
I have the outmost respect for Holmgreen, and overall, i believe he is the best coach in the game, ok, so he made some visable mistakes last year, but they are overlooked. The man is an OL specialist, which is great for both Alexander and Hasselbeck...But they're not playing! Now I've coached basketball, and i know what its like not to have your starting PG and Center in your line-up, and sure you can work around some things, but overall, your chances of achieving without them are limited.
So yeah, I'm recomending and taking the Oakland Raiders tonight to beat this -8,5 pointspread, and why not win the game? If Seattle's defence plays like last week, the Raiders 3rd win in a row is on its way!

N.H.L Hockey
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Philadelphia Flyers-Toronto maple Leafs = 2,90
Dallas Stars-Vancouver Canucks = 1,90
Ottawa Senators-Washington Capitols = 1,50
Anaheim Ducks-Pitchberg Penguins = 1,50

W.HI.P · 11-08-2006, 11:45 AM

N.F.L Pointspread
*~*~*~*~*~*~*~*

Chiefs (-3,0)-Dolphins

To judge this one based on the week that just passed would be wrong, as KC beat a so-so Rams team and the Miami Dolphins got a gimme from the superbowl Bears. I don't see too many differences between these two teams, and based on the fact that the Dolphins are playing at home and there's a -3,0 pointspread,
Bet on the Dolphins

Texans-Jaguars(-10,5)
You always look at a team like the Texans at the end of the year and wonder how they manage to pick up 3 wins in the year, and you look at the stats and you say, not bad, not bad at all, but these Texans have scored more touchdowns in the 4th Quarter than in any other, while they were down by a bundle...its that prevent defence to kill the time and relax a bit that Houston jumps on to steal these points...this team is really bad.
The Jaguars on the other hand are a playoff team, but at this point, they are having a little bit of roster trouble, and until they sort their team out, I'm gonna have to stay away from them, especially when there's a 10,5 pointspread at hand.

Chargers(-2,5)-Bengals
If you we're to ask me who the better team is here, I would have a hard time answering. I know how good this Bengals offence is..they simply haven't gotten it together much this year, and even if they do in this game, the San Diego Chargers will just run the ball at them with super LT. This particular matchup is so imbalanced its not funny.
Look for a career breaking day for Tomlinson because the Bengals defence against the run Is that bad, and LT Is that good.
the -2,5 is nothing here.
Bet on the Chargers!!!

Browns-Falcons(-7,5)
As I've said on more than one occasions, the Browns are really a pretty good team, all round... the falcons have shown glimpses of a good team as well, but something is not right in the team. Although in my eyes, this is an easy Browns pointspread cover, i hesitate as both the browns have off days, and falcons have good days, so I'll just sit back and watch it.

Ravens(-7,5)-Titans
So, you wanna bet on the Ravens eh? well consider this...how many wins do you think the ravens will have at the end of the year? 9?? ...10 at the most?
thats quite a few losses coming for em'. Ok, it looks like a mismatch here, so here's another one to watch.

Bills-Colts(-14)
This is so wrong, the Buffalo Bills are a good team, they really are, they should have and could have beaten them Patriots...them Patriots who last week we're listed as -2,5 point favorites over these Colts, so WHY the -14??
The Bills have the kind of team to keep Super Manning off the field and make this a low scoring close game, which is exactly what they're gonna set out to do in this one...watch McGahee get a lot of touches, and he'll do well.
...and you know, at 9-0, the Colts are not gonna kill themselves to beat this spread. As a coach, +10 would mean give Manning a rest, run the ball safely and punt.
Bet on the Bills

Redskins-Eagels(-7,0)

Ok, so I'm an Eagels fan, but that dosen't influence my judgement. Keep in mind that i have bet against them twice this year, and one of them (against the Giants) was my clutch bet, meaning that all bets of mine that week involved the giants win over my Eagels.
McNnab hasn't been well these past 2 games, and then the bye week.
So westbrook has probably recovered in full, Donovan has had the time to get on track and get ready for this very important rivalry against the Redskins.
One of the things that have been absolutely solid is this Eagels defence which allowed merely 1 touchdown in these two consecutive losses.
So yeah, if McNnab is at 75% at least this will be a very easy win for the Philadelphia Eagels, and the -7,0 will not be a factor
Bet on the Eagels

Packers-Vikings(-6,5)
These Vikings look really bad, and even if they play like they did against the Bears, these Green Bay Packers with Green 100% are really playing some excellent football. Expect Green to get 130-150 yards with a few touchdowns, and that alone will give Favre the freedom to throw some passes without getting picked off.
The Vikings are -6,5 point favorites?? , it should be the other way around!
Bet on the Packers!!

Jets-Patriots(10,5)
Expect Brady to preform like he did last week as this New York Jets defence is just about as bad as the Colts's. One thing they understimate here is the Jets offence which really have an amazing passing game, and judging by the fact that the Patriots defence is not that hot against the pass.
The Jets might actually win this and with a -10,5 pointspread it looks like a safe wager.
Bet on the Jets

49ers-Lions(-6,5)
Two of the worst teams in the game face each other.
One would expect an easy highscoring Lions victory here, but i hesitate recomending them because not too much seperate these teams in my eyes.

Broncos(-10,5)-Raiders
Poor raiders, R.moss, wants to leave the team and is at war with the franchise dropping passes whenever he can, to get the point across.
I wonder at which point they'll come to a verbal agreement, and he'll start playing again. Until then, you'll just have to avoid the games they play.
Whats up with that 10,5 pointspread? it dosen't feel right here, whatever you do, don't take it!

Saints-Steelers(-3,0)
Whats up with these guys? When will they realize that the Steelers aren't the team they were 3 years ago, they've been on the downfall ever since, and its just gonna keep getting worse, Never bet on these guys until 3-5 years go by. This particular week though, against these Saints which are full of question marks, I'm just gonna pass on it.

Rams-Seahawks(-4,5)
It looks like Alexander's coming back for this one, I don't know if he's 50% or 100% percent, and based on the fact that these Seahawks looked really really bad these past 2 weeks, despite the fact that their facing a mediocre team, avoid!

Cowboys(-7,5)-Cardinals
This is such a lopsided matchup. All of the quality on theis Cardinals team is in the offence, leaving Romo and the Dallas Cowboys the freedom to run up the score as much as they want, and based on the fact that they're 4-4, they'll kill the Cardinals. Now Arizona will score, but I expect the Cowboys here to have the most points scored in the nfl this week, that'll erase the -7,5 pointspread.
Bet on the Cowboys!

Bears-Giants(2,5)
Wow, this could be the NFC Final!
2 amazing defenes, the one better than the other.
Key factor in this one is that the Bears have no opponent in their division, this continues to be relax time for them Bears, while the New York Giants have 3 superteams waiting for them to slip up.
Don't get me wrong here, IMO, the Bears ae a better team, my recomendation here is based on the Bears looking at the superbowl, think about it for a second. How much of a superbowl team would they be without Brian?
Even though Strahan is out and there's a -2,5 pointspread.
Bet on the Giants!

Clodfobble · 11-08-2006, 02:09 PM

W.HI.P, if I knew a bookie, I would be very tempted to try out your system. (By which I mean doing exactly what you tell me, since I don't actually understand the system you have going here.) Maybe I have a latent gambling addiction, eh?

W.HI.P · 11-08-2006, 02:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clodfobble

W.HI.P, if I knew a bookie, I would be very tempted to try out your system. (By which I mean doing exactly what you tell me, since I don't actually understand the system you have going here.) Maybe I have a latent gambling addiction, eh?

Its pretty simple actually, for example this week, I've recomended 8 games on the pointspread..A defencive bet with 3 games per bet, with every combination of the 8 games covered would equal 56 bets.
For you to better understand the system, here is how each of the 56 bets combine. I'll list them numerically so its easy to visualize.

1)Dolphions Over Chiefs(-3,0)
2)Chargers(-2,5) over Bengals
3)Bills over Colts(-10,5)
4)Eagels(-7) over redskins
5)Packers over Vikings(-6,5)
6)Jets over Patriots(-10,5)
7)Cowboys(-7,5) over Cardinals
8)New York Giants(-2,5) over Bears

The 56 bets would be
123/124/125/126/127/128/134/135/136/137/138/145/146/147/148/156157/158/
167/168/178/234/235/236/237/238/245/246/247/248/256/257/258/267/268/278/
345/346/347/348/356/357/358/456/457/458/467/468478/567/568/578/678

that would cover every combination.
at the lowest limit of $2 per bet that would be a total of $112.
it would ensure you, that if you were to win 3 games, you would win 1 bet.
with 4 wins, you would win 4 bets.
with 5 wins, you would win 10 bets.
with 6 wins, you would win 20 bets.
with 7 wins, you would win 35 bets.
and of course if you win them all, thats 56 winning bets.

Of course the reason for a system like this, is the simple fact that you can't get them all right, and defecnive gambling ensures ou that if you have a terrible week, you get our money back, or at least most of it, and if you have a good week, you can double or triple your money, which should be very often. and sometimes when you have that amazing 6/8 or 7/8 week, you get paid. The problem with most gamblers worldwid4 is that they need to win every game for them to cash it the next day, and most of the time they're asking for too much. These bookies depend on gamblers like that to make their income, with defencive gamblers its at best, give and take with them.

Undertoad · 11-08-2006, 03:02 PM

I don't know much about it but somebody told me once that to make money you have to pick 55% or better against the spread, is that pretty much true?

W.HI.P · 11-08-2006, 03:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad

I don't know much about it but somebody told me once that to make money you have to pick 55% or better against the spread, is that pretty much true?

Well yeah, sorta, it seems as though most mistakes in these spreads are all about understimating a team, based on the previous week which would result in a larger pointspread then it should be.
Especially later in the season when the best teams in the nfl start relaxing and resting their key players and keeping them healthy for games that matter like the playoffs.
My picks this week are 50% against the spread

10-26-2006, 11:18 PM	#17
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	N.H.L Hockey ~~~~* I've been going on about the Mighty ducks of Anaheim since day one, well actually since the day they aquirred Chris Pronger from the Stanley Cup finisher's oilers. Its not just Pronger, Its the 2 Goalies who IMO ae equally as good, and Scott .and most of all the coach, the coach which is doing some amazing work given the tools that he has. For this year at least, Anheim is the # 1 team in the NHL, they Play in Minnesota tommorow after a days rest, and lol at them being underdogs at 1,90.now thats a good bet! I watched the Detroit Red wings last night, and what i saw was that the've changed that old school hockey they were playing last year and are adapting to the new NHL.now thats a scary thought..I mean when these guys get it rolling with this lineup, they're gonna look like the senators, but with a better defence and a hard hitting team, anyhow, they play in Dallas tommorow, and although its a toughy, at 2,00, whats not to like? N.F.L ~~* Now lets take a closer look at some of these. Now I've already given the Chicago Bears over the 49ers at 16,5 points, and you're probably saying wtf? .but you know, out of all those spreads between 13 and 20, this is really safe, i mean this Bears Defence is not gonna be letting up at any time in the game, and no matter how many time the Bears run the ball to kill the time or protect their lead, or even keep players on the bench to get ready for next week.this 49ers pass defence is High-school, the only threat we really have is the 49ers scoring a whole bunch of points..now thats simply not gonna happen, because this Bears defence will simply not let up no matter what the lead is! Don't fear the spread on the Bears this week. Now I've also given the Indianapolis Colts over the Broncos. Now in this one..even if the broncos had the Bears defence...the colts would still score AT LEAST 21 points..and given that the Broncos cannot score no matter who they're up against..AND!!! the friggin Broncos are favorites by 2,5!!?!?! Colts all the way..actually take the -3,5 that pays 2,50 on the colts win.I aready have! Texans-Titans(-3) My hands are kind up in the air in this game.My gut says the Titans, fact is the Titans are a beter team, at home, so even logic say titans, but i'm not touching it. Jaguars-Eagels(-6,5) First of all ,Mcnair's not playing,that one of the reasons for the 6,5, and apart from the solid Jaguars defence, Mcnair has been the reason the Jag's have won some thi year. Now i dissregard last weeks weak appearence by Jacksonville, and I also must point out the fact that the Bucs offence could NOT move the ball against the Philadelphia Eagels defence last week, both touchdowns came from picks off Donovan Mcnnabb, who showed us an excuse of why is game was a little off....fact is, he is the #1 Quarterback in the NFL at the moment and He will score some touchdown this week, and I really doubt the jags will manage much against this really solid eagels defence, especially without McNair .-6,5???Eagels,easily Falcons-Bengals(-3,5) you got to like this Bengals team,especially the offence,and it's very very hard to bet against them, and I don't plan to until they face the Chargers maybe, for the obvious reason that Cincinati can't stop the run, now you could say DUNN, and of course Vick and say bet on the Falcons, but given the fact that if this Bengals offence starts rolling, they'll be scoring a touchdown on almost every drive,so,i'm not gonna be touching this. Bucs-Giants(-8,5) I continue to believe that the Bucs are one of the worst teams in the NFL despite last weeks win, now, the New York Giants, what can you say about them? Amazing pass rush defence, and the offence has too many options, Now i don't really like what i've seen from E.Manning, but this should be a very easy week. even with the -8,5 spread take the Giants Cardinals-Packers(-3,5) there's no comparing these two teams, Arizona has a better team, i mean, their offencive units are elite..their defence is less than so-so, but there are serious problems in Arizona with the coaching, i mean wtf are they doing??? the had a 20 point lead against the bears with a few minutes left in the third quarter...wtf do you do?...ask a child, a 5 year old...he'll tell you....YOU RUN THE BALL!!!!!!!, you eat the clock...LMAO, but noooooo the coach gave the rookie qb the freedom to throw on every play..and throw 20-30 yards down the field on ever play..assuring that the time would not budge...now given the fact that Arizona's defence sucks, and Green is back for the Packers , it would seem like the Packers win by over 3,5 is easy, but I'm not gonna touch it based on the fact that this Arizona offence CAN SCORE multiple points at any given game. Seahawks-Chiefs(-6,5) Hasselbeck out,Alexander out for another week at least, looks like the chiefs game, but i don't like all the publicity on this game almost beggin us to bet on KC, keep away from it Ravens-Saints(-2,5) I lift my hands in the air in this one. Rams-Chargers(-9,5) LT can't be stopped, and even though he's not getting enough touches, his back-up has risen to the occasion...given the fact that their at home, the defence is coming back,I am gonna bet on the San Diego Chargers to beat this spread -9,5 basically because the rams are not as good as their record shows, not at all. Steelers(-9,5)-Raiders..the Steelers are a team that will finish below .500 this year, and next year, below .300, Now ok so the raiders suck as well, I should take the -9,5 but I won't. Jets(-2,5)-Browns..the jets are my 2nd favorite team, but i'm not gonna be betting on them this week as the Browns are really a better team than they seem, and they're gonna score against the jets weak defence...so will he Jets, but I'm not gonna risk my money on it. Cowboys-Panthers(-6,5) Bledsoe's out FINALY!!! I mean, Bill should have done that at the start of the year, he looked like a headless chicken running around back there, he disgraced this amazing Dallas Cowboys team...now i know rollo looked a little messed up coming on last week, but keep in mind, they brought him in in a game of desperation againt a team that was expecting the pass on every play..i say, with these tools, rollo's gonna do just fine, the Cowboys aren't only gonna beat this -6,5 point spread, I say their gonna win thi game EASILY ..bet on Dallas!!! Patriots(-2,5)-Vikings..If I've made one mistake this year in my estimation of a team, it been on these Minnesota Vikings, i thought they just sucked, but let the truth be told, Brad Johnson is really playing well, I mean, if you 've watched him in a few games this year, you'd know one thing..he's not gonna throw a pick! He's mature and having his best year of his life, the defence isn't that bad at all, so yeah, the Minnesota Vikings don't suck, they don't suck at all, now they don't have muh of a chance at winning the division with the superbowl bears there, but they can sure beat this Patriot team at home, and given the fact that patriots are -2,5 point favorites, I'd say thats a good bet! The Results so far ~~~~~~* Colorado Avalanche 4-1 Toronto Maple leafs Win=2,00 Mighty ducks of Anaheim 4-1 Detroit Red wings Win=2,00 New York Mets 4-2 St.Louis Cardinals Win=1,80 Mighty Ducks of Anaheim 2-1 Minnesota Wild Win=1,60 Carolina Hurricaine 4-5 Buffalo Sabres Loss=2,50 Nebraska 20-22 (-6,5) Texas Win/Point spread Georgia Tech 7-31 Clemson(-7,5) Loss Buffalo Bills 6-28 NE Patriots (-6,5) Loss Green Bay Packers 34-24 Miami Dolphins(-4,5) Win New York Giants 36-22 Dallas Cowboys(-3,5) Win New York Jets(3,5) 31-24 Miami Dolphins Win=1,90 Liverpool 0-2 Man Utd Loss=1,66 Philadelphia Eagels(-3,5) 21-23 TB Bucs Loss=1,50 Montreal Canadiens 1-4 Buffalo Sabres Loss=2,00 LA Kings 1-6 Colorado Avalanche Loss=2,90 Vancouver Canucks 1-2 Dallas Stars Loss=2,20 Ottawa Senators 6-2 Toronto Maple Leafs Win=1,95 St.Louis Cardinals 5-0 Detroit tigers Win=1,50 Charlton 1-0 Bolton Win=2,90 Pari St.Germain 1-2 Lyon loss=6,50 Atlanta Thrashers 4-5 Carolina Hurricaine loss=1,90 Detroit red wings 2-1 san jose Sharks Win=1,95 Chicago Blackhawks 0-5 Vancouver Canucks loss=2,20 Montreal Canadiens 3-2 Boston Bruins Win=1,85 Ottawa Senators 7-2 Toronto Maple Leafs Win=1,50 Virginia Tech 24-7 Clemson(-4,5) Win Still to come... ~~~~* NHL Hockey *~~~~* Anaheim Mighty ducss-Minnesota Wild =1,90 Detroit Red Wings-Dallas Stars =2,00 College football point spread ~~~~~~~~~ Penn State (-3,0)-Purdue N.F.L Pointspread ~~~~~ Chicago Bears (-16,5)-SF 49ers Indianapolis Colts-Denver Broncos(-2,5) Philadelphia Eagels(6,5)-Jacksonville jaguars New York Giants(8,5)-TB Bucs San Diego Chargers(9,5)-St.louis rams Dallas Cowboys-Carolina Panthers(-6,5) Minnesota Vikings-New England Patriots(-2,5) Last edited by W.HI.P; 10-26-2006 at 11:37 PM.

10-26-2006, 04:45 PM	#16
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	College football point spreads ~~~~~~~~~ Virginia tech - Clemson(-4,5) Penn State (-3,0)-Purdue NHL Hockey ~~~~* Anaheim-Minnesota =1,90 Detroit-Dallas =2,00

10-29-2006, 10:52 PM	#18
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	N.H.L. Hockey ~~~~~~~ Are they insaine? Have they even watched the Atlanta Thrashers play this year? ...Hossa is amaing, I mean, I can't believe the stuff he does on the ice... So they're coming here, to Toronto, to face the Leafs...you figure they're the favorite right? ...WRONG!! Toronto win=1,50 Atlanta win=2,20 If you don't take this 2,20 on Atlanta, then don't bet on hockey! Latest Results................ NHL Hockey ~~~~~ Anaheim 2-3(SO) Minnesota Loss=1,90 Detroit 4-3 Dallas WIN=2,00 College Football ~~~~~~* Virginia Tech 24-7 Clemson(-4,5) WIN Penn State(-3,0) 12-0 Purdue WIN NFL FOOTBALL ~~~~~~* Chicago Bears(-16,5) 41-10 SF 49ersWIN Indianapolis Colts 34-31 Denver Broncos(-2,5)WIN Philadelphia Eagels(-6,5) 6-13 Jacksonville JaguarsLoss New York Giants(-8,5) 17-3 TB Bucs WIN San Diego Chargers(-9,5) 38-24 St.Louios Rams WIN Dallas Cowboys 35-14 Carolina Panthers(-6,5) WIN *Still to come...................* NFL Football ~~~~~ Minnesota Vikings - New England Patriots (-2,5) NHL Hockey ~~~~* Atlanta Thrashers-Toronto Maple Leafs

10-29-2006, 10:57 PM	#19
Undertoad Radical Centrist Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: Cottage of Prussia Posts: 31,423	Uh yeah, sorry about the Eagles. They could not have looked more average, which hopefully means they turned in their season mulligan. Although there was no reason to turn in a mulligan the week before the bye and after two losses.

10-29-2006, 11:37 PM	#20
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	I would have chosen them anyways... this is kinda reminding me of last year. Of course Donovan has his health and all, the defence looks just fine, it all rests on Mcnnabb and what kinda day he's gonna have. lol, did i say McNair up here in my analyses....of course i meant Leftwich. I guess the Jaguars defence did that little extra to win the game... Nooooo who are we kidding? it was Mcnnabb...we knew this was a difficult division to begin with, and with the Giants flying, and now that Dallas has OBVIOUSLY got things going without the bledsoe burden, the year is starting to look grim..I mean, even if Phillie had won, those teams will be hard to beat now.

10-30-2006, 12:34 AM	#21
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	In total annaylsis of my so far tips, if you were to wager $100 on each as a single bet, you would be +$575.00.

10-30-2006, 07:37 AM	#22
Undertoad Radical Centrist Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: Cottage of Prussia Posts: 31,423	Yes, you're exactly right, every Eagles game rests completely in McNabb's hands... when he is on they win, but if he is a little bit off the game turns into muck. The west coast offense depends on him throwing little "dink n dunk" passes with 100% accuracy and if he can't do that for some reason, everything seems to fall apart.

10-31-2006, 01:22 PM	#23
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	Ouch@ the Vikings and Thrashers losses Not much to talk about over the next couple days, just one game, and you'll call me crazy, but hear me out... CSSKA Moscow travels to London to take on Arsenal, after beating them at home 1-0. One would say that ok, it was in Moscow, therefore very cold and the Russians had the advantage. One would say that Arsenal will take revenge against this much weaker Russian team. Fact:Russian football is on the rise, it has been over the past 5 years, with various teams popping out of the woodwork making their mark, proving worthy against the strongest teams. ...But one Russian team was to stand out in front of the rest ....CSKA Moscow of course, European basketball champions, have been dominating it since the turn of the century alongside Panathinaikos and various italian and spanish teams. And now its time for its football(soccer) school, and they are for real, and WILL NOT go away. Now if all you get out of this is avoiding to bet on this 1,20 Arsenal win, then fine. But you could get more by taking the 5,00 on the draw, and 9,00 on the far fetched CSSKA Win!!

11-01-2006, 01:40 PM	#24
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	N.F.L Football ~~~~~~* *Chiefs-Rams(2,5)* Both teams are mediocre, The Chiefs offencive line has gone down the drain since last year, and the rams despite the positive record, are so-so. I suppose they can beat KC and better their record,thus destorting our perception of how good they are, but i'm not convinced that they will, so I'll leave this one alone *Bengals-Ravens(-3,0)* Now this is the kind of match-up one can dissect and find the winner. Cincinnati is back, their offence is rolling, and the've got more wins then losses coming...this division is theirs to take! They've got one major weakness, they can't stop the run, and with an unavoidable loss coming up against LT and the chargers, you'd have to think they'll win this one against the ravens,and they will. Baltimore is not famous for their running game and the fact is, when you have an offence like cincinati's or the colts for example, they will generally beat the best defence in the nfl, especially with so many options....look at them! 4 key wr's, looking at each matchup against the cb's, the Cincinnati Bengals are better. And if that wasn't enough, look at the RB Johnson, he can catch the ball as well as run it while the ravens are playing the nickel and dime. ...and the ravens are the favorites by -3,0?~?~? ....Bet on the bengals!!! *Texans-Giants(-14)* Are you guys watching this New York Giants team? so Mannings lucky to be here with this multiple choice offence, and unlike Bledsoe with the Cowboys, he's holding his job. ...and what about the Giants defence? Strahan's pass rushing on every down like no other...and boy is he gonna have some fun against this texan weak OL and passing game... this game is a joke, and so is the -14 points. Take the Giants! Titans-Jaguars(-9,5) Nice rivalry here, I like the titans on this spread,it should be a low scoring game, but for another week, I'm gonna leave them alone. Cowboys(-3,0)-Redskins Washington's coach is too much! Run the ball on 1st 2nd and 3rd down, and who wouldn't with Clinton in the backfield, and he will beat the Cowboys on some plays, but I'm afraid this defence will be too much for Portis, and the offence is too predictable. The Dallas Cowboys offence on the other hand, will not be stopped, and this -3,0 point spread is nothing in this one. Bet on Dallas! *Packers-Bills(-3,0)* Buffalo is a better team, but it seems as though the were in form pre-season and start, and have fallen from it, and with Green on fire for the Packers, you would assume that they can win this. BUT, the Bills are better than this, they really are a good team and i can't believe their record this year, it just dosen't relate to the quality this team has, I recomend staying away from this one and watching these two teams closely for next week. *Saints(1,5)-Bucs* TB is not a good team, i mean, ok, so they have an above average defence, but thats nothing when you have the worst offence in football. This has New Orleans written all over it, but since the start of the year, i've been watching the saints, and there's something really fishy about some of the games they've played, against the falcons etc etc. IMO?? the saints are NOT even remotely as good as they seem to be, and based on that alone, i'm not touching this. *Falcons(7,5)-Lions* 90% of the bets will be on the falcons with this spread, and i don't blame them, the Lions as a whole are less than a team, and I do not believe they will find their form any time this year, But my instincts tell me not to touch, so i won't! *Dolphins-Bears(-16,5)* This is around the time where a team like the Bears start looking to next week and the week after, and even the playoffs. This will result in AT LEAST 2 losses...they can afford it. I'm not saying that the Miami Dolphins will win, I'm not ruling it out either, not with the superbowl on the line, and I don't see how the Bears can lose it this year, they are by far the best team in the NFL, but under the circumstances, against the Dolphins who are not the 49ers with this -16,5 point spread. Bet on the Dolphins! *Vikings(-6,5)-49ers* Oh my, the Vikings looked bad Monday night, Maybe my original estimation that they sucked was pretty accurate.....I think it was watching Johnson vs the bears that made my opinion of them change...well, back to reality! *Browns-Chargers(-13,5)* This should be an easy win for the Chargers, but i dunno about that pointspread. *Broncos-Steelers(-2,5)* WTF is this??? how is it that they have the Steelers favorites here by -2,5? This is a 10 point win for the Denver Broncos kind of game, thats if they're being nice. The Steelers are competing for the worst record in the NFL, and they are gonna have a dificult time winning even that, but next year, they'll be odds on favorites. HELLO!?!! Bet on the Broncos!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! <---Is that enough emphasis? *Colts-Patriots(-2,5)* Yeah thats right, keep making the Colts -2,5 point underdogs so we can keep making money. the Indiannapolis Colts players are returning from injuries every week, this team just keeps getting stronger, and P.Manning??? the man is unbelievably good..no its "Unbelivably Great! Bet on the Colts *Raiders-Seahawks(-7,5)* Now if this was a sunday game, I'd tell you to stay away from it, but Monday night is kind of a must for at least a small wager...hrmm, so who to pick? Hasselbeck out, Alexander out for another week, Seattle's defence is not cutting it, the Raiders just beat a terrible steelers team, so that dosen't count. You know, I don't care if its a monday night game...Avoid

11-06-2006, 01:27 PM	#25
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	Latest Results ~~~~~~* Arsenal 0-0 CSKA Moscow WIN =5,00 Cincinatti Bengals 20-26 Baltimore Ravens(-3,5) Loss New York Giants(-14,5) 14-10 Houston Texans Loss Dallas Cowboys (-3,0) 19-22 Washington Redskins Loss Miami Dolphins 31-13 Chicago Bears WIN Denver Broncos 31-20 Pitchberg Steelers WIN Indianapolis Colts 27-20 New England Patriots WIN ~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~ *NFL Pointspread* I'll give a tip even though my better instincts tell me to avoid this Monday night game. I have the outmost respect for Holmgreen, and overall, i believe he is the best coach in the game, ok, so he made some visable mistakes last year, but they are overlooked. The man is an OL specialist, which is great for both Alexander and Hasselbeck...But they're not playing! Now I've coached basketball, and i know what its like not to have your starting PG and Center in your line-up, and sure you can work around some things, but overall, your chances of achieving without them are limited. So yeah, I'm recomending and taking the Oakland Raiders tonight to beat this -8,5 pointspread, and why not win the game? If Seattle's defence plays like last week, the Raiders 3rd win in a row is on its way! N.H.L Hockey ~~~~~~~ Philadelphia Flyers-Toronto maple Leafs = 2,90 Dallas Stars-Vancouver Canucks = 1,90 Ottawa Senators-Washington Capitols = 1,50 Anaheim Ducks-Pitchberg Penguins = 1,50

11-08-2006, 11:45 AM	#26
W.HI.P Free Join Date: Apr 2006 Location: Canada Posts: 1,513	N.F.L Pointspread ~~~~~~~ *Chiefs (-3,0)-Dolphins* To judge this one based on the week that just passed would be wrong, as KC beat a so-so Rams team and the Miami Dolphins got a gimme from the superbowl Bears. I don't see too many differences between these two teams, and based on the fact that the Dolphins are playing at home and there's a -3,0 pointspread, Bet on the Dolphins *Texans-Jaguars(-10,5)* You always look at a team like the Texans at the end of the year and wonder how they manage to pick up 3 wins in the year, and you look at the stats and you say, not bad, not bad at all, but these Texans have scored more touchdowns in the 4th Quarter than in any other, while they were down by a bundle...its that prevent defence to kill the time and relax a bit that Houston jumps on to steal these points...this team is really bad. The Jaguars on the other hand are a playoff team, but at this point, they are having a little bit of roster trouble, and until they sort their team out, I'm gonna have to stay away from them, especially when there's a 10,5 pointspread at hand. *Chargers(-2,5)-Bengals* If you we're to ask me who the better team is here, I would have a hard time answering. I know how good this Bengals offence is..they simply haven't gotten it together much this year, and even if they do in this game, the San Diego Chargers will just run the ball at them with super LT. This particular matchup is so imbalanced its not funny. Look for a career breaking day for Tomlinson because the Bengals defence against the run Is that bad, and LT Is that good. the -2,5 is nothing here. Bet on the Chargers!!! *Browns-Falcons(-7,5)* As I've said on more than one occasions, the Browns are really a pretty good team, all round... the falcons have shown glimpses of a good team as well, but something is not right in the team. Although in my eyes, this is an easy Browns pointspread cover, i hesitate as both the browns have off days, and falcons have good days, so I'll just sit back and watch it. *Ravens(-7,5)-Titans* So, you wanna bet on the Ravens eh? well consider this...how many wins do you think the ravens will have at the end of the year? 9?? ...10 at the most? thats quite a few losses coming for em'. Ok, it looks like a mismatch here, so here's another one to watch. Bills-Colts(-14) This is so wrong, the Buffalo Bills are a good team, they really are, they should have and could have beaten them Patriots...them Patriots who last week we're listed as -2,5 point favorites over these Colts, so WHY the -14?? The Bills have the kind of team to keep Super Manning off the field and make this a low scoring close game, which is exactly what they're gonna set out to do in this one...watch McGahee get a lot of touches, and he'll do well. ...and you know, at 9-0, the Colts are not gonna kill themselves to beat this spread. As a coach, +10 would mean give Manning a rest, run the ball safely and punt. Bet on the Bills *Redskins-Eagels(-7,0)* Ok, so I'm an Eagels fan, but that dosen't influence my judgement. Keep in mind that i have bet against them twice this year, and one of them (against the Giants) was my clutch bet, meaning that all bets of mine that week involved the giants win over my Eagels. McNnab hasn't been well these past 2 games, and then the bye week. So westbrook has probably recovered in full, Donovan has had the time to get on track and get ready for this very important rivalry against the Redskins. One of the things that have been absolutely solid is this Eagels defence which allowed merely 1 touchdown in these two consecutive losses. So yeah, if McNnab is at 75% at least this will be a very easy win for the Philadelphia Eagels, and the -7,0 will not be a factor Bet on the Eagels *Packers-Vikings(-6,5)* These Vikings look really bad, and even if they play like they did against the Bears, these Green Bay Packers with Green 100% are really playing some excellent football. Expect Green to get 130-150 yards with a few touchdowns, and that alone will give Favre the freedom to throw some passes without getting picked off. The Vikings are -6,5 point favorites?? , it should be the other way around! Bet on the Packers!! *Jets-Patriots(10,5)* Expect Brady to preform like he did last week as this New York Jets defence is just about as bad as the Colts's. One thing they understimate here is the Jets offence which really have an amazing passing game, and judging by the fact that the Patriots defence is not that hot against the pass. The Jets might actually win this and with a -10,5 pointspread it looks like a safe wager. Bet on the Jets *49ers-Lions(-6,5)* Two of the worst teams in the game face each other. One would expect an easy highscoring Lions victory here, but i hesitate recomending them because not too much seperate these teams in my eyes. *Broncos(-10,5)-Raiders* Poor raiders, R.moss, wants to leave the team and is at war with the franchise dropping passes whenever he can, to get the point across. I wonder at which point they'll come to a verbal agreement, and he'll start playing again. Until then, you'll just have to avoid the games they play. Whats up with that 10,5 pointspread? it dosen't feel right here, whatever you do, don't take it! *Saints-Steelers(-3,0)* Whats up with these guys? When will they realize that the Steelers aren't the team they were 3 years ago, they've been on the downfall ever since, and its just gonna keep getting worse, Never bet on these guys until 3-5 years go by. This particular week though, against these Saints which are full of question marks, I'm just gonna pass on it. *Rams-Seahawks(-4,5)* It looks like Alexander's coming back for this one, I don't know if he's 50% or 100% percent, and based on the fact that these Seahawks looked really really bad these past 2 weeks, despite the fact that their facing a mediocre team, avoid! *Cowboys(-7,5)-Cardinals* This is such a lopsided matchup. All of the quality on theis Cardinals team is in the offence, leaving Romo and the Dallas Cowboys the freedom to run up the score as much as they want, and based on the fact that they're 4-4, they'll kill the Cardinals. Now Arizona will score, but I expect the Cowboys here to have the most points scored in the nfl this week, that'll erase the -7,5 pointspread. Bet on the Cowboys! *Bears-Giants(2,5)* Wow, this could be the NFC Final! 2 amazing defenes, the one better than the other. Key factor in this one is that the Bears have no opponent in their division, this continues to be relax time for them Bears, while the New York Giants have 3 superteams waiting for them to slip up. Don't get me wrong here, IMO, the Bears ae a better team, my recomendation here is based on the Bears looking at the superbowl, think about it for a second. How much of a superbowl team would they be without Brian? Even though Strahan is out and there's a -2,5 pointspread. Bet on the Giants!

11-08-2006, 02:09 PM	#27
Clodfobble UNDER CONDITIONAL MITIGATION Join Date: Mar 2004 Location: Austin, TX Posts: 20,012	W.HI.P, if I knew a bookie, I would be very tempted to try out your system. (By which I mean doing exactly what you tell me, since I don't actually understand the system you have going here.) Maybe I have a latent gambling addiction, eh?

11-08-2006, 03:02 PM	#29
Undertoad Radical Centrist Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: Cottage of Prussia Posts: 31,423	I don't know much about it but somebody told me once that to make money you have to pick 55% or better against the spread, is that pretty much true?

Currently Active Users Viewing This Thread: 1 (0 members and 1 guests)