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Old 01-24-2019, 02:09 PM   #1
xoxoxoBruce
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The reason for UT's concern.
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Old 01-24-2019, 06:09 PM   #2
Flint
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I've always encouraged everyone to ignore news articles about Trump's approval rating. Instead, consult a reliable polling aggregate like 538, and observe that no matter what happens, it always averages out to a straight line over any reasonable length of time (that is to say-- you either love him or you hate him).

I still believe this, but I was curious about whether enough time has passed since the government shutdown for the polling averages to catch up, and show what people think (in the short term) in regards to Trump "owning" the shutdown.

What I see here is an extended, starkly directional line, like rarely has happened (not since right after he was elected, and then, arguably, in December 2017). Does it mean anything? Who knows? Here's the visual:

*and over the entire tenure, yes it's still just a straight line
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Old 01-25-2019, 12:38 AM   #3
xoxoxoBruce
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This shows the percentage of population which is religious from you bet your bippy Utah, to the deeply heathen northwest.
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Old 01-25-2019, 05:10 PM   #4
glatt
 
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Yesterday's electricity supply in California by type over the course of the day. See that big green bump during the middle of the day? That's solar. It only woks when the sun shines. The rest of the time, they have to bring the natural gas plants on line and import electricity from neighboring states. Nuclear output doesn't fluctuate at all.

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Old 01-28-2019, 08:45 PM   #5
Glinda
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Quote:
Originally Posted by xoxoxoBruce View Post
This shows the percentage of population which is religious from you bet your bippy Utah, to the deeply heathen northwest.
OALC I'm surrounded.
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Old 01-28-2019, 04:10 PM   #6
Flint
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Flint View Post
I've always encouraged everyone to ignore news articles about Trump's approval rating. Instead, consult a reliable polling aggregate like 538, and observe that no matter what happens, it always averages out to a straight line over any reasonable length of time (that is to say-- you either love him or you hate him).

I still believe this, but I was curious about whether enough time has passed since the government shutdown for the polling averages to catch up, and show what people think (in the short term) in regards to Trump "owning" the shutdown.

What I see here is an extended, starkly directional line, like rarely has happened (not since right after he was elected, and then, arguably, in December 2017). Does it mean anything? Who knows? Here's the visual:

*and over the entire tenure, yes it's still just a straight line
Any change since the shutdown ended on Friday? Too soon for the polls to reflect this, but no break in the trend. Trump was riding a smooth straight line since May 2018, then the shutdown began and the effect was immediate-- rocketing him to within 1.5 points of the worst he's ever done (August and December of 2017).
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******************
There's a level of facility that everyone needs to accomplish, and from there
it's a matter of deciding for yourself how important ultra-facility is to your
expression. ... I found, like Joseph Campbell said, if you just follow whatever
gives you a little joy or excitement or awe, then you're on the right track.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Terry Bozzio
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Old 03-11-2019, 04:00 PM   #7
Flint
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Quote:
Originally Posted by Flint View Post
I've always encouraged everyone to ignore news articles about Trump's approval rating. Instead, consult a reliable polling aggregate like 538, and observe that no matter what happens, it always averages out to a straight line over any reasonable length of time (that is to say-- you either love him or you hate him).

...
but I was curious about whether enough time has passed since the government shutdown for the polling averages to catch up, and show what people think (in the short term) in regards to Trump "owning" the shutdown.
...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Flint View Post
...
Any change since the shutdown ended on Friday?
...
Checked https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...roval-ratings/ today, Trump's approval rating bumped back up after the shutdown scandal, to--you guessed it--almost exactly where it was a year ago. Literally nothing that happens can affect his approval over time--it's a pure, perfect split of made-up minds.
__________________
******************
There's a level of facility that everyone needs to accomplish, and from there
it's a matter of deciding for yourself how important ultra-facility is to your
expression. ... I found, like Joseph Campbell said, if you just follow whatever
gives you a little joy or excitement or awe, then you're on the right track.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Terry Bozzio
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Old 01-25-2019, 08:14 AM   #8
Clodfobble
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Water sure is fine here in "Austin Lake"...
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Old 01-25-2019, 10:23 AM   #9
Griff
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Ha!
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Old 01-25-2019, 10:16 PM   #10
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Water sure is fine here in "Austin Lake"...
Ramen sister!
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Old 01-26-2019, 12:23 AM   #11
xoxoxoBruce
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You're telling me that CA solar is putting out 2200 megawatts when the sun don't shine... at night... when it's dark?


Oh I get it, duh. Not solar, renewables.
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Old 01-25-2019, 06:59 PM   #12
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That is a great resource, I wish we had one for every location.

Change the date to various August days to see usage in peak summer... but in any case, batteries and grid storage and smart charging would smooth that out nicely!
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Old 01-26-2019, 07:54 AM   #13
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That is a great resource, I wish we had one for every location.


I have been playing with this a little bit. Just realized there is an app for that, and through the app, you can get alerts when certain conditions of your choosing arise.

Not sure how to set the alerts. Can an individual purchase electricity from a specific producer in another state? This map shows the price ftim different producers in real time as they fluctuate through the day.
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Old 01-26-2019, 07:57 AM   #14
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Old 01-26-2019, 12:07 PM   #15
xoxoxoBruce
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See, this is what happens when the government sticks their nose into private enterprise. What? Cheaper more reliable power, that's what.
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