Celebrity Death Pool 2012 - Page 2

glatt · 12-21-2011, 10:33 AM

Yes, and no.

A 65 year old is expected to live 17 more years. A 75 year old is expected to live 10 more years.

So if you pick a 75 year old, they are more likely to die in the next year than a 65 year old, but they are also more likely to be an older age when they die, because they already are an older age.

footfootfoot · 12-21-2011, 11:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by glatt

Yes, and no.

A 65 year old is expected to live 17 more years. A 75 year old is expected to live 10 more years.

So if you pick a 75 year old, they are more likely to die in the next year than a 65 year old, but they are also more likely to be an older age when they die, because they already are an older age.

Right, I was thinking that a 65 y.o. in poor health is a better contender than an 85 y.o. who is swimming a few miles a day.

Note how many 90 y.o. on my list are still going strong, whereas...

Sheldonrs · 12-21-2011, 11:35 AM

Zsa Zsa Gabor
Mohamed Ali
Betty White
Stephen Hawkings
Queen Elizabeth II
Larry Flynt
Sophia Loren
Richard Dawson
Etta James
LaToya Jackson

wolf · 12-26-2011, 11:38 AM

Letting it ride. I'll be right eventually.

1. Roger Moore
2. Brittany Spears
3. Dick Clark
4. Paris Hilton
5. Donald Trump
6. Charlie Watts
7. Larry King
8. Clint Eastwood
9. Keith Richards
10. Will Ferrell

Lamplighter · 12-21-2011, 11:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by footfootfoot

I'm revising my strategy this year based on info I gleaned from actuarial tables. As you live longer your life expectancy increases. A 64 y.o. person has a shorter life expectancy than a 75 year old person. A newborn has a shorter life expectancy than a 70 year old.

Last year my strategy was to pack the list with 90 year olds in otherwise good health. This year I am aiming lower in age and going for people with dodgy constitutions.

You can expect Zsa Zsa again and Ali, of course. I need to think a bit before my list is official.

Ft3, your strategy is in the wrong thread... it should be over here...

.

infinite monkey · 12-22-2011, 09:31 AM

Imma use and edit last years. People gotta die SOMETIME.

(What, I only had to replace ONE? I really need a rock star on here. Rock stars die a lot. But I don't want to replace anyone on here.)

1) Tara Reid
2) Phil Donahue
3) Ann B Davis
4) Laraine Newman
5) Ed Ames
6) Ernest Borgnine
7) Dick Cheney
8) Olivia de Havilland
9) Teri Garr
10) Muhammad Ali

infinite monkey · 07-09-2012, 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by infinite monkey

Imma use and edit last years. People gotta die SOMETIME.

(What, I only had to replace ONE? I really need a rock star on here. Rock stars die a lot. But I don't want to replace anyone on here.)

1) Tara Reid
2) Phil Donahue
3) Ann B Davis
4) Laraine Newman
5) Ed Ames
6) Ernest Borgnine
7) Dick Cheney
8) Olivia de Havilland
9) Teri Garr
10) Muhammad Ali

infinite monkey · 12-22-2011, 09:33 AM

If you're not sure if somebody be dead, check here:

http://www.deadoraliveinfo.com/dead.nsf/pages-nf/main

classicman · 12-22-2011, 11:20 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by infinite monkey

If you're not sure if somebody be dead, check here:

http://www.deadoraliveinfo.com/dead.nsf/pages-nf/main

That would be ... like work.

Sundae · 12-22-2011, 10:53 AM

Margaret Thatcher
Christopher Lee
Fidel Castro
Micky Rooney

More to follow.

Sundae · 12-25-2011, 04:15 AM

Margaret Thatcher
Fidel Castro
Micky Rooney
Geoffrey Hughes
Prince Philip
Bill Tarmey
Zsa Zsa Gabor
Ronnie Biggs
Kirk Douglas
Clive Dunn

infinite monkey · 12-22-2011, 11:30 AM

Yabbut I'm often amazed to find I have no idea if someone died or not. I had to look up Bob Denver. Bob Denver, ffs. You think I'd know, almost intuitively, that Gilligan is no longer with us.

Undertoad · 12-22-2011, 01:15 PM

David Bowie
Whitney Houston
Bryan Bartlett "Bart" Starr
Kirk Douglas
Charles "Chuck" Wepner
Steven Adler
Etta James
Abdelbaset al-Megrahi
Hugo Chavez
Tawny Kitaen

limey · 12-25-2011, 10:25 AM

I suspect Prince P is gone already but they didn't want to spoil our Christmas ...

footfootfoot · 12-25-2011, 02:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by limey

I suspect Prince P is gone already but they didn't want to spoil our Christmas ...

Stiff upper lip and all that?

12-21-2011, 11:35 AM	#3
Sheldonrs Master Dwellar Join Date: Oct 2006 Location: Los Angeles, CA Posts: 4,412	Zsa Zsa Gabor Mohamed Ali Betty White Stephen Hawkings Queen Elizabeth II Larry Flynt Sophia Loren Richard Dawson Etta James LaToya Jackson __________________ Laugh and the world laughs with you; cry and the world laughs AT you.

12-26-2011, 11:38 AM	#4
wolf lobber of scimitars Join Date: Jul 2001 Location: Phila Burbs Posts: 20,774	Letting it ride. I'll be right eventually. 1. Roger Moore 2. Brittany Spears 3. Dick Clark 4. Paris Hilton 5. Donald Trump 6. Charlie Watts 7. Larry King 8. Clint Eastwood 9. Keith Richards 10. Will Ferrell __________________ wolf eht htiw og "Conspiracies are the norm, not the exception." --G. Edward Griffin The Creature from Jekyll Island High Priestess of the Church of the Whale Penis

12-25-2011, 10:25 AM	#14
limey Encroaching on your decrees Join Date: Feb 2004 Location: An island within the south-west coast of Scotland Posts: 7,016	I suspect Prince P is gone already but they didn't want to spoil our Christmas ... __________________ Living it up on the edge ... of civilisation, within the southwest coast of

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12-21-2011, 10:33 AM	#1
glatt ™ Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: Arlington, VA Posts: 27,717	Yes, and no. A 65 year old is expected to live 17 more years. A 75 year old is expected to live 10 more years. So if you pick a 75 year old, they are more likely to die in the next year than a 65 year old, but they are also more likely to be an older age when they die, because they already are an older age.

12-22-2011, 09:31 AM	#6
infinite monkey Person who doesn't update the user title Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 13,002	Imma use and edit last years. People gotta die SOMETIME. (What, I only had to replace ONE? I really need a rock star on here. Rock stars die a lot. But I don't want to replace anyone on here.) 1) Tara Reid 2) Phil Donahue 3) Ann B Davis 4) Laraine Newman 5) Ed Ames 6) Ernest Borgnine 7) Dick Cheney 8) Olivia de Havilland 9) Teri Garr 10) Muhammad Ali

12-22-2011, 09:33 AM	#8
infinite monkey Person who doesn't update the user title Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 13,002	If you're not sure if somebody be dead, check here: http://www.deadoraliveinfo.com/dead.nsf/pages-nf/main

12-22-2011, 10:53 AM	#10
Sundae polaroid of perfection Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: West Yorkshire Posts: 24,185	Margaret Thatcher Christopher Lee Fidel Castro Micky Rooney More to follow.

12-25-2011, 04:15 AM	#11
Sundae polaroid of perfection Join Date: Sep 2005 Location: West Yorkshire Posts: 24,185	Margaret Thatcher Fidel Castro Micky Rooney Geoffrey Hughes Prince Philip Bill Tarmey Zsa Zsa Gabor Ronnie Biggs Kirk Douglas Clive Dunn

12-22-2011, 11:30 AM	#12
infinite monkey Person who doesn't update the user title Join Date: Mar 2011 Posts: 13,002	Yabbut I'm often amazed to find I have no idea if someone died or not. I had to look up Bob Denver. Bob Denver, ffs. You think I'd know, almost intuitively, that Gilligan is no longer with us.

12-22-2011, 01:15 PM	#13
Undertoad Radical Centrist Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: Cottage of Prussia Posts: 31,423	David Bowie Whitney Houston Bryan Bartlett "Bart" Starr Kirk Douglas Charles "Chuck" Wepner Steven Adler Etta James Abdelbaset al-Megrahi Hugo Chavez Tawny Kitaen

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