Celebrity Death Pool 2012

[footfootfoot]

Originally Posted by glatt

Yes, and no.

A 65 year old is expected to live 17 more years. A 75 year old is expected to live 10 more years.

So if you pick a 75 year old, they are more likely to die in the next year than a 65 year old, but they are also more likely to be an older age when they die, because they already are an older age.

Right, I was thinking that a 65 y.o. in poor health is a better contender than an 85 y.o. who is swimming a few miles a day.

Note how many 90 y.o. on my list are still going strong, whereas...