A Rural Area with Moderate Politics

[Undertoad]

COVID infection rates seem poised to only climb and climb

Naw

When examining the numbers for the states, please use https://rt.live/ . For individual states the "Adjusted Positive Tests & Implied Infections" curve at the bottom. That shows what is actually happening.

The majority of states now have a decreasing infection rate...!

A wild number of variables at play here, but seasonality is going to remain a big one, as all the southern states rose at the same time (and now the western European states are having their second wave at the height of their summers) (and now Minnesota)

Meanwhile, NYC is at least 25% immune and went over an enormous mountain to get there, but has not seen a second wave. It's figured maybe this is enough herd immunity to keep it at bay, at the current level of restricted social distancing.

[Ibby]

Originally Posted by Undertoad

Naw

When examining the numbers for the states, please use https://rt.live/ . For individual states the "Adjusted Positive Tests & Implied Infections" curve at the bottom. That shows what is actually happening.

The majority of states now have a decreasing infection rate...!

A wild number of variables at play here, but seasonality is going to remain a big one, as all the southern states rose at the same time (and now the western European states are having their second wave at the height of their summers) (and now Minnesota)

Meanwhile, NYC is at least 25% immune and went over an enormous mountain to get there, but has not seen a second wave. It's figured maybe this is enough herd immunity to keep it at bay, at the current level of restricted social distancing.

school is starting back up, colleges are opening, fall is coming... you're more optimistic than i am about that, clearly, but i sure think things are about to get even worse before they get better unless serious steps are taken

[Undertoad]

Originally Posted by Undertoad

The majority of states now have a decreasing infection rate...!

Now only 16 states increasing, fewer day by day. South Dakota is having a bad time, Either Sturgis was a big vector, or it was just the middle North's turn as every region gets its own curve. Still, these numbers are in the hundreds, not thousands.

rt.live

[xoxoxoBruce]

I'd be shocked if Sturgis wasn't a vector, most of those guys/gals think it's all a big hoax perpetrated by Big Pharma, Hospital executives, politicians left or right, etc.

But it is still out there and still deadly for some people.
Apparently some people can get reinfected or get infected by a mutation.
Slowing does not mean stopped so wear a condom mask.