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Old 03-05-2012, 06:04 AM   #10
ZenGum
Doctor Wtf
 
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Badelaide, Baustralia
Posts: 12,861
I got a whiff of dodgy stats when I noticed the figure they present ( -15) is based on comparing the strongly approve and the strongly disapprove. What about the moderates?
And then why base the data on that particular day? was it, perhaps, a bit of a statistical outlier?

Follow the links to the original source.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/publ..._index_history

Ignore the "Presidential approval index" which focuses on the extremists who aren't going to swing. Look at the two columns on the far right, total approve and total disapprove. Scroll back to look over the last couple of months.

Make your own interpretation.

My interpretation is hidden below:
So far this year:
The difference has never been more than 45/55, and has often been within four points.
Disapprove has been higher most of the time, but not always.
over the year, this shows a moderate preponderance of disapproval.


ETA it's worth scrolling at high speed through his entire term.

Of course, the problem for the republican candidates is that people disapprove of them even more.
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