I have two theories on the Orange level
1) It's an attempt to soften up Americans by getting them used to unreasonable search and seizure and any other sorts of restrictions they will use the Orange level to justify
2) It's Al Queda having a hell of a time using known-insecure communications paths to "plan" events which ain't going to happen, precisely in order to get the US all jumpy around the holidays. I mean, why bother doing all that terrorism stuff when by talking about it you can send the infidel into a frenzy.
Paranoia aside 2 is much more likely than 1.
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