November scenarios

[flaja]

I think that the winner of the election in November will depend mostly on whom McCain chooses as his running mate.

If McCain doesn’t have an evangelical running mate, he won’t have anything to counter the black vote in the South. This means that Obama will win regardless of whom his running mate is.

I think a McCain/Huckabee ticket would beat any Obama ticket that didn’t include Clinton. Evangelicals would outvote blacks in the South and Democrats in Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and West Virginia would resent not having Clinton on the ticket, so McCain would have a better than even chance of winning these states.

A McCain/Huckabee ticket would have a better than even chance of losing to an Obama/Clinton ticket because Obama would have a good chance of winning Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan and West Virginia.