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#23 | |
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"The growing dependence of the United States on foreign sources for its liquid fuels has significant strategic and economic implications. The United States has been a net importer of oil for more than 50 years, and today, imports nearly 60 percent of its liquid hydrocarbon needs (Figure 1). The U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) projects that U.S. imports may double, to 19.8 MMBbl/D by 2025. By then imports will exceed 70 percent of demand, the vast majority coming from Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). As imports rise, America’s vulnerability to price shocks, disruptions, and shortages will also increase.... Is increasing dependence on OPEC oil in the best long-term interests of the United States? Adding urgency to these questions is the indication that world oil production may peak sooner than generally believed, accelerating the onset of inevitable competition among consumers (and nations) for ever-scarcer oil resources. A major part of the world’s future oil supply must come from OPEC sources, principally Saudi Arabia. Saudi Arabia has been able to maintain a production capacity of about 10 million barrels per day. The Saudi productive capacity is projected by EIA to nearly double, increasing to 19.5 million barrels per day by 2020 (Ref. 9, page 235). It is not now apparent, however, that adequate investments are being made in the Saudi fields to double oil production by 2020." |
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