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Old 01-11-2011, 05:25 AM   #1
loTEK911
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China conducts first test-flight of stealth plane

Wow. I can't remember the last time I logged on here. Years maybe! Long time no see! So I'm looking for educated input here. If the US, who has the largest defense budget in the world by far, is trying to down grade thier (our) military & focus on rapid mobilization & anti insurgent tactics, (rightly so) why is China dumping mass $$ into a stealth fighter that is predominately effective only in a mass modern war. A concept that most experts view as a thing of the past. Cold war days. I have allways had faith in the Cellar. Enlighten me.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:33 AM   #2
loTEK911
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I forgot. It's been awhile.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12159571
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Old 01-11-2011, 06:35 AM   #3
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To defend North Korea with? Perhaps China believes that the North will eventually exceed the South's tolerance for harassment, either in quality or quantity, and that retaliation is inevitable.
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Old 01-11-2011, 09:34 AM   #4
tw
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Quote:
Originally Posted by sexobon View Post
To defend North Korea with?
That implies complete ignorance of what is ongoing inside China. For example, if you understand China, then you understand why the Chinese military would not tell the central party leadership about a crash between a Chinese fighter plane and a US spy plane. Those reasons why start to explain the so many different power brokers with different agendas in China.

Unfortunatley too many only see black and white, monolithic governments with one totalitarian leader, and other Limbaugh style logic. China is a far more interesting, confusing, complex, and serious set of forces. For example, what are China's strategic objectives? Long before answering China's military developments, one must have answers to that far more important question.
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Old 01-13-2011, 01:04 PM   #5
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Quote:
Originally Posted by tw View Post
Unfortunatley too many only see black and white, monolithic governments with one totalitarian leader, and other Limbaugh style logic. China is a far more interesting, confusing, complex, and serious set of forces. For example, what are China's strategic objectives? Long before answering China's military developments, one must have answers to that far more important question.
You have hit the nail on the head, TW. If we understand China's strategic objectives, the reasons for China's actions will become clear.

China has not developed the stealth bomber just so they can flip the US government the bird.

Historically, China has always been xenophobic. In more recent times the atrocities visited upon China by Japan in WWII and now the terrorist attacks of 9/11 have ensured that China is highly mistrustful of other nations.

It is important for the Chinese goverment to overcome forces for separatism, extremism, and terrorism which are rampant in some parts of China and which challenge both China's economic prosperity and government stability.

China would also like to develop oil markets for itself in Central Asia and other regions. This has become even more important due to poor Chinese-Russian energy relations.

As far as being able to obtain the necessary materials to produce highly destructive weapons, that's a global problem, not just a Chinese one.
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Old 01-11-2011, 10:36 AM   #6
sexobon
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SHADOW! What took you so long to get here? You know I don't typically post in this kind of thread. I just wanted to see if you were going to come and quote me; or, the thread's creator. So predictable, damn parasite.
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Old 01-11-2011, 05:52 PM   #7
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People are very upset with Wikileaks for giving out secret US documents.

But I have wondered in the past, and now with this stealth plane being debuted in China,
just how do other countries make such rapid engineering progress.
I assume it has taken the US many years to develop the stealth designs and materials.
Did China really develop their designs independently of the US ?

We now know that Russia received documents for many years that kept them abreast of US weaponry.
But are these other countries (China, Iran, North Korea) likewise able to copy design developments ?
It would almost require them to penetrate each and every US company working on a project needed for a viable weapon.

I don't believe they are getting copies via Wikileaks.
Maybe I'm just paranoid enough to believe they are getting data
straight from the US government or from our allies.
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Old 01-11-2011, 07:07 PM   #8
loTEK911
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Our allies haven't exactly proven themselves on the up & up with us.
http://blog.washingtonpost.com/spy-t...g_us_musl.html
But you have to ask about motivation. I can see maybe Israel, hypothetically, getting their hands on complete tech info for the F-22 and, not having a need to build a stealth fighter themselves, might sell it. But with the vast amounts of cash nations throw at each other, the price tag doesn't seem worth risking the loss of the US as an ally. It's one thing to steal plans for spy cameras & drones to use themselves. It's another to jeopardize US air supremacy by selling stealth tech to a rival super power.
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Old 01-11-2011, 07:23 PM   #9
loTEK911
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I think I found the answer to my question. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-pacific-12154991 The only thing is I thought I heard that we were so in debt with China, a war between the 2 would cripple China economically.
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Old 01-12-2011, 09:12 AM   #10
tw
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Take special note of proper nouns used in your citations. They did not say China or Central Party. They often said PLA. A major and important distinction that so many will overlook. Many assume a monolithic China. Then assume PLA is just another word for China. There is no monolithic China. There is no monolithic N Korea. Those who assume otherwise may fail to read what the author was really writing.
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Old 01-13-2011, 01:36 PM   #11
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All that AND when you look at a map, China is surrounded by competitors on all borders, who have changed at different rates. They have nations on three different sides who are on the Most Likely To Suddenly Become Assholes list. Any nation would look at that map and figure they need to be able to get serious.

Until they have an entry on the list of aircraft carriers in service, they can't project force on a global basis.
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Old 01-13-2011, 01:43 PM   #12
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So why doesn't China have an aircraft carrier?

How long does it take to build up a navy? The are growing really fast. They have basically pulled themselves into the modern world by their bootstraps in a decade. You'd think that would have included a navy.
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Old 01-13-2011, 03:19 PM   #13
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So why doesn't China have an aircraft carrier?

How long does it take to build up a navy? The are growing really fast. They have basically pulled themselves into the modern world by their bootstraps in a decade. You'd think that would have included a navy.
They've historically had an extremely insular culture, and aircraft carriers are all about projecting force far from your borders. While I'm sure they wouldn't mind having one (Varyag), there are probably plenty of things far higher on their agenda.
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Old 01-13-2011, 06:09 PM   #14
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Quote:
Originally Posted by glatt View Post
So why doesn't China have an aircraft carrier?

How long does it take to build up a navy? The are growing really fast. They have basically pulled themselves into the modern world by their bootstraps in a decade. You'd think that would have included a navy.
They are currently building one. Fast. If I remember correctly they are fastest growing navy in the world right now.

Undertoad basically said what I have heard as well. Almost all trade from the Indian Ocean to Pacific Ocean goes through the Strait of Malacca (Singapore anyone??) and for the past 60 years it has been protected solely by the US Navy. I doubt China is seriously worried about the US or India, they are building a navy as well, shutting it down because of the economic consequences to all countries but it is in China's best interests to be able to protect their interests in the strait and Chinese funded ports in Pakistan and Indonesia themselves.


China will be interesting to watch in the upcoming century. There are predictions that they will attempt to control their surrounding area in similar manner that the US solidified regional power in the Americas. Gain sole naval control of the South China Sea (Caribbean Sea) and build a canal through Thailand (Panama).
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Old 01-13-2011, 06:16 PM   #15
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Remember Reagan's "Bear in the woods" commercials

Reagan embarked on building a 600-ship navy, and succeeded by the end of his second term.

Then Congress turned $ around and now the fleet is/has been reduced.
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