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09-07-2008, 01:31 AM | #1 |
Constitutional Scholar
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Ocala, FL
Posts: 4,006
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Gambling $3,000 On The Election.
So far, I've got about $3,000 bet with people I know who insist that McCain will win.
Actually, I bet my wife an all expense paid trip to Vietnam for a month. That's about $1,500 or slightly more. I bet some other Vietnamese people I know 4 bottles of Martell Cognac Cordon Bleu (about $450), and I bet my wife's uncle (also Vietnamese) $1,000 cash. I've asked my Vietnamese friends and family why they would want a man who calls Vietnamese people "gooks" to be elected. They let their racism slip out when they said, "It's better than having a black guy..." I was originally going to buy 3 new game consoles, but now when I win these bets, I'm going to buy a new Sony Bravia 1080p LCD (120 Hz) Television. It's the best tv I've ever seen. Thank you President Obama. My personal economy is looking better already.
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09-07-2008, 01:35 AM | #2 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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Did you tell them he's only something like, less than 7% black?
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
09-07-2008, 01:41 AM | #3 |
Constitutional Scholar
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Ocala, FL
Posts: 4,006
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No. I just told them to be ready to pay me in 2 months.
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"I'm completely in favor of the separation of Church and State. My idea is that these two institutions screw us up enough on their own, so both of them together is certain death." - George Carlin |
09-07-2008, 09:02 AM | #4 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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Luckily you don't need racist "friends" to make this wager. You can currently get 43 cents on the dollar and there's no question you'll get paid:
http://www.intrade.com/ |
09-07-2008, 09:38 AM | #5 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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You might want to wait on Intrade until later today. Zogby has the race McCain 50, Obama 46 this morning, and you'll get a better price waiting until the market digests this new information.
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09-07-2008, 12:44 PM | #7 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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09-07-2008, 12:49 PM | #8 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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Yes.
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
09-07-2008, 12:49 PM | #9 |
Constitutional Scholar
Join Date: Dec 2002
Location: Ocala, FL
Posts: 4,006
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I don't care what those polls say. They aren't conducted scientifically and minorities tend not to take them as much.
I'm confident in my bet. Realclearpolitics averages all of the polls and they still have Obama ahead anyway.
__________________
"I'm completely in favor of the separation of Church and State. My idea is that these two institutions screw us up enough on their own, so both of them together is certain death." - George Carlin |
09-07-2008, 07:25 PM | #10 |
Cleverly disguised as a responsible adult
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Dallas, TX
Posts: 3,338
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I'm kinda broke but put me down for $5 on McCain too.
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Never be afraid to tell the world who you are. -- Anonymous |
09-07-2008, 09:50 PM | #12 |
The future is unwritten
Join Date: Oct 2002
Posts: 71,105
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State of Anxiety = 76%
State of Fear = 68% State of Angst = 56% State of depression = 64% State of Calm = 4%
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The descent of man ~ Nixon, Friedman, Reagan, Trump. |
09-08-2008, 04:48 AM | #13 |
Radical Centrist
Join Date: Jan 2001
Location: Cottage of Prussia
Posts: 31,423
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Realclearpolitics is a rolling average of all these types of polls. On the basis of USA Today/Gallup likely voters 10 point edge to McCain, this morning the RCP average has McCain up by one point.
But like I predicted, you can now get Obama 2.5 cents cheaper on intrade. |
09-08-2008, 05:41 AM | #14 |
still says videotape
Join Date: Feb 2001
Posts: 26,813
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I wonder if Obama already hit his ceiling? The lack of bounce out of the convention seems to indicate that. The Palin thing has really paid off for the GOP from my unofficial snooping among the faithful yesterday.
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If you would only recognize that life is hard, things would be so much easier for you. - Louis D. Brandeis |
09-08-2008, 07:31 AM | #15 |
™
Join Date: Jul 2003
Location: Arlington, VA
Posts: 27,717
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Yeah, she sure is energizing the GOP.
The left hates her, and the middle isn't sure. We'll see how she fares once she has to actually answer questions instead of giving speeches. We're still a long way out from the election, and anything can happen. She's doing well now though. |
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