The Cellar - View Single Post - Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

Undertoad · 04-08-2020, 08:19 AM

Two days later, most excellent update on the IHME models website which everyone is using

Overall US:
- # of deaths projected decreased from 93,531 to 81,766 to 60,415
- Projected total bed shortage went from 87,674 to 36,654 to 15,852
- Peak dates (April 15 for resource needed peak, 16th for peak daily death toll) down to April 13/12
- Under 200 deaths a day: Moved from June 3 to May 18 to May 16

New speculation is that the disease resembles high altitude sickness, and docs are on their way to developing a way to fight it with the new details they have found. One possible outcome is that respirators may be the wrong approach.

04-08-2020, 08:19 AM	#454
Undertoad Radical Centrist Join Date: Jan 2001 Location: Cottage of Prussia Posts: 31,423	Two days later, most excellent update on the IHME models website which everyone is using Overall US: - # of deaths projected decreased from 93,531 to 81,766 to 60,415 - Projected total bed shortage went from 87,674 to 36,654 to 15,852 - Peak dates (April 15 for resource needed peak, 16th for peak daily death toll) down to April 13/12 - Under 200 deaths a day: Moved from June 3 to May 18 to May 16 New speculation is that the disease resembles high altitude sickness, and docs are on their way to developing a way to fight it with the new details they have found. One possible outcome is that respirators may be the wrong approach.