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Old 10-15-2005, 07:44 PM   #13
xker
Lead Subordinate
 
Join Date: Jul 2005
Location: Beijing now
Posts: 15
In fact,as well as on base of these,the big deltoid strategic relationship between China,USA and USSR can dominate the world political situation for tens of years,and China can be one of the most influential countries about world situation like USA and USSR for the first time since one hundred yeas ago.

[conventional stratagem of nuclear deterrent is impacted by "new element" along with the high-speed advancement of technology]

But time's going on,from our viewpoint,conventional stratagem of nuclear deterrent,which successfully kept could peace in last tens of years,is impacted by "new element" along with the high-speed advancement of technology.

We know there's big act of Bush on security stratagem in his second term,in our eyes,this "big act" namely start up the SDI which was vary hard to carry out because of the limit of technology.

By our observe,the idea of restarting SDI absolutely is not just by a whim.The truth is,USA never give up his plans of NMD and TMD recent years.

From our viewpoint,the new SDI is the "new age version" of Reagan's SDI on one hand,it's the "inevitable extend" of NMD and TMD on the other hand,that is:abrogate adversary's ability of nuclear retaliation as the same time as insure the nuclear deterren of USA,and then realize the "absolute security" and "absolute supremacy" that USA hankers.

[without "technical realizing" of SDI,the NMD will be a rib of chicken(means a thing that no good enough,but still regrettable to throw away) ]

[the "fastest way" to "absolute supremacy" of USA]

In fact,soever Reagan facing the nuclear arsenal of USSR which can destroy USA "N" times or Bush facing the nuclear arsenal of Russia which can destroy USA "M" times or facing the ability of nuclear retaliation of China which can destroy hundreds of USA's cities,to get the "absolute security",it will be the fastest way if USA can accomplish the SDI system and then abrogate ability of nuclear retaliation of China,Russia even Europe.If this is realizable,to Washington.who thirst for dominate all the earth,soever which party in the white house,they will be desirous to carry out SDI plan.

So,from our viewpoint,the reason why Washington stop this plan before,the key reason is the difficulty of technology.

From our observe,it was in the Afghanistan war at 2001 and Irag war later,the USA army successfully used his GPS and other outer space military technologies,changed the war which was suppose to be very bloody to a "game of war".This stimulated Washington's "desire of dominate outer space alone" farther.

[Washington's "desire of dominate outer space alone" root in two elements]
From out point of view,Washington's "desire of dominate outer space alone" root in two elements,one if that USA army depend on outer space system deeply,the other one is that Russia,China and Europe who have high level outer space technologies can do a lot of damage to USA's outer space systems.

Thus,USA army,who benefit a lot from "dominate the outer space" during Afghanistan and Irag war,start to make request to the Pentagon for "absolute predominance of technologies".We noticed that USA army specially emphasize the importance of "technical predominance" in to areas:"monopolization of infomation collections" and "location of enemy's target".

[Washington made certain that "controling outer space certainly will be the key of a new round of arms race]]

From our point of view,USA army's new request which was derived from the require of actual combat lead the Pentagon to such a conclusion:the USA army's predominance of military technology won"t have any problem when treat with little counties like Afghanistan and Irag which can"t impact USA army's outer space system in the least.But when facing adversaries like Russia,China even EU,it's far from enough if only depend on 'several operational satellites flying along near-earth orbit".The reason is very simple:these adversaries not only have their own abilities of outer space information collection and location,but also have the ability of abecedarian outer space battle to destroy that 'several operational satellites flying along near-earth orbit,specially Russia and China.

So,Washington made certain that "controling outer space certainly will be the key of a new round of arms race.


[players who really have competence to attend outer space arms race]

However,just like France and UK all have nuclear force but not able to carry out a nuclear war becase of their "territory" and "population",accordingly USA and USSR never be fear of them,in the field of developing spaceflight technologies,"territory" and "population" are tarnal important elements like technology level and economic capacity.

From our viewpoint,there are only three countries are provided with the "foure elements" above synchronously:USA,China and Russia,who has his "delegate" in the outer space today.Of course,if EU can accomplish their integration of politics,they will be the fourth.

So,in USA's eyes,players of outer space arms race are "USA,EU,China and Russia" doubtless.

[USA's second SDI plan even has a very arbitrary name-"veto"]

According to the describe by USA army,once plan SDI II bring into effect,USA will be the only country that has the ability of military control in outer space.What we should be watchful of is that the Pentagon name this new outer space plan a very arbitrary name "veto" to incarnate the core objective of SDI II.That means once any other country's(include allys) crosscurrent will be vetoed.

[After accomplishing the new SDI,USA will closure the usufruct of near-earth outer space of all other countries]

If the arbitrary "veto" still can"t incarnate USA's ambition of dominate outer space alone,then a file of USA army we got clearly "described" USA's ultimate objective,that is:first,USA will closure the usufruct of near-earth outer space of all other countries after accomplishing the new SDI plan,secondly,"any other countries or orgnizations"(include USA's allys and international orgnizations) will not be able to use outer space resources on developing military information collection or other military intent without USA's permission.

In addition,please notice that near-earth outer space that Washington plan to close is not only outer space hundreds km away from earth where spaceflights and satellites fly in,but include all the outer space from earth to moon.
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