Thread: Global warming?
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Old 08-29-2012, 12:24 PM   #954
Happy Monkey
I think this line's mostly filler.
 
Join Date: Jan 2003
Location: DC
Posts: 13,575
Quote:
Originally Posted by glatt View Post
The odds of that happening by simple chance are not important. It's history. We know it happened. The odds, in hindsight, are 100%.
"By chance" is the operative word. If someone's playing craps, and they keep rolling 7s, there's a point where, while it is theoretically possible that it's just a lucky streak, you have to assume that it's a weighted set of dice.

The odds of the warming happening by chance are good for convincing the subset of deniers who (a) are convincable, and (b) haven't moved on to "OK it's happening, but it's a natural cycle" or "OK it's manmade, but warm weather will be lovely". So a very small set.
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