Here's an interesting article relating to scientific predictions about the future and how wrong that can be and how wrong the consistently are.
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http://www.reason.com/rb/rb020404.shtml
Ronald Bailey
I am testifying at an oversight hearing before the House Subcommittee on Energy and Mineral Resources on "The Impact of Science on Public Policy" today, Feb. 4, 2004. I was asked to submit testimony about how and why environmental predictions have gone wrong. What follows is the written version of my testimony. (I get a whole five minutes to speak.)
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Enjoy