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My 2 cents = for what it's worth
98SE = more memory won't change as much
ti4200 = in my system now and does the job nicely
Your real need = probably anything that will be able to run the doom 3, half life 2 engines that will be the basis for those and many future 3d games
The good news = the xbox target has reduced the low level playability so that even geforce 2 may be able to run them decently
The bad news = both games will take advantage of geforce 4 level capabilities to improve the overall experience
Final recommendation = get the ti4200
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