Quote:
Originally Posted by piercehawkeye45
But, to be slightly optimistic, China seems to want to avoid a war right now so NK hopefully won't get any support from them if gets to that point.
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China has as much say in NK as the US has say in Mexico.
But there is a larger question being asked. Who ordered the attack? Very good reasons to believe a power struggle is ongoing in N Korea. The extremists may be exercising power. Or the attack could have been a fringe element of the NK military doing it on their own.
Kim has a secret train ride to China. Presumably for talks. Maybe as deception for an ongoing power struggle – maybe he was never on that train. Maybe China wanted to have a talk with Kim about doing something stupid. Simply raises another important question - why was Kim in China?
Long before assuming Kim ordered this attack, first ask, what is its purpose? What makes more sense is some military subordinate screw up similar to the silly China Spy Plane fiasco. Where the Chinese military would not even tell Chinese party leadership that a mid air collision occurred.
If an attack was ordered by Kim, then what did he expect to gain from it? What is the larger strategy? Even crazy leaders have an agenda or objective. An attack ordered by Kim makes no sense. A struggle for control of the NK government - that makes more sense. Or using that as a tool to manipulate increased Chinese aid. Or simply a rogue submarine Captain. Or a training exercise where they accidently fired the torpedo. Or ... the only thing that makes no sense is Kim ordering an attack.
Where is the up side in that especially when Kim is at odds with his extremists over getting his people enough food from outside sources.