Quote:
Originally Posted by classicman
You think they'll lose seats? I was just trying to read up on the latest regarding this. There seem to be a lot more R's retiring/leaving than D's.
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Absolutely, the Ds will lose seats....nearly always happens in the mid-term elections in the first term of a president.
There are more R retirments in both the House and Senate, but more D senators up for re-election than Rs.
The 60 seat super majority in the Senate is definitely gone. If I were to predict now, the Ds will hold 54 or 55.
The Ds have a 40 seat cushion in the House and many are in historical R districts....it would be shocking if they lose the majority, but it will shrink significantly...losing 20 or more seats.
But alot can happen between now and November and much also depends on the Rs....if they run extremists candidates like the hard core base wants or the Tea Baggers run independent candidates and split the vote on the right, the loss to the Ds wont be that bad.