[ZenGum]

Here are some up to date statistics, but they are all about South Australia.

We have had 6842 confirmed cases of H1N1 2009 influenza A (sounds much more scientific when I say it that way, doesn't it?) AKA swine flu.

There have been 12 people who have died with the disease. However, at least nine of involved "significant" other health problems - bone cancer, emphysema, etc.

6842 / 12 = 570.

That is a one in 570 chance of dying from swine flu, if you get it. That's 0.175%. That is less than the usual 0.2% for regular seasonal flu.

Of course, if you are fit and healthy, it might be more accurate to say 6842 / 3 (three otherwise healthy people died) = 2280.

One in 2,280 chance for a healthy person to die from swine flu if they get it. That is 0.04% chance.

Presumably, there have been quite a few people who had swine flu but were never tested. So if that 6,842 is actually, I dunno, 10,000 ... fuckit.

I will still be washing my hands before eating, and if I get sick I will visit the doctor, but I'd do that anyway.

As you were.