Actually, it isn't true though. for example...
Quote:
Rasmussen. 1/31. Likely voters. MOE 4% (last poll taken by anyone with Edwards in the mix)
Clinton 47
Obama 38
Edwards 11
Actual results:
Obama 49.3
Clinton 47.1
Edwards 1.7
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or
Quote:
two of the last Iowa polls before the caucuses.
Mason-Dixon for McClatchy-MSNBC. 12/26-28, 2007. MoE 5%
"As you may know, if a candidate fails to get at least 15% at a precinct caucus their supporters can switch and choose to caucus with those backing other candidates or declare themselves uncommitted. If the candidate you are supporting fails to reach the 15% threshold at your precinct ... Which candidate would become your second choice?""
Edwards 32
Obama 20
Clinton 16
Opinion Research Corp for CNN. 12/26-30, 2007. MoE 5%
"If the presidential caucus in Iowa were held today, please tell me which of the following people ... would be your second choice?"
Edwards 36
Obama 25
Clinton 11
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( www.dailykos.com)
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