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I don't know if this is what vsp is referring to, but sometimes in history there are more severe crises that have to be dealt with that really do cause permanent and big changes. In The Fourth Turning they point to the Revolution, the Civil War, and the depression/WW2 as the country's defining crises.
They also say we're about due for another. Their argument is that history is very cyclical and driven by generational aspects that repeat again and again.
Next one is supposed to be in 2005, but I don't think they're so strictly accurate. But if the theory holds, it wouldn't be off more than a few years.
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