|
But that's how it works with intel; you look for things that quack and if you have enough of them you have to assume you have ducks. Because not only is the other side not talking, they're actively trying to hide the information and throw off the scent.
If you have intercepts of people explaining how to get rid of the evidence that they have WMD, although it would never stand in a court situation, for certain equations you HAVE to assume it is true because you have to figure a worst case.
In theory, North Korea doesn't have nukes. They haven't tested one, right? You could never prove to a court that they do have them, but nobody's actually operating by that theory because it would be insane to do so.
So when Saddam supports Hamas and Hezbollah and al Fatah and Abu Nidal "commits suicide" in Baghdad and soldiers find $1B in US currency and there are al Qaeda documents and al Qaeda invitations and al Queda training camps in the north with al Qaeda manuals on how to create chemical weapons, and suddenly an actual al Qaeda thug turns up in the middle of it, the next question is... how many ducks have to quack here?
|