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I think the first answer is more likely than the second unfortunately.
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I think neither is likely in the short term.
Anecdote: I recall about two years ago watching a TV reporter try to get a sense of people's opinions of recent migration trends and how it was affecting their local area etc. He interviewed a bunch of people and looked at a bunch of statistics, but one part really stuck in my mind. He interviewed a young British Asian about his opinions and he was vehement that we shouldn't be letting in all these immigrants and letting them leech off the state etc. That young man, of about 20 years old, who was born in the UK, but whose parents were most likely from Pakistan, or Kashmir, considered himself British to the point of sharing in our slightly xenophobic national character.
Racism isn't always a matter of colour. It isn't just about the other, it's also about the self. There will always be those who are other, and those who are other, will always to a certain extent help us define ourselves at a cultural level.