Thats hard to say - 9/11 caused the only obvious peak on bush's record but without it happening, it's entirely possible that Iraq might not have happened. Not probable, but... You can't ever really guess what would happen if X or Y hadn't happened, and its rather absurd to try.
That said... Without 9/11, I personally figger that bush's graph would be a much smoother, and deeper, descent.
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