Thread: Betting tips
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Old 12-27-2006, 12:58 AM   #6
W.HI.P
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Join Date: Apr 2006
Location: Canada
Posts: 1,513
N.F.L Pointspread
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Week 17 is the final week of the regular season.
It's also the most difficult week of the whole Football year to predict games.
A lot of people are gonna lose a lot of money.
This because the masses will place their money on games where motive is involved....only problem is, they're not all gonna win!
This because those teams that seem to need to win may have other plans and in fact have more of a reason to lose.
I know this won't make sense to most, but it is the way most franchise's are run.
Don't be looking at the head coach, these decisions are made by the ones over his head.
Some of these spreads this week are absurd! I mean like totally wrong!

New york Giants(-2,5) - Washington Redskins

Both of these amazing teams are without their best player.
The Giants desperatly need a good quarter back but they will probably not get one till this wannabe like his brother's contract is over.
Portis will be back next year and the Redskins will be competing for first place.
I kinda hope the Giants make the playoffs and prove how good they really are by upsetting a few teams.
i know that if the end up playing the Saints for a place in the NFC final, that I will wager more than i should that the Giants will beat N.O. even without Strahan.
Logically NY will win, but let the truth be told, the redskins are that good that they could cause the damage. I will watch this.

Pitchberg Steelers - Cincinnatti bengals(-7,0)

It dosen't get easier than this for the Bengals.
No competition, my only fear is that the Bengals even with a win will probably not make the playoffs, otherwise they are more than capable of beating the best of them.

Detroit Lions - Dallas Cowboys(-12,5)

Easy win for Dallas.
Detroit got a 3 touchdown gift from the sleeping bears last week.
i doubt they'll manage to pass the goalline in this one.
But still, I'm not gonna touch it despite the fact that the Cowboys will cover the spread, do so if you must, but I will not as the head coach is pretty wise when it comes to these things.

Clevland Browns - Houston Oilers(-3,5)

Have you ever seen a game where both teams desperatly want to lose?
Tune in to this one if you haven't.

Jacksonville Jaguars - Kansas City Chiefs(-2,5)

The Jaguars are a much better team, with the Chiefs at home it kind of evens it out, it'll be close, but so is the spread, so avoid it.

St.Louis rams(-3,0) - Minnesota Vikings

I'm laughing at the mere possibility that the Rams have at week 17 to make the playoffs, they are really bad. I see this game as more likely to end up a win for the Vikings to simply please the home fans.
Just leave it alone

Carolina Panthers(-2,5) - New Orleans Saints

If both teams had motives to win, i would say that the panthers would win this game straight up.
Now that the Carolina Panthers are the only ones with a motive here, I strongly urge you to wager on them!
this win will be in double digits therefore the 2,5 points will not be a factor.

Bet on the Panthers!!

Oakland Raiders - New York Jets(-12,5)

The Jets with a win, make it to the playoffs where they may just face a Patriots team they can beat.
Normally with this extremely huge spread I would recommend the Raiders, but i will not, as it seems just as easy to be covered.
I strongly recommend to everyone who wagers on these games not to bet on this game.

Seattle Seahawks - Tampa Bay Bucs(-3,5)

So this very bad Seattle Seahawks team made the playoffs.
Who wouldn't in this extremely weak division?
On the other hand, i don't think the bucs could score a touchdown if they played in the rose bowl.
3,5 point favorites? lol

Bet on the Seahawks

New England Patriots - Tennessee Titans(-3,0)

The Titans aren't all that good, despite their string of wins.
V.Youngs future? just think of Vick, good, but not so bright.
They base this spread on the Patriots not showing up, and they probably won't. Not that they'd have a field day if they did, for they're not that great either. Tennessee actually has a legitamate shot at a wild card spot.
But thats about it.
Be wise and avoid this one.

Buffalo Bills - Baltimore Ravens(-9,5)

Straight up? this would be a 50/50 match.
Both teams are about level in quality all around regardless of their records.
I'd recommend the Bills here if the Ravens coach was wise, but I'm not so sure he's all that smart and will probably send his men out for the kill.
If he does, it'll cost him big time, especially if the Bills respond.
..and i don't mean that it'll cost him the game.
Health is more important than the bye.
Too many questions here
Avoid

Miami Dolphins - Indianapolis Colts(-8,5)

The Colts have been in serious relax mode for quite a few weeks now.
They're not gonna kill themselves here.
These spreads are being made with the notion that some teams will put extreme effort in it as to accomplish positioning.
Trust me here, teams like the Colts specifically, have other things on their mind. They may win it and beat the spread as the Dolphins most certainly would find much more benefit in a loss.
I think I've been 100% correct on the Colts this year.
Avoid

Atlanta Falcons - Philadelphia Eagles(-7,5)

A win is a win, and don't be expecting the same kind of passion from the Eagels that you saw last week.
7,5 points is a lot for the Eagels to cover here against a very unpredictable offence. Avoid this game.

San Fransisco 49ers - Denver Broncos(-9,5)

This would have to be the best bet of the week!
A lot of people are gonna lose money on this game betting on the Broncos.
I honestly believe that the San Fransisco 49ers can win this game.
Gore's final game of the season will be a good one.
49ers have a terrible weakness, they're terrible against the pass.
Passing the ball is not one of the Broncos qualities.
Even if Denver manages to squeeze a win in here, it will very tough.
9,5 is huge in a game where the time will be constantly ticking.

Bet on the 49ers!!!

Arizona Cardinals - San Diego Chargers(-14,0)

The Chargers defence will relax a bit in this one.
LT should get some rest.
To prevent injuries should be the foremost in the Chargers mind.
Normaly this game would be a blow out as the Chargers are amazing pass rushers, but I'm certain they will not play with such passion.
They'll be saving everything for the first game of theirs in the playoffs.
Avoid

Green Bay Packers - Chicago Bears(-2,5)

WTF is this? They have this notion NOW that the Bears will relax?
They've been cooling down for some time now.
The Packers? Forget about it, not with old Favre in charge.
Yeah yeah, so you think they have hope for the playoffs. ok, lol.
Go ahead then, lose your money on the Packers.
Effort or no effort the Chicago Bears are gonna win this.
2,5 points is nothing

Bet on the Bears
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