Quote:
Originally posted by jaguar
It is very, very hard ot tell waht a post-Saddam Iraq will be like, there are many possible and credible scenarios but however it goes, if it goes it won't be pretty.
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Its not hard to tell at all. You have already seen what one organized terrorist group - al Qaeda - can do only because we left some troops in the Gulf. Now what happens when you add Islamic Jihad, Hezbulla, and a long list of new Islamic terrorist organizations because the US invades and occupies an Islam country, for years, just to own the oil. To Islamic fundamentalists, this is clearly a Jewish plot to control the world and Islamic oil. There is no mystery about what can happen. We have already seen same in VietNam and just a little bit with bin Laden.
Also don't believe for a minute that all Iraqis hate Saddam. If true, then all Cubans hate Fidel Castro. Many may not like Saddam. But they like uninvited infidels even less who force a government down their throats. This is great risk especially when Iraq is no threat to the US and is not even a threat to his neighbors. Then did we mention what happens in Iran if we occupy Iraq? More wild cards.
Is this dangerous occupation so unknown to too many here? Has the administration so successfully kept the American people from seeing that there may be "no light at the end of the tunnel"? Classic description of VietNam AND and American occupation of an Iraq that threatens no one.
This attack on Iraq is chock full of surprises, unknowns, and dangers. It is what Colin Powel so strongly worried about in the 1990 Gulf War and probably still worries today in Iraq as he quitely opposes war. No clear 'end game' strategy means disaster. Exactly the problem in Somalia. Exactly Johnson's problem in VietNam. Exactly the problem in occupying Iraq.
Maybe I take for granted that everyone understands how dangerous the Iraqi occupation will be. Maybe I have assumed everyone else reads news magazines, listens to all news radio stations and the BBC? Maybe I assume everyone knew about the years of Iraqi occupation? I suspect few here even thought about that part and therefore do not see the VietNam scenario - same as Chechnya - that I have seen for a long time. Did you actually think we would go in, take Saddam, then leave?