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Originally Posted by Undertoad
It's not my theory. It's A theory. Some have advanced. (I heard it from Mickey Kaus on bloggingheads.tv, but bloggingheads.tv seems to be down right now)
I don't have a position on whether Israel is doing the right or wrong thing in this case. History will tell. Maybe.
The issue was not the kidnappings. The issue was the 13,000 missiles. When someone has a loaded gun and they're pointing it at you, for reasons that appear to be nonsense (Shebaa Farms), and they have a history of insanity, that has to be addressed. The UN failed to address it in a permanent/realistic way. What would you do?
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Issue is that Hizbollah was created during Israel's disastrous 80's Libanon campaign from the secular Amal party. Just as the Mujahedeen were created by Russia's Afghanistan invasion and al-Qaeda by the CIA. History learns etc, etc.
The USSR had pointed thousand of nukes at the US, yet Reagan negotiated peace as soon as the opportunity was there.
Peace in N.Ireland was negotiated, not by war.
Israel needs to make peace with it's neighbours, that's what I would do, but I'm not an Israelian, never can be, cause I'm not a Jew.
The Germans have an appropriate saying "Sieg bis zum Tode" (Victory until death). Israel is very vulnerable for a first strike. It can have victories but at the end it may well be the beginning of the end for them.
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Ridding southern Lebanon of Hizb'allah will keep Syria's eyes on Israel, not the rear guard of the US military, as it enters Iran.
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Oh dear, another desktop general. US military is in no way prepared for another attack as it has no ready, strategic forces available and is already stretched to the limit. As soon as the US enters Iran, missiles will rain on Israel, it's exactly the excuse Iran is waiting for. For this read my remark above about first strike.
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Pssssst - I heard Syria has tried to get yellow cake from an unamed African Nation - but don't tell Valerie Plame.
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Yep, they can use it together with Saddams WMD's burried on the Golan Heights (acc.the Mossad of course).