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Originally Posted by Undertoad
So suggest a wager on the Cellar calendar, if you are so certain about how it will go.
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UT - again you are reading what I did not post. I predicted no specifics with certainty. I defined the big picture; so many ways that consumer choices would not force big IP providers to compete fairly? What is the benchmark - the exact wording - of a bet that is consistent with these 'big picture' trends? Do we bet on Skype going backrupt? I don't predict that. Do we bet that Congress forces regulation on the IP providers? Then state exactly what that law says. Do we bet on whether Comcast used 'packet skewing' software they have purchased? Even if they were, how would we ever know? Exactly what, from so many points and trends cited, do we bet on?
Clearly I did not say something specifically would happen. I stated the so many options that IP providers have because consumer 'free market' choices are just not that influential. But you tell me. In defining a big picture and by not listing a single specific prediction, what do we bet on?
Let's say Google does provide a VoIP service. Everyone is still stuck with the most famous part of every communication network - whether it is packet switched or circuit switched. You are stuck with those same two big IP providers - Comcast or Verizon - even if using Google VoIP. Those 'last mile' providers have so much power as to even stick it to long distance companies and to upstart DSL providers.