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Originally Posted by Undertoad
All that and he only won by 100,000? Booga booga.
If you're scared, get a dog.
http://www.cnn.com/ELECTION/2004/pag.../epolls.0.html
Taxes (5%): Bush 57%, Kerry 43%
Education (4%): Bush 26%, Kerry 73%
Iraq (15%): Bush 26%, Kerry 73%
Terrorism (19%): Bush 86%, Kerry 14%
Economy/Jobs (20%): Bush 18%, Kerry 80%
Moral Values (22%): Bush 80%, Kerry 18%
Health Care (8%): Bush 23%, Kerry 77%
Question #1. From this table, can you derive the "story of the election"?
Question #2. If "Moral Values" translates well to "evangelical", and these people were "targetted", why did 18% of them vote for Kerry?
....
Question #3. If some dude came up to you outside your polling place and wanted to ask you a long set of questions about why you voted the way you did, wouldn't you tell him to screw off? 3b. What kinds of people would NOT?
Question #4. If these results came from the same place as the now-infamously inaccurate "exit polls" which showed a decisive Kerry victory by mid-day, why would you want to take any lessons from them in the first place? |
1) Terrorism and moral values win the day with 20% of the reasons for voting not given.
2) Damn good targeting to pick up 82% of their vote. The other 18% didn't have the common sense brain washed out of them.
3) I might or might not tell him to screw off. Depends on how much time I had, the manner I was approached, the time of day, on and on. Without knowing the answers to these questions, I can't tell you what sort of people would be most co-operative.
4) The polls were within a 1% or 2% margin of error - enough to throw off predictions in a tight race, but still useful when analyzing over all voting trends. Also, the polls throughout the day were from an incomplete sample of voters. The final tabulations which show voting trends were finished after a complete sample was taken