[Elspode]

There's plenty of plutonium in the world which has gone unaccounted for. The desire for hard cash in the former Soviet bloc pretty much assures that.

Probably a warhead or two out there somewhere, waiting for the right time and place.

I don't think the likelihood of a nuclear detonation somewhere in the world within this decade is at all small. Who's to say that someone somewhere won't arrange to get a weapon into the hands of someone who would be glad to have it? Korea could do it. China could do it. Iran can, in all likelihood, do it. Pakistan and India could do it.

I'd be real surprised if we *don't* have someone blow up some non-Muslim city somewhere in our lifetimes.