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glatt · 04-01-2018, 07:43 PM

It's at 140 km altitude right now and currently losing one km per minute. But this won't be linear. It won't be crashing in 140 minutes. It's going to be (already is) exponential.

I'll be surprised if it's more than an hour before it crashes. But that's just a guess. Can't predict the future.

04-01-2018, 07:43 PM	#14
glatt ™ Join Date: Jul 2003 Location: Arlington, VA Posts: 27,717	Chinese junk incoming! It's at 140 km altitude right now and currently losing one km per minute. But this won't be linear. It won't be crashing in 140 minutes. It's going to be (already is) exponential. I'll be surprised if it's more than an hour before it crashes. But that's just a guess. Can't predict the future.