Gambling $3,000 On The Election.
 

So far, I've got about $3,000 bet with people I know who insist that McCain will win.

Actually, I bet my wife an all expense paid trip to Vietnam for a month. That's about $1,500 or slightly more. I bet some other Vietnamese people I know 4 bottles of Martell Cognac Cordon Bleu (about $450), and I bet my wife's uncle (also Vietnamese) $1,000 cash.


I've asked my Vietnamese friends and family why they would want a man who calls Vietnamese people "gooks" to be elected. They let their racism slip out when they said, "It's better than having a black guy..."

I was originally going to buy 3 new game consoles, but now when I win these bets, I'm going to buy a new Sony Bravia 1080p LCD (120 Hz) Television. It's the best tv I've ever seen.

Thank you President Obama. My personal economy is looking better already.

Did you tell them he's only something like, less than 7% black?

No. I just told them to be ready to pay me in 2 months.

Luckily you don't need racist "friends" to make this wager. You can currently get 43 cents on the dollar and there's no question you'll get paid:

http://www.intrade.com/

You might want to wait on Intrade until later today. Zogby has the race McCain 50, Obama 46 this morning, and you'll get a better price waiting until the market digests this new information.

How much does this attitude still play here? Is that gonna be a major factor in this election?

Gallop has the race McCain 48, Obama 45

Your money is much better wagered on WHIP's NFL picks.

Yes.

I don't care what those polls say. They aren't conducted scientifically and minorities tend not to take them as much.

I'm confident in my bet.

Realclearpolitics averages all of the polls and they still have Obama ahead anyway.

I'm kinda broke but put me down for $5 on McCain too.

How does that break out on a state by state basis?

State of Anxiety = 76%

State of Fear = 68%

State of Angst = 56%

State of depression = 64%

State of Calm = 4%

Realclearpolitics is a rolling average of all these types of polls. On the basis of USA Today/Gallup likely voters 10 point edge to McCain, this morning the RCP average has McCain up by one point.

But like I predicted, you can now get Obama 2.5 cents cheaper on intrade.

I wonder if Obama already hit his ceiling? The lack of bounce out of the convention seems to indicate that. The Palin thing has really paid off for the GOP from my unofficial snooping among the faithful yesterday.

Yeah, she sure is energizing the GOP.

The left hates her, and the middle isn't sure.

We'll see how she fares once she has to actually answer questions instead of giving speeches. We're still a long way out from the election, and anything can happen. She's doing well now though.