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iamthewalrus109 01-14-2005 03:10 PM

The real cost of IRAQ: PTSD and the second war
 
In recent weeks news stories have been appearing in liberal and conserative papers and publications alike on returning Iraq war vets. One in particular dealt with Andres Raya, a 19 year old Marine out of Modesto who on this past Sunday shot up a Ceres, California neibhorhood, intent on not going back to Iraq. Killing one cop, then later running into police gunfire this "boy" decided to commit suicide by cop then go back to the sands of hell in Iraq. This inccident has prompted me to dig into what the future is for this country and our returning troops.

Upon reading this story I immediately put my research skills to work on what is actually happening to these vets. As discovered in another bloody, sometimes senseless war: Vietnam, GI's returned changed men, not the same. Something about the nature of that conflict changed what was called in WWII, battle fatigue to Post traumatic stress disorder. Many of the individuals most adversely effected by this physcological affliciton ended up homeless, hooked on drugs, or worse. Now today we have reports of new homeless vets, who come back to a world foriegn to them now.

With the nature of this conflict and the aggregious under funding of proper VA support, we are facing big problems assimilating these men and women, and the issue is a real one, especially considering the nature of this conflict. In some expert estimations, the cases of PTSD are going to be even more severe than Vietnam.

-Walrus

jaguar 01-14-2005 04:10 PM

While you're right it's a bit trite to talk about as the second war, you've got an entire fucking country there that's going to have a whole generation grow up with PTSD, comparing that to 50k odd troops who'll come back fucked up is a bit over the top.

xoxoxoBruce 01-14-2005 06:32 PM

But Jag. if we cared about them we wouldn't have fucked up their country in the first place. ;)
It appears the incidence of Battle Fatigue/Post Traumatic Stress Disorder in our troops, in inversely proportional to the legitimacy of the war.
Most soldiers, at one time or other, say "I'm going through this shit for what?",
and better come up with a good reason or it will mess with their heads. :unsure:

richlevy 01-14-2005 10:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xoxoxoBruce
It appears the incidence of Battle Fatigue/Post Traumatic Stress Disorder in our troops, in inversely proportional to the legitimacy of the war.
Most soldiers, at one time or other, say "I'm going through this shit for what?",
and better come up with a good reason or it will mess with their heads. :unsure:

Well, it got GWB re-elected, so what are they complaining about? :dead:

russotto 01-17-2005 09:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by xoxoxoBruce
But Jag. if we cared about them we wouldn't have fucked up their country in the first place. ;)

Right. We would have left them to Saddam's tender mercies.

richlevy 01-17-2005 04:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by russotto
Right. We would have left them to Saddam's tender mercies.

Whatever happened to the conservative notion of personal responsibility?. If a populace is being abuse by a dictator, isn't it their responsibility to rebel. From what we are seeing in Iraq, they are certainly capable of doing so.

Here is one list of the world's worst dictators. Here is a ranking of all countries based upon level of freedom. Care to pick our next target?

jaguar 01-17-2005 04:52 PM

richlevy, they don't make the criteria for that list clear but putting the head of China ahead of Robert Magabe and a fair few other bloodthirsty African dictators seems a tad skewed to me.

russotto 01-18-2005 12:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richlevy
Whatever happened to the conservative notion of personal responsibility?. If a populace is being abuse by a dictator, isn't it their responsibility to rebel.

I see. So if a dictator is strong enough to prevent rebellion, it's the personal responsibility of the people under his control who have failed to defeat him?

Happy Monkey 01-18-2005 02:43 PM

Another way of putting that is:

Is it the responsibility of the US to invade every dictatorship and take custody?

Because once we do, the welfare of its people is absolutely our responsibility.

russotto 01-18-2005 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey
Another way of putting that is:

Is it the responsibility of the US to invade every dictatorship and take custody?

Obviously not. Which doesn't mean the US might not have reason to invade any particular dictatorship.

Quote:


Because once we do, the welfare of its people is absolutely our responsibility.
For a time, at least. I'd argue, "not indefinitely". But to say that if the US govt actually cared about the Iraqi people it would have left them to Saddam seems a bit perverse.

Happy Monkey 01-18-2005 04:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by russotto
Right. We would have left them to Saddam's tender mercies.
...
I see. So if a dictator is strong enough to prevent rebellion, it's the personal responsibility of the people under his control who have failed to defeat him?

I read these as trying to imply that it was our responsibility to free the Iraqi people, thus justifying our invasion. I apologize if that wasn't your intent.

tw 01-18-2005 06:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey
Another way of putting that is:

Is it the responsibility of the US to invade every dictatorship and take custody?

Because once we do, the welfare of its people is absolutely our responsibility.

If you break it you own it.

First the people must rise up - to declare their intent to overthrough the government. Without that 'smoking gun', then regional nations have no obligation nor a mandate to intervene. Intervention would be nothing more than an illegal invasion without the prerequisite - a public uprising.

You may hate what the dictator is doing. But even in the most appauling dictatorships, the public does have sufficient strength and can easily rise up if that dictator is that unpopular. Like it or not, the reason why rebellion does not happen is because the people do like that dictator. Or do not dislike the dictator enough to justify open rebellion.

Stalin is a perfect example. If western propaganda was so accurate, then the USSR would have been in open rebellion. And yet look even today at so many Russians who regarded Stalin with a nostalgic appeal. Yes, there are others who openly hate the days of Stalin. But the point is that even today, enough so loved Stalin as to make open rebellion not possible. The people did not overthrow Stalin because so many people actually loved the so vicious Stalin. People were seen crying in the streets when Stalin died. Not all dictators deserve to be overthrown - as made obvious by no public revolution.

Its not the power of a dictator that quashes a public rebellion. It is that a dictator has sufficient popular support that makes open rebellion not possible. If the people so like that dictator, then no other nation has the right to 'liberate' those people. No smoking gun - a public uprising - means the dictator does have sufficient popular support.

Stalin was clearly a most dispicable dictator. But his people loved him - no matter what contrary propaganda said. No other nation had the right to liberate Russians from Stalin because those people did not want to be liberated. Same rule applies to other dictatorships. Liberation from a dictator is clearly not justified without a prerequisite. The people first rebell.

Undertoad 01-18-2005 08:31 PM

Doesn't it give you pause to think you're rationalizing tens of millions of deaths?

richlevy 01-18-2005 09:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Doesn't it give you pause to think you're rationalizing tens of millions of deaths?

Doesn't it give you pause to think that he was our ally at one time? As were Marcos, Hussein, and a number of other thugs. We build them up, equip them, and then make it some poor shmucks job to go in there and clean it up.

Carbonated_Brains 01-19-2005 12:28 AM

I think it bears mention that Andres Raya, the topic of this post way back up at the top, was not suffering post-traumatic stress disorder, and did not commit suicide.

He was a gang member, he was high on cocaine at the time, and his Marine unit never even saw combat. Hell, he was getting transferred to Japan.

Source:

Andres was not an example of the horrors of war, he was an asshole turd who shot at cops.

Undertoad 01-19-2005 07:18 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richlevy
Doesn't it give you pause to think that he was our ally at one time? As were Marcos, Hussein, and a number of other thugs. We build them up, equip them, and then make it some poor shmucks job to go in there and clean it up.

Like the nature of this very thread, don't let reality get in the way of the little fairy tales in your head, Rich.

xoxoxoBruce 01-19-2005 08:10 PM

Quote:

was not suffering post-traumatic stress disorder,
While the rest may be true you can't say he wasn't stressed. Motor transport unit? Aren't they the ones getting blown up all over the place, especially the fuel tanker drivers? :confused:

richlevy 01-19-2005 08:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richlevy
Doesn't it give you pause to think that he was our ally at one time? As were Marcos, Hussein, and a number of other thugs. We build them up, equip them, and then make it some poor shmucks job to go in there and clean it up.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Like the nature of this very thread, don't let reality get in the way of the little fairy tales in your head, Rich.

So which part of my 'reality' are you challenging?

Marcos ,

Quote:

Given its past colonial association and continued security and economic interests in the Philippines, the United States never was a disinterested party in Philippine politics. On June 1, 1983, the United States and the Philippines signed a five-year memorandum of agreement on United States bases, which committed the United States administration to make "best efforts" to secure US$900 million in economic and military aid for the Philippines between 1984 and 1988. The agreement reflected both United States security concerns at a time of increased Soviet-Western tension in the Pacific and its continued faith in the Marcos regime.


Hussein
http://www2.gwu.edu/~nsarchiv/NSAEBB...ndshake300.jpg
Quote:

Shaking Hands: Iraqi President Saddam Hussein greets Donald Rumsfeld, then special envoy of President Ronald Reagan, in Baghdad on December 20, 1983.
or Stalin?

Undertoad 01-19-2005 08:54 PM

We were Stalin's ally. We weren't Marcos' ally. We weren't Hussein's ally. We didn't build any of them up, we barely equipped them at all, and we didn't say it was some other poor schmuck's job to clean it up. So I guess I'm calling you out on about 90% of your statement.

Ooh again the Rummy-Hussein picture. Do tell us what that's supposed to be proof of.

xoxoxoBruce 01-20-2005 05:29 AM

Quote:

We weren't Marcos' ally.
From Wikipedia
Quote:

In support for the U.S. military efforts in South Vietnam, he agreed to send Filipino troops to that war zone. Throughout his 20-year tenure, Marcos maintained a close alliance with the United States and was a close friend of Richard Nixon as well as Ronald Reagan and Lyndon Johnson.
Sounds like an ally to me. :confused:

xoxoxoBruce 01-20-2005 06:13 AM

Quote:

We weren't Hussein's ally.
From The National Security Archive
Quote:

The U.S. restored formal relations with Iraq in November 1984, but the U.S. had begun, several years earlier, to provide it with intelligence and military support (in secret and contrary to this country's official neutrality) in accordance with policy directives from President Ronald Reagan. These were prepared pursuant to his March 1982 National Security Study Memorandum (NSSM 4-82) asking for a review of U.S. policy toward the Middle East.

One of these directives from Reagan, National Security Decision Directive (NSDD) 99, signed on July 12, 1983, is available only in a highly redacted version [Document 21]. It reviews U.S. regional interests in the Middle East and South Asia, and U.S. objectives, including peace between Israel and the Arabs, resolution of other regional conflicts, and economic and military improvements, "to strengthen regional stability." It deals with threats to the U.S., strategic planning, cooperation with other countries, including the Arab states, and plans for action. An interdepartmental review of the implications of shifting policy in favor of Iraq was conducted following promulgation of the directive.
Quote:

What was the Reagan administration's response? A State Department account indicates that the administration had decided to limit its "efforts against the Iraqi CW program to close monitoring because of our strict neutrality in the Gulf war, the sensitivity of sources, and the low probability of achieving desired results." But the department noted in late November 1983 that "with the essential assistance of foreign firms, Iraq ha[d] become able to deploy and use CW and probably has built up large reserves of CW for further use. Given its desperation to end the war, Iraq may again use lethal or incapacitating CW, particularly if Iran threatens to break through Iraqi lines in a large-scale attack" [Document 25]. The State Department argued that the U.S. needed to respond in some way to maintain the credibility of its official opposition to chemical warfare, and recommended that the National Security Council discuss the issue.

Following further high-level policy review, Ronald Reagan issued National Security Decision Directive (NSDD) 114, dated November 26, 1983, concerned specifically with U.S. policy toward the Iran-Iraq war. The directive reflects the administration's priorities: it calls for heightened regional military cooperation to defend oil facilities, and measures to improve U.S. military capabilities in the Persian Gulf, and directs the secretaries of state and defense and the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff to take appropriate measures to respond to tensions in the area. It states, "Because of the real and psychological impact of a curtailment in the flow of oil from the Persian Gulf on the international economic system, we must assure our readiness to deal promptly with actions aimed at disrupting that traffic." It does not mention chemical weapons [Document 26].
Quote:

Rumsfeld also met with Iraqi Foreign Minister Tariq Aziz, and the two agreed, "the U.S. and Iraq shared many common interests." Rumsfeld affirmed the Reagan administration's "willingness to do more" regarding the Iran-Iraq war, but "made clear that our efforts to assist were inhibited by certain things that made it difficult for us, citing the use of chemical weapons, possible escalation in the Gulf, and human rights." He then moved on to other U.S. concerns [Document 32]. Later, Rumsfeld was assured by the U.S. interests section that Iraq's leadership had been "extremely pleased" with the visit, and that "Tariq Aziz had gone out of his way to praise Rumsfeld as a person" [Document 36 and Document 37].

Rumsfeld returned to Baghdad in late March 1984. By this time, the U.S. had publicly condemned Iraq's chemical weapons use, stating, "The United States has concluded that the available evidence substantiates Iran's charges that Iraq used chemical weapons" [Document 47]. Briefings for Rumsfeld's meetings noted that atmospherics in Iraq had deteriorated since his December visit because of Iraqi military reverses and because "bilateral relations were sharply set back by our March 5 condemnation of Iraq for CW use, despite our repeated warnings that this issue would emerge sooner or later" [Document 48]. Rumsfeld was to discuss with Iraqi officials the Reagan administration's hope that it could obtain Export-Import Bank credits for Iraq, the Aqaba pipeline, and its vigorous efforts to cut off arms exports to Iran. According to an affidavit prepared by one of Rumsfeld's companions during his Mideast travels, former NSC staff member Howard Teicher, Rumsfeld also conveyed to Iraq an offer from Israel to provide assistance, which was rejected [Document 61].

Although official U.S. policy still barred the export of U.S. military equipment to Iraq, some was evidently provided on a "don't ask - don't tell" basis. In April 1984, the Baghdad interests section asked to be kept apprised of Bell Helicopter Textron's negotiations to sell helicopters to Iraq, which were not to be "in any way configured for military use" [Document 55]. The purchaser was the Iraqi Ministry of Defense. In December 1982, Bell Textron's Italian subsidiary had informed the U.S. embassy in Rome that it turned down a request from Iraq to militarize recently purchased Hughes helicopters. An allied government, South Korea, informed the State Department that it had received a similar request in June 1983 (when a congressional aide asked in March 1983 whether heavy trucks recently sold to Iraq were intended for military purposes, a State Department official replied "we presumed that this was Iraq's intention, and had not asked.") [Document 44]

Quote:

Iran had submitted a draft resolution asking the U.N. to condemn Iraq's chemical weapons use. The U.S. delegate to the U.N. was instructed to lobby friendly delegations in order to obtain a general motion of "no decision" on the resolution. If this was not achievable, the U.S. delegate was to abstain on the issue. Iraq's ambassador met with the U.S. ambassador to the U.N., Jeane Kirkpatrick, and asked for "restraint" in responding to the issue - as did the representatives of both France and Britain.

A senior U.N. official who had participated in a fact-finding mission to investigate Iran's complaint commented "Iranians may well decide to manufacture and use chemical weapons themselves if [the] international community does not condemn Iraq. He said Iranian assembly speaker Rafsanjani [had] made public statements to this effect" [Document 50].

Iraqi interests section head Nizar Hamdoon met with Deputy Assistant Secretary of State James Placke on March 29. Hamdoon said that Iraq strongly preferred a Security Council presidential statement to a resolution, and wanted the response to refer to former resolutions on the war, progress toward ending the conflict, but to not identify any specific country as responsible for chemical weapons use. Placke said the U.S. could accept Iraqi proposals if the Security Council went along. He asked for the Iraqi government's help "in avoiding . . . embarrassing situation[s]" but also noted that the U.S. did "not want this issue to dominate our bilateral relationship" [Document 54].

:eyebrow:

Undertoad 01-20-2005 08:28 AM

"Ally" specifies something very different than somebody said in diplomacy that we were good buddies.

We looked the other way at Hussein for a few years while it was useful... period. The world was a very different place at the time when the major threat was the nuclear missiles aimed at our cities. And STILL we did not ally, we did sell tons of arms to Hussein (he was mostly armed by France and Russia), we did not ask others to take responsibility for what we had done.

I just want Rich to get the narrative right and not just spit out completely inaccurate, un-American statements for what appears to be the fun of it. The US has fucked up early and often but let's get the story right. It's important.

Schrodinger's Cat 01-20-2005 06:29 PM

Ally - 1. One that is allied with another, especially by treaty: entered the war as an ally of France. 2. One in helpful association with another: legislators who are allies on most issues.

As Ayotallah Khomenei’s Islamic Revolution took hold in Iran, the United States saw Teheran as its main adversary in the Middle East, as did Iraq. Consequently, with huge levels of American support–over $40 billion in weapons and technology through the 1980s, with many transactions “off book”–Iraq fought against Iran for nearly a decade. In the latter stages of battle, eventually won by Iraq, U.S. officers provided intelligence and tactical advice to the Iraqis, all the while Baghdad was using chemical and biological weapons on the battlefield to suppress the Iranians.
http://hnn.us/articles/1066.html

•James Baker received an SD memo stating that Iraq was diligently developing chemical, biological, and new missiles, and that Baker was to "express our interest in broadening U.S.-Iraqi ties" to Iraqi Under-Secretary Hamdoon.

•Although the CIA and the Bush (Senior) Administration knew that Iraq’s Ministry of Industry and Military Industrialization (MIMI) "controlled entities were involved in Iraq's clandestine nuclear, chemical, and biological weapons programs and missile programs ... the Bush administration [approved] dozens of export licenses that [allowed] United States and foreign firms to ship sophisticated U.S. dual-use equipment to MIMI-controlled weapons factories".

•By October 1989, when all international banks had cut off loans to Iraq, President Bush signed National Security Directive (NSD) 26 mandating closer links with Iraq and $1 billion in agricultural loan guarantees.

•According to the Washington Post, the CIA began in 1984 secretly to give Iraq intelligence that Iraq uses to "calibrate" its mustard gas attacks on Iranian troops. In August, the CIA establishes a direct Washington-Baghdad intelligence link, and for 18 months, starting in early 1985, the CIA provided Iraq with "data from sensitive U.S. satellite reconnaissance photography...to assist Iraqi bombing raids." The Post’s source said that this data was essential to Iraq’s war effort.

•Later in the year the Reagan Administration secretly began to allow Jordan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait and Egypt to transfer to Iraq U.S. howitzers, helicopters, bombs and other weapons. Reagan personally asked Italy’s Prime Minister Guilio Andreotti to channel arms to Iraq http://www.casi.org.uk/info/usdocs/usiraq80s90s.html

The United States re-established full diplomatic ties with Iraq on 26 November 1984.


Sounds like an ally to me.

Undertoad 01-20-2005 06:59 PM

Sounds like peanuts to me, on the global scale.

Happy Monkey 01-20-2005 07:14 PM

So we were allies on a local scale, but not a global scale?

Schrodinger's Cat 01-20-2005 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Sounds like peanuts to me, on the global scale.

40 BILLION smackers?
howitzers, helicopters, bombs and other weapons?
Data for 18 months thru a Washington-Baghdad intelligence link which was used to calibrate mustard gas attacks and was essential to Iraq's war effort against Iran?

If that's "peanuts," I'd like to see the elephant! :eyebrow:

Undertoad 01-20-2005 07:50 PM

http://cellar.org/2004/iraqiweapons.jpg

Schrodinger's Cat 01-20-2005 08:19 PM

Uhmm, these transactions were secret and later revealed by an individual to the Washington Post which managed to get its hands on the supporting documents from various government sources (check the last link in my post 3 back).

Graphs created by "Dissident Frogman" and "Admiral Quixote" have as much credibility as a paper on physics written by "Schrodinger's Cat."

richlevy 01-20-2005 08:23 PM

So just a little bit pregnant? One figure is 200 million dollars worth of weapons in 1990. That's enough conventional weapons to arm a division, or to make tens of thousands of improvised explosive devices.

Were we the best of friends? Maybe not. Were we providing material support? Yes.

tw 01-20-2005 09:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Sounds like peanuts to me, on the global scale.

We limit our satellite photographs to only the closest of friends. This even moreso in the 1980s. We routinely provided Saddam with satellite photography in his war with Iran. That comes about as close to 'ally' as could be. Satellite photos are were about as sensitive as anything the US intelligence community can provide anyone. It is only provided to allies. Saddam was provided with satellite photos.

tw 01-20-2005 09:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Doesn't it give you pause to think you're rationalizing tens of millions of deaths?

He's the problem with your reasoning UT. You worry about a paltry ten million (although the actual number is far smaller). I worry about first about the ten billion.

When you override well proven princples "to save people from themselves", then we have Iraq. We went in to save 24 million. Therefore we caused the deaths of 98,000 Iraqis. Where is the morality in that?

Not everyone wants democracy. Furthermore democracy does not necessarily create freedom. If it did, then how do you account for one of the world's greatest human rights violators in 1860 - the United States.

Democracy and freedom must be earned. If a country must sacrifice a few 100,000 to do so, then the democracy or freedom will be cherished. But they must do the sacrifice. They must prove that they want that democracy or that freedom. It must be earned - somethings with massive deaths - that that many others will not die.

Once a nation tries to impose democracy on another, then democracy has a routine habit of becoming tyranny.

IOW those who want to 'save' others - others who don't want to first save themselves - only then create Vietnams and iraqs. The two events are so stunningly similar right down to a national army that never stays for the fight and an insurgency that grows immensely faster than anyone can predict. This is what happens when some nation 'feels' god sent them to save others from themselves. It is also called a Crusade.

Undertoad 01-21-2005 12:08 AM

I guess we'll know in 9 days. How high does the voter turnout have to be to show they want Democracy?

Undertoad 01-21-2005 12:18 AM

Cat, nothing in your last link refers to a Post story documenting billions. Your first link casually tosses the number out like bait... without footnotes. Meanwhile, fucking Christ, all that Russian and French stuff is square on the books?

I got another thing in the "black budget": my dick. It's so big, it's undocumented.

Undertoad 01-21-2005 01:28 AM

And BTW tw, stop "big lieing" about the Iraqi body count, which even the Iraq Body Count says is about 17.5K max.

Schrodinger's Cat 01-21-2005 02:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Cat, nothing in your last link refers to a Post story documenting billions. Your first link casually tosses the number out like bait... without footnotes. Meanwhile, fucking Christ, all that Russian and French stuff is square on the books?

I got another thing in the "black budget": my dick. It's so big, it's undocumented.

Dr. Buzzanco is associate professor of history at the University of Houston. He's the one who give the "billions" amount. The site the article is posted on is the History Network sponsored by George Mason University.

I haven't read the book that the article was excerpted from, so I can't tell you how he derives that amount. However, at least he's willing to give his name and is associated with a couple of legitimate outfits.

I'm sure your lady friends are pleased to discover you are so well-endowed.

tw 01-21-2005 02:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
And BTW tw, stop "big lieing" about the Iraqi body count, which even the Iraq Body Count says is about 17.5K max.

Your count (I believe) is based upon the known deaths due to combat and violence. But the British version of the New England Journal of Medicine, The Lancet, published a more comprehensive report from work by Johns Hopkins, the Columbia School of Nursing, and the College of Medicine at Al-Mustansiriya University in Baghdad. These totals are attributed to those who died because of a US invasion. These include the many who are missing, died unnecessarily from diseases, etc. A real death count last year was determined to be about 98,000 Iraqi dead. Again, this is about as responsible a source as one can have.

One reason why those known death rates will be so much lower is demonstrated in the Lancet study. Of 61 violent deaths, only three involved actions by ground forces. 58 deaths were by "helicopter gunships, rockets, or other forms of aerial weaponry". Many who were killed would not make the official reports.

Then we have that 1 Jan 2005 article from The Economist. Often troops would just fire at innocents only because they might be a threat. If he is holding a cell phone as troops pass, then he was shot only because cell phone are used to explode roadside bombs. Where are all these deaths in that official counting? Remember, Americans in Iraq consider virtually everyone as potential enemies. It is that bad - just like Vietnam.

Brookings Institution says between 15,200 and 31,400 "killed as a result of violence from war and crime between May, 2003 and September 30, 2004." But violence only accounts for some of the deaths created by the illegal American invasion. The Lancet study did far more comprehensive surveys to obtain 98,000 deaths with a confidence level of 95%. Furthermore, the actual number is probably far higher. Falluja and Najaf - both had much higher than normal death rates and were removed from the statistical study as was An Bar provience and the region adjacent to the Syrian border. All had much higher death rates due to recent increases in violence.

IOW most deaths would not be reported in the standard 'body counts'. Bottom line - 98,000 is probably a conservative number. The number of dead Iraqi because they were liberated is actually believed to exceed 100,000. This is what happens when a nation is forcefully liberated. Even worse, this is what happens when the invading army was so poorly lead as to have no Phase Four plans.

In a country that tells its reporters to only report good news, the actual body counts are going to be higher. Welcome to Vietnam were the death rates are subverted by the political agenda. No UT, I did not lie. I simply provides a more accurate numbers. 98,000 dead and liberated Iraqis is a reasonable number.

17,000 is only the death rates we know of and only due to violence. The actual death rates created by an American invasion are far higher based upon statistical analysis, how many are killed by air and artillery (therefore not counted), and how Americans now shoot at anyone who might be a danger.

IOW "we had to kill the people to save them." Vietnam deja vu. 98,000 dead Iraqis is a more honest number. 17,000 dead - most dying after they were liberated - demonstrates the immorality of the illegal war.

Undertoad 01-21-2005 08:20 AM

If that is the case they should be compared against the number that would have died under Saddam, a practice I'm sure you would not agree with since you appear not to agree that Stalin starved people.

tw 01-21-2005 08:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
If that is the case they should be compared against the number that would have died under Saddam, a practice I'm sure you would not agree with since you appear not to agree that Stalin starved people.

Saddam killed about 200,000 over a ten year period. George Jr's war caused the death of about 100,000 in just over one year. You tell me which one is moral.

richlevy 01-21-2005 09:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
If that is the case they should be compared against the number that would have died under Saddam, a practice I'm sure you would not agree with since you appear not to agree that Stalin starved people.

If you're asking me to defend Saddam, don't bother, because I won't. As a US citizen, I am responsible for everything that my government does with my tax dollars, not what Saddam does with his. Saying we won't kill as many as Saddam, or that our torture is 'torture light' and therefore not as bad doesn't exactly seem be much in the way to wage a 'just war'.

In case you disagree and want to explore this further, I have prepared a few slogans we can use in the resulting campaign.

The Coalition - At Least We Haven't Raped Your Sister
The Coalition - At Least You Get to Keep Your Testicles
The Coalition - Less Than 100,000 Killed
The Coalition - Don't Worry About Us Staying Too Long - We Hate This (*&ing Place

Schrodinger's Cat 01-21-2005 10:18 PM

To continue with richlevy's line of thought, what the hell are we doing comparing civilian body counts in an attempt to prove which side is the one of the angels? One man kills 10 people; another kills 100. Does this mean the jury in the trial of the first man lets him off because it could have been worse?

Anyone who wants to argue US intervention in Iraq on humanitarian grounds is making a false premise. 14% of the population in Rwanda were killed in its recent civil war. No American intervention there was ever seriously considered, and Rwanda is but one of many recent historical examples.

Carbonated_Brains 01-21-2005 10:39 PM

*cough*SUDAN*cough*

Schrodinger's Cat 01-21-2005 11:04 PM

When Sudan starts producing more oil than Denmark, the US may become aware of humanitarian issues there. Frankly, I'm not holding my breath.

Undertoad 01-22-2005 10:43 AM

Cat, I have heard this argument applied over and over again and I still don't get it, please clarify: "If the US doesn't apply humanitarian principles to every single conflict in the world then it is not applying them in Iraq." How does this follow?

Troubleshooter 01-22-2005 11:45 AM

It may be a question of them even noticing a problem in an area unless there is some valuable resource there.

richlevy 01-22-2005 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Cat, I have heard this argument applied over and over again and I still don't get it, please clarify: "If the US doesn't apply humanitarian principles to every single conflict in the world then it is not applying them in Iraq." How does this follow?

I can't speak for Cat, but our stated purposes for the buildup was that Iraq was actively building WMD's.

Our stated reasons for actually invading Iraq were:
Imminent threat of WMD attack from Iraq.
Imminent threat of Iraq processing nuclear materials.
Evidence of direct link between 9/11 and Iraq.

None of these have been proven beyond speculation. They have less of a basis in fact than evolution or creationism (ok, maybe not creationism).

The 'We went in to liberate Iraq' was a face-saving measure by the Bush administration. If we actually did go into Iraq to liberate it as our primary goal and the reasons given Congress were deliberate lies, than at minimum that is an impeachable offense and may even rise to Ann Coulter's (not mine) definition of treason.

If Cat is saying that this face-saving "Our intelligence was wrong but it was a good idea to invade anyway because we are spreading freedom" was applied to Iraq, or if the intelligence was cooked or over-stressed to gain the result of 'spreading freedom', than why aren't we 'spreading freedom' in places where the rule of law has completely broken down and people are being slaughtered in the streets, than I agree with her. The 200 billion and 11,000 casualties we are pissing down Iraq could have cleaned up most of Africa.

Schrodinger's Cat 01-22-2005 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Cat, I have heard this argument applied over and over again and I still don't get it, please clarify: "If the US doesn't apply humanitarian principles to every single conflict in the world then it is not applying them in Iraq." How does this follow?

The US did not start the war in Iraq on humanitarian principles. The rationale for our invasion of that country was that Saddam was stock-piling a weapons arsenal which included WMD's. When this motive was found to be a false one, the spin doctor's suddenly began to talk about "spreading democracy," and how we were saving the Iraqui people from a greater evil. The problem that I have is with the hypocrisy that we went into Iraq in the first place out of humanitarian concern. Saddam's reign of terror was an excuse, but not the true REASON for the US invasion.

tw 01-23-2005 12:00 AM

We should not forget the US attacked Saddam because Saddam was a terrorist. Now that the terrorism argument is becoming thread bare even among the George Jr supporters, we now have a new spin. The War on Tyranny.

Most notable are the questions being asked by the BBC. The spin doctors are now planning the spin on Iran. Remember the list. The US announced intentions to attack Iraq, Iran, and North Korea. Apparently we are actively sending special forces into Iran to identify targets. Based upon base construction and troop movements, this invasion would happen on or after 2006.

If you were Iran, what would you be doing? Building every weapon of mass destructions possible. Unfortunately, this just plays into the spin doctors plans. They will claim we had to invade Iran because they are building WMDs. Why is India and Pakistan exempt? That's what spin is all about. Forget the inconsistencies. Iran is a threat to the United States. We now call it a War against Tyranny. New words. Same old spin - that works.

Undertoad 01-23-2005 09:16 AM

Cat, I have heard this argument applied over and over again and I still don't get it, please clarify: "If the US doesn't apply humanitarian principles to every single conflict in the world then it is not applying them in Iraq." How does this follow?

Undertoad 01-23-2005 09:21 AM

Cat, what if they did give different reasons before the war and you weren't listening? edit to say: my point all along, starting from before you got here, has been if you want to hate Bush and the neocons, hate them for the right reasons.

Bush at the AEI in February 2003
Quote:

There was a time when many said that the cultures of Japan and Germany were incapable of sustaining democratic values. Well, they were wrong. Some say the same of Iraq today. They are mistaken. The nation of Iraq--with its proud heritage, abundant resources and skilled and educated people--is fully capable of moving toward democracy and living in freedom.

The world has a clear interest in the spread of democratic values, because stable and free nations do not breed the ideologies of murder. They encourage the peaceful pursuit of a better life. And there are hopeful signs of a desire for freedom in the Middle East. Arab intellectuals have called on Arab governments to address the "freedom gap" so their peoples can fully share in the progress of our times. Leaders in the region speak of a new Arab charter that champions internal reform, greater politics participation, economic openness, and free trade. And from Morocco to Bahrain and beyond, nations are taking genuine steps toward politics reform. A new regime in Iraq would serve as a dramatic and inspiring example of freedom for other nations in the region.

It is presumptuous and insulting to suggest that a whole region of the world--or the one-fifth of humanity that is Muslim--is somehow untouched by the most basic aspirations of life. Human cultures can be vastly different. Yet the human heart desires the same good things, everywhere on Earth. In our desire to be safe from brutal and bullying oppression, human beings are the same. In our desire to care for our children and give them a better life, we are the same. For these fundamental reasons, freedom and democracy will always and everywhere have greater appeal than the slogans of hatred and the tactics of terror.

richlevy 01-23-2005 11:21 AM

Quote:

Arab intellectuals have called on Arab governments to address the "freedom gap" so their peoples can fully share in the progress of our times.
How does Bush expect the Arab governments to listen to Arab intellectuals when his administration doesn't listen to intellectuals on science and social issues when their warnings conflict with preconceived notions or may impose limits on industries which are key sources of campaign funding?

Undertoad 01-23-2005 04:02 PM

The Arab intellectuals will have AK-47s.

richlevy 01-23-2005 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
The Arab intellectuals will have AK-47s.

No, if GWB is in their corner they will have M-16's with filed-off serial numbers.

xoxoxoBruce 01-23-2005 06:59 PM

Quote:

There was a time when many said that the cultures of Japan and Germany were incapable of sustaining democratic values. Well, they were wrong. Some say the same of Iraq today. They are mistaken. The nation of Iraq--with its proud heritage, abundant resources and skilled and educated people--is fully capable of moving toward democracy and living in freedom.
What I think this guy is overlooking, or at least discounting, is Germany was all Germans and Japan all Japs. Iraq is more like the city dog pound. They're all dogs but more different than alike. :confused:

Schrodinger's Cat 01-23-2005 10:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
Cat, what if they did give different reasons before the war and you weren't listening? edit to say: my point all along, starting from before you got here, has been if you want to hate Bush and the neocons, hate them for the right reasons.

Bush at the AEI in February 2003

As I recall, the sequence of events was not 9/11 immediently followed by an outpouring of sympathy for the Arab world and a "by golly, all those poor folks really need is democracy" attitude. Correct me if I'm wrong.

Hell, I have no problem with ANY country having a democracy, if that's what their people want. Even the US can have a democracy for all I care, although Bush seems to disagree with me.

The example of Germany becoming democratic is a little disingenuous. Germany WAS a democracy before Hitler used a combination of fear and brute force to turn it into a dictatorship.

Undertoad 01-30-2005 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad
I guess we'll know in 9 days. How high does the voter turnout have to be to show they want Democracy?

Well?

jaguar 01-30-2005 10:05 AM

Personally I'd say around a 1/3 or so. The problem is that 1/3 could be pratically every shia and no sunnis...

xoxoxoBruce 01-30-2005 10:26 AM

UT, how can you be sure a high or low turnout is indicative of the Iraquis desire for democracy? Can’t there be other scenarios playing out?
For instance:

1-The Iraquis have been forced into a position where they have to participate in the process or the US will remain and the violence will continue to kill innocent bystanders.

2-The Iraquis have been forced to vote for the representation they want in order to prevent being ruled by the people the US chose.

3-The Iraquis have been brainwashed into believing that if they vote suddenly everything will be OK.

4-A hundred other scenarios stemming from personal experiences.

You may be right.....but I’m leery of such an over simplification. :confused:

Undertoad 01-30-2005 11:47 AM

Just ask 'em! buzzmachine has a summary of the reaction on Iraqi blogs.

Quote:

The best Eid I ever had.

This was my way to stand against those who humiliated me, my family and my friends. It was my way of saying," You're history and you don't scare me anymore". It was my way to scream in the face of all tyrants, not just Saddam and his Ba'athists and tell them, "I don't want to be your, or anyone's slave. You have kept me in your jail all my life but you never owned my soul". It was my way of finally facing my fears and finding my courage and my humanity again....

As I got out it was still early and I saw no one on the streets but as I got near to the voting center I started seeing people in groups heading the same way. Most of them were women. I saw a crippled man and my old neighbor and his older wife leaning on their walking sticks going to vote. An old woman cleaning her door step stopped me, "Say son, can I go and vote?" She asked after she saw many people going to vote. "Sure Khala (aunt)! Everyone can". She thanked me and went inside apparently to change and get her IDs....

This was the same place I went in 1996 to cast my vote in a poll asking if we wanted to have Saddam as a president for life or not. I had to go at that time. The threats for anyone who refused to take that poll were no less than the death penalty....

This time we went by choice and the threat was exactly the opposite. As I was walking with many people towards the center explosion hit and gun fire were heard but most were not that close. People didn't seem to pay attention to that. Some of them even brought their little kids with them! It's like the Eid but only a thousand times better....

The only things I can feel so strongly now are hope, excitement, pride and a strange internal peace. I have won my battle and I'm watching the whole Iraqis winning their battle too. I'll try to write to you later my friends.
A'ash Al Iraq, A'ashat America, A'ash Al Tahaluf. (Long live Iraq, long live America and long live the coalition)

Undertoad 01-30-2005 11:50 AM

http://messopotamian.blogspot.com/

Quote:

Greetings Friends,

I bow in respect and awe to the men and women of our people who, armed only with faith and hope are going to the polls under the very real threats of being blown to pieces. These are the real braves; not the miserable creatures of hate who are attacking one of the noblest things that has ever happened to us. Have you ever seen anything like this? Iraq will be O.K. with so many brave people, it will certainly O.K.; I can say no more just now; I am just filled with pride and moved beyond words. People are turning up not only under the present threat to polling stations but also under future threats to themselves and their families; yet they are coming, and keep coming. Behold the Iraqi people; now you know their true metal. We shall never forget the meanness of these bas…s. After this is over there will be no let up, they must be wiped out. It is our duty and the duty of every decent human to make sure this vermin is no more and that no more innocent decent people are victimized.

My condolences to the Great American people for the tragic recent losses of soldiers. The blood of Iraqis and Americans is being shed on the soil of Mesopotamia; a baptism with blood. A baptism of a lasting friendship and alliance, for many years to come, through thick and thin, we shall never forget the brave soldiers fallen while defending our freedom and future.

This is a very hurried message, while we are witnessing something quite extraordinary. I myself have voted and so did members of my family. Thank God for giving us the chance.

Salaam for now

Undertoad 01-30-2005 11:58 AM

http://hammorabi.blogspot.com/2005/0...raq-great.html

Quote:

Today only we may announce the victory!

Today we hit back in the heart of the terrorists and the tyrants!

Today is the day in which the souls of our martyrs comforted!

Today those who were killed in Iraq or wounded among our friends from the USA and other allies, who helped us to reach this day, are with us again to inscribe their names with Gold for ever!

Today we challenged the killers and terrorists and foot on them with our shoes!

Many people walked long distances to vote in a most civilised way!

People asked for more time to enable them to vote!

One woman was crying because she can not reach the requested polling station to vote!

In many parts the police helped citizens to take them with their cars to the polling stations!

As we expected the enemies of God and freedom send their mentally retarded cockroaches in some suicidal attacks.

On the top of our privileged today are those who were killed in their way for voting. Their names should be perpetuated for ever! Their names should be written in Gold in Al-Fordos Square in Baghdad!

Our thanks go to George W Bush who will enter the history as the leader of the freedom and democracy in the recent history! He and his people are our friends for ever!

At this moment the voting closed and we will see the results then!

God bless Iraq and America.


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