When Blue Water turns Black
 

Alex, Bonnie, Colin, Danielle, Earl, Fiona
Gaston, Mermine, Igor, Julia, Karl, Lisa
Matthew, Nicole, Otto, Paula, Richard
Shary, Tomas, Virginie, Walter
are the hurricane names for this 2010 year. Predictions imply we might use them all. The first tropical storm name, Alex, has already been used.

Meanwhile, Eastern Pacific has already has four: Agatha, Blas, Celia, and Darby. The first occured at the end of May.

If last year is an indicator, we had one early hurricane followed by months of nothing. As usual, hurricanes fear to approach the Cellar.

Too bad the cellar can't extend its juju down to the Gulf. :rolleyes:

I totally get to be a hurricane this year! I've been WAITING! Oh, I guess I just let on my real name. Yeah, it's Gaston. Please to forget it immediately.

I was on the list in 2007 but there weren't enough hurricanes...

I'm unlikely to ever be a hurricane. Which is probably a good thing.

I see that they have exclude, from my insurance, any named wind storm. Thanks !@#$%

So, you're only covered for things that won't do any damage. Good to know in advance.

I'm waiting to see what happens when brown water turns black.

Hurricaine Esmeralda?

I likez it!

I see they've skipped hurricane spanky again, so I'm clear.

I don't think I got a photo, but there was a toyshop in Nagoya called Spanky's, specialising in latex rubber toys. Perfectly legitimate children's toyshop. :eyebrow:

Hopefully we can move off the coast before we ever have to deal with it. Now I hear there are problems with the Fed Flood Insurance program.

A tropical depression east of FL means oil spill ships must shut down operations 1 week earlier and start leaving the Gulf. This depression could become Bonnie.

Below are pictures from 20 Jul, 21 Jul, and 22 Jul that demonstrate how a random event can quickly organize into a depression. During this period, the NHC predicted only a 40% chance of it becoming an organized storm.

Bonnie, now over southern FL, will predict how powerful Gulf storms can be. The Gulf surface temperatures are currently approaching temperatures seen during the Katrina year.

:(

Stupid Bonnie.

My Bonnie lies over the ocean
My Bonnie lies over the sea
My Bonnie lies over the ocean
Oh bring back my Bonnie to me


-wait, you said it was over Florida? Nevermind.

So Miss Bonnie has decided to lay low for a while, content with tropical depression status...no telling what she might do when she hits the gulf. All signs point to no Hurricane Bonnie, and that is good.

http://www.weather.com/newscenter/hu...ate/index.html

Me either; my given name was a surname before I got it.

Somebody might reckon that a good thing too.

That's what ALL the non-hurricane named people say!

:D And we're right!!!

Well yeah, with a given name like Limbaugh! :lol:

Kidding, I kid!

It has hardly left the African coast. And already developing. If it stays on a track that takes it into FL and the Caribbean, then it has warm sea water all the way. If it does not divert, this will be the next hurricane.

Last year, numerous storms took a southern track that sometimes even landed on some South American coasts. This year the Gulf of Mexico has been boiling ripe for a good hurricane. But tracks for hurricanes and tropical depressions have been taking a right turn. Colin went just west of Bermuda.

The first picture (24 Aug) shows Danielle. The second picture (28 Aug) shows Danielle after taking a right turn and approaching Bermuda.

However Earl is tracking farther south and predicted to head for the American east coast. Time to pay attention. What will probably be Fiona is already forming behind Earl on a same track.

As shattered Danielle drifts slowly towards the UK, a chain of storms has lined up in her path.

Earl and Fiona as predicted. Gaston and what may be Hermine are right behind.

Outer cloud bands of Earl are making it very overcast here, but no rain, and no wind.

Would some of you hurricanes please enter the Gulf of Mexico? The water could use some good churning up and oxygenation. Thank you.

Except, ah, please stop short of the coast and don't knock out our power. Kthxbai.

Good point. What she said.

The gang that could not shoot straight. Not a single 'cane can hit the US mainland. But then most have been aimed at Bermuda. About four have passed either 200 miles east or west of Bermuda. Igor takes a shot with Julia following. By Saturday, expect Bermuda to be, again, indomitable – a British tradition.

Yes, it feels like a less active hurricane season because they aren't hitting land, but it's actually been more active than usual so far. We are halfway through the season... I like this Weather Channel graphic.

http://cellar.org/2010/trop-tracks.jpg

Shoot at something enough times. Then eventually hit it. From the Bermuda Weather Service:

Lisa scored a direct hit on Bermuda. But this late in the season, hurricanes rarely stay together even near Bermuda. Lisa is only a low pressure center.

The US mainland may have achieved a shutout. But a tropical depression might become Nicole. If it does, then it might sweep across Cuba and up Miami Beach. No shutout.

Even though Mauritania is still spitting storms into the Atlantic, the ocean is now too cool to support a serious hurricane. This season has ended.

Late in the season?

As demonstrated by the last three tropical storms. These storms cannot even remain coherent above S Carolina or Bermuda. Most dissipated before even getting that far north. Nicole could not even generate 50 MPH winds before traveling off FL. Yes, the hurricane season is a concern in equatorial waters. But for the US, much too late in the season. Lisa was only a rainstorm when she hit Bermuda. This season is over.

Oh, you mean late in the season for up here, got it.

Late in the season for anyplace where these storms cause serious damage.

The season for destructive Pacific Ocean 'canes ended much longer ago. And yet last week, another Pacific tropical storm made landfall. Just not anywhere and with sufficient force to be reported even in the news.

I count maybe three or four storms currently rolled off of Africa that, a month ago, could have been hurricanes. Doubtful now if any will even become tropical depressions. And if they do, will be so irrelevant as to be ignored (except by ships at sea).

So many 'canes (on both coasts). Such a boring (disappointing) season.

That's just how she rolls. All talk no action. :p:

tw - is there any relation to global warming and this trend of weaker storms. Are other areas getting stronger storms that they typically did not or?