The Cellar

The Cellar (http://cellar.org/index.php)
-   Current Events (http://cellar.org/forumdisplay.php?f=4)
-   -   Social Security to start cashing Uncle Sam's IOUs (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=22269)

classicman 03-14-2010 09:52 PM

Social Security to start cashing Uncle Sam's IOUs
 
Quote:

The retirement nest egg of an entire generation is stashed away in this small town along the Ohio River: $2.5 trillion in IOUs from the federal government, payable to the Social Security Administration.

It's time to start cashing them in.

For more than two decades, Social Security collected more money in payroll taxes than it paid out in benefits — billions more each year.

Not anymore. This year, for the first time since the 1980s, when Congress last overhauled Social Security, the retirement program is projected to pay out more in benefits than it collects in taxes — nearly $29 billion more.

Sounds like a good time to start tapping the nest egg. Too bad the federal government already spent that money

Now the government will have to borrow even more money, much of it abroad, to start paying back the IOUs, and the timing couldn't be worse. The government is projected to post a record $1.5 trillion budget deficit this year, followed by trillion dollar deficits for years to come.

"This is not just a wake-up call, this is it. We're here," said Mary Johnson, a policy analyst with The Senior Citizens League, an advocacy group. "We are not going to be able to put it off any more."

For more than two decades, regardless of which political party was in power, Congress has been accused of raiding the Social Security trust funds to pay for other programs, masking the size of the budget deficit.

In the short term, the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office projects that Social Security will continue to pay out more in benefits than it collects in taxes for the next three years. It is projected to post small surpluses of $6 billion each in 2014 and 2015, before returning to indefinite deficits in 2016.

Good luck to the politician who reneges on that debt, said Barbara Kennelly, a former Democratic congresswoman from Connecticut who is now president of the National Committee to Preserve Social Security and Medicare.

"Those bonds are protected by the full faith and credit of the United States of America," Kennelly said.
"They're as solid as what we owe China and Japan."
HAHAHAHAHA Wow I feel soooooooooo much better now!

SamIam 03-15-2010 12:40 AM

Note to self: die before 2037.

ZenGum 03-15-2010 12:41 AM

I first heard about this from PJ O'Rourke (sp?) with whom I generally disagree. IIRC, the soc sec money, by law, had to be deposited in some kind of bond. That bond could only be loaned to the treasury. The only legal thing the treasury could do was spend it. Which they did.
This one has been building for decades.
See what is happening in Greece RFN? Largely, they cannot afford the level of social security they have promised themselves. Their govt is bankrupt, yet the people still refuse to accept the austerity cuts. Riots ensue.
I don't know how this is going to play out, but it isn't going to be pretty. Stock up on long-life food, folks. Good luck.

Crimson Ghost 03-15-2010 11:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by SamIam (Post 640978)
Note to self: die before 2037.

Don't worry.
If the Mayans were right, the world will end in December, 2012.
God, I hope so.
That means only 2 more Christmases I have to buy presents.

ZenGum 03-16-2010 06:45 AM

After that we'll be buying Tecapuchahulpamas presents.

Trilby 03-16-2010 07:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Crimson Ghost (Post 641204)
Don't worry.
If the Mayans were right, the world will end in December, 2012.
God, I hope so.
That means only 2 more Christmases I have to buy presents.

I like the cut of your gib. Think positive!

ZenGum 03-16-2010 07:05 AM

Is there much difference between this model of social security and a pyramid (ponzi) scheme? As long as the base keeps growing, no problem - growth slows, problem.

Trilby 03-16-2010 07:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 641232)
Is there much difference between this model of social security and a pyramid (ponzi) scheme?

NO.

squirell nutkin 03-16-2010 10:45 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brianna (Post 641231)
I like the cut of your gib. Think positive!

http://www.sailingcourse.com/images/...al-labeled.jpg

jinx 03-16-2010 10:47 AM

I like the cut of your outboard.

squirell nutkin 03-16-2010 10:48 AM

It's raised especially for you. ;)

Shawnee123 03-16-2010 10:52 AM

I like the sound of your boom! ;)


(See how the mainsail sets? Call for the captain ashore, let me go home.)

squirell nutkin 03-16-2010 12:28 PM

It's a Bada Boom.

Spexxvet 03-16-2010 12:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by squirell nutkin (Post 641311)
It's a Bada Boom.

Biiiiiig bada boom

Shawnee123 03-16-2010 12:46 PM

Tony Soprano

Happy Monkey 03-16-2010 12:51 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 641232)
Is there much difference between this model of social security and a pyramid (ponzi) scheme? As long as the base keeps growing, no problem - growth slows, problem.

A big difference: there are only two levels, and you are guaranteed (provided you survive) a place at the "top".

There will always be people paying, so there will always be money for the people receiving. Different proportions of old to young may affect how much, but they will never run out.

Clodfobble 03-16-2010 05:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey
there will always be money for the people receiving.

I see no practical difference between receiving a nominal sum that is a fraction of anybody's idea of living expenses, and not receiving anything. The part that makes it a ponzi scheme is the idea that everyone will receive something of value, which the government continues to insist upon.

Myself, I already made peace long ago with the idea that the program will implode before I'm old and I will receive (effectively) nothing. I choose to think of it as "welfare for old people," rather than a "system" I'm "paying in to," and that's fine.

Happy Monkey 03-16-2010 08:30 PM

Do you think that the ratio of old to young will rise indefinitely? The boomers will die eventually (If not, immortality would be a valid excuse to eliminate Social Secuity for the elderly).

And if the ratio of old to young, does rise indefinately, that means people are living longer, and the retirement age should be raised. Which brings the Social Security ratio back in balance.

I'm not sure what the difference between "welfare for old people" and a "system" I'm "paying in to" really is. It's welfare for old people who paid into the system.

squirell nutkin 03-16-2010 09:00 PM

I think it's neither. It's a piggy bank that our government has plundered for whatever purpose they want. It's more like a tax. Soon we'll be paying an "earnings surcharge" in addition to our taxes and other forms of government extortion.

Spexxvet 03-17-2010 09:21 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 641444)
Do you think that the ratio of old to young will rise indefinitely? The boomers will die eventually (If not, immortality would be a valid excuse to eliminate Social Secuity for the elderly).
...

If the boomers don't die on their own, they'll likely become hobos. Then they're just Shawnee fodder, and their numbers will quickly diminish. As an unexpected side effect, the price of dead hobos, and dead hobo meat will plunge. It's win/win/win.

Spexxvet 03-17-2010 09:23 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by squirell nutkin (Post 641450)
I think it's neither. It's a piggy bank that our government has plundered for whatever purpose they want. It's more like a tax. Soon we'll be paying an "earnings surcharge" in addition to our taxes and other forms of government extortion.

Or we could all just support our own old folks. Let me tell you - that's really costly. Wouldn't you like your mother-in-law living with you? :eek:

Shawnee123 03-17-2010 09:24 AM

I claimed 7 hobos on my tax return this year. They're all gone now, except for The Hobo Who Wouldn't Die. Don't look at me, I have no idea what happened to them. :unsure:

skysidhe 03-17-2010 09:42 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spexxvet (Post 641527)
Or we could all just support our own old folks. Let me tell you - that's really costly. Wouldn't you like your mother-in-law living with you? :eek:


I've tried my mom living with me before. She really needs to go into an assisted living community.I really have been not enjoying keeping her issues organized and my own which, if I do not want to be one of those hobos,should be top priority.

:juggle:

When your kids get grown and you think everyone is going to be ok then your parents regress into childhood.I thought I was done with this. I am trying to keep the love but devising reasons to keep me on the line and my less than loving feelings is something I feel guilty about. Mostly when I am tired and don't want the phone to ring ONE MORE TIME.

squirell nutkin 03-17-2010 10:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 641528)
I claimed 7 hobos on my tax return this year. They're all gone now, except for The Hobo Who Wouldn't Die. Don't look at me, I have no idea what happened to them. :unsure:

They probably went to hobo camp. I wouldn't worry.

Shawnee123 03-17-2010 10:19 AM

"One time, at hobo camp..."

Pie 03-17-2010 10:29 AM

Well, I have no kids, no one who might give a shit about me when I hit 80... I guess I'll have to hope for some sort of Logan's Run dystopia to put me out of my misery.

Shaw, if I claim to be a hobo, will you do the honors?

Shawnee123 03-17-2010 10:42 AM

I would, but I'll be long gone before that, probably.

Unless of course the aliens let me stay and grant me eternal life.

Spexxvet 03-17-2010 12:52 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pie (Post 641536)
Well, I have no kids, no one who might give a shit about me when I hit 80... I guess I'll have to hope for some sort of Logan's Run dystopia to put me out of my misery.

Shaw, if I claim to be a hobo, will you do the honors?

Soilent Green Pie!

Clodfobble 03-17-2010 10:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey
I'm not sure what the difference between "welfare for old people" and a "system" I'm "paying in to" really is. It's welfare for old people who paid into the system.

The difference is, I don't receive welfare now, and I'm planning ahead and saving for retirement so that I hopefully won't need to rely on welfare when I'm old either. The implication of the "system you paid into" was that you would be well taken care of, moreso than just barely keeping you above the poverty line. It doesn't currently do that, and will do so even less in the coming decades.

Happy Monkey 03-17-2010 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clodfobble (Post 641651)
The difference is, I don't receive welfare now, and I'm planning ahead and saving for retirement so that I hopefully won't need to rely on welfare when I'm old either.

Hopefully.

Clodfobble 03-17-2010 11:19 PM

Yeah, hopefully. I'm not saying we should get rid of Social Security, I'm saying I'm personally too cynical to count on it.

Spexxvet 03-18-2010 07:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clodfobble (Post 641666)
Yeah, hopefully. I'm not saying we should get rid of Social Security, I'm saying I'm personally too cynical to count on it.

I'm counting on working until I'm about 75. That'll be 3 years after I die.

TheMercenary 03-18-2010 11:43 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Clodfobble (Post 641666)
Yeah, hopefully. I'm not saying we should get rid of Social Security, I'm saying I'm personally too cynical to count on it.

Save now and hope there will be something there, but like you I am not counting on it.

classicman 03-18-2010 02:31 PM

You two are the least of the systems worries. At this point I think you are expected to take the attitude that nothing will be there, otherwise there won't be.

TheMercenary 03-18-2010 04:03 PM

The problem with that thinking is that I pay a lot of money into it every year, I should get a piece.

Happy Monkey 03-18-2010 05:51 PM

You will get a piece, unless you die too soon.

classicman 03-18-2010 06:10 PM

just not what you put in - relatively speaking.

Happy Monkey 03-19-2010 08:52 AM

If everyone got back what they put in, it would be useless.

Spexxvet 03-19-2010 10:09 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 641755)
Save now and hope there will be something there, but like you I am not counting on it.

Where are you going to save? The stock market, that crashed? The bank, 30 of which have closed in 2010? My mattress, where its value won't increase? If retirement age were increased, and if there were a net worth maximum to recieve SS, there'd be money there when we retire.

Bullitt 03-19-2010 10:25 AM

I'm not counting on jack from SS. Started an IRA 5 years ago and fingers crossed that and a fire department pension will see me through the golden years.

Clodfobble 03-19-2010 10:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spexxvet
The bank, 30 of which have closed in 2010?

You understand that when a bank closes, your deposits are insured up to $250,000, right? If you've got more than that to save, put it in multiple banks.

classicman 03-19-2010 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 641921)
If everyone got back what they put in, it would be useless.

You're right we should all get back more, MUCH more than we put in.

piercehawkeye45 03-19-2010 03:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bullitt (Post 641934)
I'm not counting on jack from SS.

Same here. We got to worry about paying off interest charges as well...

glatt 03-19-2010 03:38 PM

I'm not counting on it, but I'm hopeful.

When I was younger, I didn't think it would ever exist for me, and I would have welcomed its termination. But now that I've paid a metric ass ton into the system, I'm more and more interested in keeping the pyramid scheme going.

They send out those little annual reports about what your payments will be at age 72 if you continue earning your current salary. That amount would be very nice to get. I wonder if those are in today's dollars or in the future's dollars? I think they say I'm gonna get like $1500 a month. That might not be enough to buy a can of cat food in 30 years when I retire. Hopefully they will adjust for inflation, and I'll get $28,000 a month so I can afford 60 cans of cat food each month.

TheMercenary 03-19-2010 09:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by glatt (Post 641990)
They send out those little annual reports about what your payments will be at age 72 if you continue earning your current salary.

Propafuckingganda...

There is no way that money will be there like they say it will.

Spexxvet 03-24-2010 09:50 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 642014)
Propafuckingganda...

There is no way that money will be there like they say it will.

There are plenty of ways that money will be there like they say it will.

morethanpretty 03-24-2010 11:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Spexxvet (Post 642781)
There are plenty of ways that money will be there like they say it will.

Could you please elaborate?

Shawnee123 03-24-2010 11:24 AM

I think Spexx was just countering merc's doomistic "NO WAY" by saying, certainly, there ARE ways. Think of it as making fun of hyper hyperbolics, rather than a specific defense of the Social Security system.

On the other hand, merc, please elaborate on the many NO WAYS there won't be any money there. In this deliberation, please counter ALL ways that the money could possibly actually be there.

Otherwise, it's just more crying. Seems to work for ya, though.

Spexxvet 03-24-2010 11:59 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by morethanpretty (Post 642801)
Could you please elaborate?

Here's three:

Increase contributions

Increase the age at which you can get benefits

Deny benefits to those whose income/net worth is over $X

Spexxvet 03-24-2010 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 642807)
I think Spexx was just countering merc's doomistic "NO WAY" by saying, certainly, there ARE ways.

Cause we're Team America (FUCK, YEAH!) and we can do anything!

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shawnee123 (Post 642807)
Think of it as making fun of hyper hyperbolics, rather than a specific defense of the Social Security system.

Who, me?

morethanpretty 03-24-2010 12:05 PM

Ah, thank you for the explanation. I am probably too tired to be trying to read/understand this stuff, but I have 4.5hrs more of work to stay awake for...

Happy Monkey 03-24-2010 09:43 PM

Some of the ways:
Raise the retirement age
Raise or eliminate the cap on payroll taxes
Baby Boomers die.

ZenGum 03-25-2010 08:11 AM

Ahh, the Eskimo solution.

Happy Monkey 03-25-2010 09:04 AM

I don't think we'll need the Eskimo solution for the Boomers to die. I suspect it will happen eventually, no matter what.

Spexxvet 03-29-2010 03:07 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 642909)
...Baby Boomers die.

There's a plan: Kill baby boomers. Except me.

Clodfobble 03-29-2010 04:38 PM

Sooner rather than later, too, because they're only going to get more expensive.

classicman 06-14-2011 10:51 PM

Bump...

Quote:

(AP) WASHINGTON — The Social Security Administration made $6.5 billion in overpayments to people not entitled to receive them in 2009, including $4 billion under a supplemental income program for the very poor, a government investigator said Tuesday.

In all, about 10 percent of the payments made under the agency's Supplemental Security Income program were improper, said Patrick P. O'Carroll Jr., the Social Security inspector general.

Error rates were much smaller for retirement, survivor and disability benefits, which make up the overwhelming majority of Social Security payments, O'Carroll told a congressional panel.

"By any standard, the scope of these problems is considerable," said Rep. Charles Boustany, R-La., chairman of the House Ways and Means Oversight subcommittee. "Regardless of whether a payment occurs because of simple error or outright fraud, improper payments harm Social Security programs in the long term, jeopardizing benefits for those who may need them in the future. They also cost taxpayers billions of dollars each year."

With lawmakers working to reduce soaring budget deficits, President Barack Obama has directed agencies to reduce improper payments. Boustany's panel held a hearing on Social Security's improper payments Tuesday. O'Carroll said the agency is working to improve accuracy, but more must be done.

Throughout the federal government, improper payments totaled $125 billion last year, up from $110 billion in 2009, O'Carroll said. In 2009, only two other agencies — the Departments of Health and Human Services, and Labor — had more improper payments than Social Security, he said.
Read more:

Isn't that nice - In comparison, however, that is a mere drop in the bucket compared to the wars we are fighting.

Happy Monkey 06-14-2011 11:08 PM

Amusingly, that is almost identical to the value of the bales of cash we lost track of in Iraq, according to a show I heard on NPR on my way home tonight.

classicman 06-14-2011 11:11 PM

lol - One of the comments below this article eluded to the same thing.

Happy Monkey 06-14-2011 11:23 PM

Just for clarity: According to the radio show, it was $6.6 billion total unaccounted for, which matches the $6.5 billion mentioned in the article, not the $8 billion in the article headline, or the $6 billion on one pallet or $26 billion total mentioned in the comments.


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 04:19 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.8.1
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.