The Cellar

The Cellar (http://cellar.org/index.php)
-   Current Events (http://cellar.org/forumdisplay.php?f=4)
-   -   Having it both ways (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=10639)

Griff 05-01-2006 05:51 AM

Having it both ways
 
Anybody watching the Congressional nonsense over gas prices? Rebates price caps etc... How about this, let the prices soar and get off freaking oil! It is so amusing to listen to congresscritters complain about global warming, overseas military disasters, and expanding suburbia but when the market starts to address these problems they don't want any part of it.

billybob 05-01-2006 06:21 AM

Governments love to fret about gas prices. The higher they go, the more they contribute to inflation, the higher inflation goes, the less chance thegovernment has of getting re-elected. As long as they can give the illusion of intervening without actually doing anything, everyone stays happy.
Gas prices are soaring, most of the developed world pays far more for its gas than the States. Places like Britain extract hefty taxes on every drop of fuel purchased, and yet still the motoring public open their wallets with a mixture of resignation and gratitude.

Let's be honest, most of us will at some stage have to change our present habits to accomodate the rocketing price of fuel. Since there appears to be a sellers' market, with no sign of a fall in consumption, the price can only go up. The days of the 30 minute commute to work will end, and public transport will have a resurgence in popularity. The value of your nice little country cottage will decline as future generations struggle to find the money to travel long distances to work every day.Air travel has passed the point of lowest cost in real terms, and is starting to get more expensive.

No amount of giovernment meddling can alter this, the only way forward is to develop alternative fuel technologies and modify our autromobile-centred lifestyles.By tinkering on the fringes, governments the world over are simply scraping the bottom of the barrel with a view to passing the problem on to the next generation. The first country to successfully divorce itself from oil consumption will be the next great superpower.

elSicomoro 05-01-2006 06:57 AM

I took a screenshot of MSNBC's site the other night...it had a reference to the rebate idea. It'll probably be today's Manifesto...it's a hoot!

My car gets about 25 mpg overall...maybe more. I have an '03 Chevy Malibu, and I sit in traffic frequently. I'll have to test it again this week.

tw 05-02-2006 12:44 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by billybob
Let's be honest, most of us will at some stage have to change our present habits to accomodate the rocketing price of fuel.

Maybe you did not notice. But gasoline prices only went back to early 1970s prices. And just like in the 1970s, when price of gasoline doubled, sale of gas guzzlers continued unabated. Meanwhile a president was losing a foreign war that had no purpose, and lying constantly. Country was leaching money everywhere with government debts skyrocketing. Inflation and stagflation would then result many years later. Does history repeat itself?

Meanwhile, draft was reinstated because the military could not recruit enough volunteers for a war based in presidental lies.

Ibby 05-02-2006 01:24 AM

Quote:

Meanwhile, draft was reinstated because the military could not recruit enough volunteers for a war based in presidental lies.
Scary thought, huh?

xoxoxoBruce 05-02-2006 10:46 PM

I've read $4.50 is the minimum to affect SUV sales appreciably.

OK, everyone agrees that cutting our oil consumption and foreign dependence is a good thing. Preaching hasn't worked. Rationing is a hot potato(e);) that nobody will touch. More tax is political suicide. It's clear that higher prices is the only way...but how?

The oil men in the White house look at each other and giggle. The answer is clear.....and very profitable. But golly gee, will big oil go along with it? The giggles turn to laughing and howling until the tears flow. Then someone suggests the oil executives be given a Freedom Medal for their national service. Now the laughter becomes a complete breakdown in decorum and the meeting must adjourn.

Now, you know I made that all up. That couldn't really happen...could it.....

Urbane Guerrilla 05-03-2006 06:35 PM

I dunno... an oil company is really an energy company. They could be going into nuclear power, even, were they to take the wider view. They? It would only take one doing it to galvanize the others, and they'd do well by doing good. And I'm letting nuclear (even if George Bush and about a third of Congress, both houses, don't pronounce it right) stand for all the other energy alternatives.

I don't hold a lot of hope for any of this, though. The alternatives are so spread out, so unconcentrated, that gathering and concentrating the energy they develop is uneconomic, or else the pollution problems they pose are not easily made tractable. (ka-ching!)

Maybe if we could convert gamma radiation and alpha and beta decay directly into alternating current instead of having to wait for it to decay down to heat and boil water with it...

Ibby 05-06-2006 04:02 PM

Gas is like, 75 cents in Thailand right now, and people are freaking out about rising gas prices there too.

It's all relative, eh?

chronos 05-06-2006 04:29 PM

Why does the government of a capitalist society need to get involved with this issue? It's all about supply and demand. The oil producing countries have the supply and we have the demand. Let prices rise until demand falls.

xoxoxoBruce 05-06-2006 11:48 PM

Supply and demand, yes. But the supply is effected by things like competition which is fast becoming extinct as the oil companies merge or are gobbled up. Less oil companies means less chance of anyone breaking ranks. :eyebrow:

BigV 05-14-2006 04:57 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Ibram
Gas is like, 75 cents in Thailand right now, and people are freaking out about rising gas prices there too.

It's all relative, eh?

Gas is 12 cents a gallon in Venzuela.

billybob 05-14-2006 08:53 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BigV
Gas is 12 cents a gallon in Venzuela.

The obvious downside is, it's Venezuela!

rkzenrage 05-14-2006 09:03 AM

I love how little alternative fuel is discussed during all of it... the white elephant in the room...

Elspode 05-14-2006 11:41 AM

I suggest that we convert politicians and oil company execs into gasoline.

jaguar 05-14-2006 01:05 PM

Quote:

Why does the government of a capitalist society need to get involved with this issue? It's all about supply and demand. The oil producing countries have the supply and we have the demand. Let prices rise until demand falls.
Bread and circuses, it's something that pisses people off, thus those we elect to bribe us with our own money feel the heat and the need to do something about it. The electorate doesn't give a damn about market forces & governmental interfering, just how much it costs to fill the H2 this week.

rkzenrage - show me one that's viable, this is something where the market is at work, when oil becomes expensive enough we will see alt. fuels, until then don't hold your breath. Want to know the first one that's getting plenty of cash? Oil Shale.

rkzenrage 05-14-2006 11:12 PM

Define Viable... viable is not "does not interrupt the pampered little babies life in ANY way AT ALL" I hope?

Urbane Guerrilla 05-15-2006 02:11 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rkzenrage
I love how little alternative fuel is discussed during all of it... the white elephant in the room...

What's the daily US demand of crude oil and petroleum products, then? You make a significant effect when you can offset a significant fraction of roughly 20 million barrels of various petroleum fuels daily, every day, day in, day out.

You need the scale, or no limits upon the possible development of that scale, to do this job.

tw 05-15-2006 02:36 AM

From The Economist of 20 Apr 2006
Quote:

Steady as she goes

But is the world really starting to run out of oil? And would hitting a global peak of production necessarily spell economic ruin? Both questions are arguable. Despite today's obsession with the idea of “peak oil”, what really matters to the world economy is not when conventional oil production peaks, but whether we have enough affordable and convenient fuel from any source to power our current fleet of cars, buses and aeroplanes. With that in mind, the global oil industry is on the verge of a dramatic transformation from a risky exploration business into a technology-intensive manufacturing business. And the product that big oil companies will soon be manufacturing, argues Shell's Mr Van der Veer, is “greener fossil fuels”.

The race is on to manufacture such fuels for blending into petrol and diesel today, thus extending the useful life of the world's remaining oil reserves. This shift in emphasis from discovery to manufacturing opens the door to firms outside the oil industry (such as America's General Electric, Britain's Virgin Fuels and South Africa's Sasol) that are keen on alternative energy. It may even result in a breakthrough that replaces oil altogether. ...

It is true that the big firms are struggling to replace reserves. But that does not mean the world is running out of oil, just that they do not have access to the vast deposits of cheap and easy oil that are left in Russia and members of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC). And as the great fields of the North Sea and Alaska mature, non-OPEC oil production will probably peak by 2010 or 2015. That is soon—but it says nothing of what really matters, which is the global picture.

When the United States Geological Survey (USGS) studied the matter closely, it concluded that the world had around 3 trillion barrels of recoverable conventional oil in the ground. Of that, only one-third has been produced. ...

It is also true that oilmen will probably discover no more “super-giant” fields like Saudi Arabia's Ghawar (which alone produces 5m bpd). But there are even bigger resources available right under their noses. Technological breakthroughs such as multi-lateral drilling helped defy predictions of decline in Britain's North Sea that have been made since the 1980s: the region is only now peaking.
Many technologies existed and are now being pioneered or rediscovered only because price of oil is starting to return to the average 20th Century price.
Quote:

Shell blended conventional diesel with a super-clean and super-powerful new form of diesel made from natural gas (with the clunky name of gas-to-liquids, or GTL). ...

Unless the world sees another OPEC-engineered price collapse as it did in 1985 and 1998, GTL, tar sands, ethanol and other alternatives will become more economic by the day.
Large sections of the North Sea and Bakersfield CA have new oil because more advanced recovery concepts are worth investigating. When does biodiesel become viable? $80 per barrel. Welcome back to the real world. Welcome to what happens when a nation blindly builds a fleet of 1960 technology SUVs rather than doing more with less energy. Now we must spend money, machinery, and labor - massively - for where most of that oil always remained.

So how many were too emotional to think logically; complain gas prices are too high? That same complaint was when gas prices rose from $0.85 per gallon to $1.30. So what did they do? Nothing. Nothing because their complaints were totally based in what adult children do - think emotionally; not logically. SUV sales even increased as gas went to $2/gallon. Still they cried like children - and did nothing.

IOW act like a Rush Limbaugh type instead of first learning facts. Price of oil triples and yet demand is not altered? By my definition, those who complain about price of gasoline are classic examples of anti-Americans. Emotional rather than logical. "I feel he has WMD; therefore he must". No wonder this nation now tortures people over the world - and so many Americans are too anti-American to even speak up. Same nonsense from those who somehow know oil prices are too high.

One final point. Serious problem is not due to a shortage of oil. Those second two trillion barrels will be burned at significantly increasing rates. Serious consequences are from other factors such as massive increases in CO2 emission and other toxic (destructive) compounds. We are only just learning consequences of things that few industrialized people have only just begun to consider AND now the entire world is just beginning to contribute into.

Plenty of oil is available. And there remains nothing in the long term that will provide 'energy per pound' so necessary in oil based fuels. We have plenty of oil. If we want to burn it like there was no tomorrow, costs (prices and other factors) will reflect accordingly. Oil is a wonderful material unrivaled in the products oil can create. And yet we just burn it. Don't worry. Be happy. Consequences of not using oil responsibly will instead fall on our heirs.

jaguar 05-15-2006 03:56 AM

viable as in the same price or cheaper than oil.

rkzenrage 05-15-2006 01:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by jaguar
viable as in the same price or cheaper than oil.

Exactly... "does not interrupt the pampered little babies life in ANY way AT ALL".

mrnoodle 05-15-2006 01:50 PM

Being able to get to work because your weekly fuel bill is less than half of your salary is not being pampered.

rkzenrage 05-15-2006 02:08 PM

We are going to have to do different things, make concessions, use bikes, smaller vehicles, public transportation.
Get outside of "I have to have it exactly the way it is today. I HAVE to have my big SUV that I drive all by myself".
Oil and our children's future is not just about ourselves and it is being papered if that is what you call what you "need".
There is NO reason for a city of 250,000 not to have a decent, functional, public transit system.
The tax for it should not be up for a vote.

Undertoad 05-15-2006 03:19 PM

And the citizens who want to leave should be fenced in, and petroleum-burning trucks barred from entry.

rkzenrage 05-15-2006 03:22 PM

Please tell me that is not a different version of the moronic "love it or leave it" mentality?
I have had a lot of respect for you...

Undertoad 05-15-2006 03:25 PM

It was a sensible followon to the notion that a tax shouldn't be voted on.

rkzenrage 05-15-2006 03:28 PM

Not all taxes are voted on with a popular vote, you know that.

Happy Monkey 05-15-2006 03:49 PM

In fact, a vanishingly small number of them are.

xoxoxoBruce 05-15-2006 09:33 PM

All of them are...... indirectly, at the ballot box. :eyebrow:


All times are GMT -5. The time now is 09:15 PM.

Powered by: vBulletin Version 3.8.1
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, Jelsoft Enterprises Ltd.