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-   -   Egypt and Arab States circle toilet bowl (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=24476)

tw 04-19-2011 11:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 724719)
Is this false? Were these things not stated?

Your URL does not even cite what you are quoting. More interesting are the topics in that URL.
•Obama Accountability Project
•Illegal Immigration
•Investigating Obamacare
•Exposing ACORN
•Financial Crisis/Fannie-Freddie Investigation
•Pelosi Air Force Scandal
•Joe the Plumber Lawsuit
•Judicial Nominations Project
•DOJ Black Panther Voter Intimidation Case Dismissal Investigation

Every one a hot button spin issue for right wing extremists. When do you quote patriots - also called moderates?

TheMercenary 04-21-2011 08:31 PM

Mission Creep. We are not and should not be the worlds police force. Fuck them if they want to kill each other off.

http://www.latimes.com/news/nationwo...,6275441.story

richlevy 04-22-2011 07:04 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 724710)
Your burden....


You don't believe this??? :eek:

Why? You think they are friends and want to recognize Israel as a legitimate state in the Middle East?

Your wanting to believe something and have it actually be true are two different things. I can point you to a sci-fi series in which the author claims that the Yiddish word 'goy' translates to 'cattle', when in reality the word comes from the bible.

A lot of 'religious war' really had nothing to do with what is actually written in holy books. It had more to do with money, land, and power. Protestants v Catholics had a lot to do with Protestants claiming church land formerly owned by the Catholic church. The strife in Northern Ireland had almost nothing to do with religion but more to do with the political affiliations of majorities in each group and a perceived concentration of political and economic power in one group.

Is there anything explicit in the holy books of any major religion that denigrates another religion or justifies the persecution of other religions - no. Are there vague passages that can be twisted by those with an agenda and tied into cultural or political hatreds to achieve these goals - yes.

What I find twisted is that for propaganda purposes Muslim extremists are digging up myths about Jews that were started by European Christians centuries ago. Specifically blood libel, and I'm not talking about Sarah Palin.

Fair&Balanced 04-22-2011 07:12 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by richlevy (Post 725658)
....What I find twisted is that for propaganda purposes Muslim extremists are digging up myths about Jews that were started by European Christians centuries ago. Specifically blood libel, and I'm not talking about Sarah Palin.

I agree.

I just would not limit it to Muslim extremists. The anti-Muslim extremists in the US are guilty as well.

TheMercenary 04-22-2011 03:52 PM

Where is Obama and the EU?

http://english.alarabiya.net/article...22/146329.html

TheMercenary 04-22-2011 03:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 725659)
I agree.

I just would not limit it to Muslim extremists. The anti-Muslim extremists in the US are guilty as well.

Have you proven Gellar is wrong?

TheMercenary 04-23-2011 04:36 AM

More on the killing of civilians in Syria.

http://reason.com/blog/2011/04/22/mo...d-in-syria-cen

Where are the drones?

ZenGum 04-23-2011 09:55 PM

The drones are busy watching Fox News.


Oh, those drones. They're bombing villages in Yemen and Pakistan.

TheMercenary 04-25-2011 05:40 PM

The Syrian Government continues to kill it's citizens via it's troops. Where is the Obama Rescue plan? Why is Syria more important than Libya?

Why the hell would Obamy allow continued trade with Syria?

Uday 04-25-2011 10:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 727034)
The Syrian Government continues to kill it's citizens via it's troops. Where is the Obama Rescue plan? Why is Syria more important than Libya?

Why the hell would Obamy allow continued trade with Syria?

Forgive my curiosity, but why is America so convinced that they are responsible for "rescuing" other nations? We have seen the "rescues" done since 1870 or so (WWII and the Korean war as notable exceptions). It may not be obvious, but maybe not everyone wants your "help", also because that help always involves "provisional government".

Fair&Balanced 04-25-2011 11:27 PM

The U.S. is not responsible for "rescuing other nations" on its own.

The U.S. as part of a broad coalition, with a mandate from the UN, can and should, under certain circumstances and on a limited basis, act to protect innocent civilians if it is believed it would not lead to greater harm or a worse outcome.

IMO, that is the case in Libya. A UN mandate, with the support of the Arab League, against a dictator that every other Arab leader would be happy to see deposed.

And not the case in Syria. There is no UN mandate and wont be because Russia, with its close ties to Syria, would veto. Syria also has close ties to Iran, Hamas in Gaza and Hezballah in Lebanon. The potential for greater harm or a worse outcome if the US, unilaterally or with a UN mandated, were to act militarily, is far more likely than in Libya. That greater harm or worse outcome being a response by Iran/Hamas/Hezballah against Israel, leading to a much greater threat of a larger war in the Middle East or an upsurge of terrorists actions in Europe and/or the US.

Fair&Balanced 04-25-2011 11:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 727034)
Why the hell would Obamy allow continued trade with Syria?

Obama extended Bush's trade sanctions against Syria last year that are still in place. They expire next month and would need to be extended again, which I presume will happen.

He could also freeze Syrian assets in the US, but would have little impact. Unlike Libya, Syria has few assets in the US.

Uday 04-26-2011 10:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727231)
The U.S. is not responsible for "rescuing other nations" on its own.

The U.S. as part of a broad coalition, with a mandate from the UN, can and should, under certain circumstances and on a limited basis, act to protect innocent civilians if it is believed it would not lead to greater harm or a worse outcome.

This may very well be true, but this is not how it looks to the rest of the world. It looks more like America arranges coalitions, then wrecks a country, then hires "no bid" contractors to rebuild it with pieces of shit. You even electrocute your own soldiers in their barrack bathrooms, and have police stations with shit from the second floor plumbing coming out of the first floor light fixture, yes?

Or your marines find themselves guarding poppy fields, so that the heroin trade goes to the right warlord.

When America comes to "help", smart people pack up and leave home.

Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 10:26 PM

I agree completely with you about Iraq and the role of Halliburton and Blackwater.

I even agree with to some extent with Afghanistan and propping up the current corrupt regime.

Where I think the US can be most successful is along the model of Bosnia and now Libya, as part of a broad coalition and with a self-limiting role to protect civilians and/or support popular movements against oppressive governments but not to the extent of invading and occupying.

Uday 04-26-2011 10:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727741)
I agree completely with you about Iraq and the role of Halliburton and Blackwater.

I even agree with to some extent with Afghanistan and propping up the current corrupt regime.

Where I think the US can be most successful is along the model of Bosnia and now Libya, as part of a broad coalition and with a self-limiting role to protect civilians and/or support popular movements against oppressive governments but not to the extent of invading and occupying.

Bosnia is better, yes, but still had problems with American mercenaries, such as KB&R.

America would find more gratitude if they followed the French model from the revolutionary war; go in, take out the bad guy, and then leave immediately. It is when the nation being "helped" is subjected to "provisional governments" and "stabilization" that problems begin.

Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 10:39 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uday (Post 727749)
Bosnia is better, yes, but still had problems with American mercenaries, such as KB&R.

America would find more gratitude if they followed the French model from the revolutionary war; go in, take out the bad guy, and then leave immediately. It is when the nation being "helped" is subjected to "provisional governments" and "stabilization" that problems begin.

Building a new democracy takes more than just taking out the bad guy.

I lean towards looking at the US foreign policy in broad term using a combination of diplomacy, military assistance, intel assistance, economic aid, and other means that will help a democratic government take root and have the capacity to succeed.

Unlike the neo-con approach to foreign policy, there is no one right mix of all the above. Each engagement requires a different approach.

Uday 04-26-2011 10:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727754)
Building a new democracy takes more than just taking out the bad guy.

I lean towards looking at the US foreign policy in broad term using a combination of diplomacy, military assistance, intel assistance, economic aid, and other means that will help a democratic government take root and have the capacity to succeed.

Correct me if I am wrong, but America did not require the French to stay. You succeeded in far worse conditions with none of the above, except diplomacy and ruinous loans.

classicman 04-26-2011 10:44 PM

and Europe .... Any dwellars there that can attest to this?




Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 10:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uday (Post 727758)
Correct me if I am wrong, but America did not require the French to stay. You succeeded in far worse conditions with none of the above, except diplomacy and ruinous loans.

The world is a different place. I dont see the relevance in comparing circumstances in 18th century colonial America and 21st century Middle East.

Uday 04-26-2011 10:47 PM

700 Club? That is like America's Muslim Brotherhood, yes? Crazy religious people who pretend to be semi-secular?

Uday 04-26-2011 10:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727761)
The world is a different place. I dont see the relevance in comparing circumstances in 18th century colonial America and 21st century Middle East.

Humans don't change...and the external conditions a country faces are more favourable to a young democracy now, anywhere in the world, then they were in North America in the 18th century.

Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 11:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uday (Post 727763)
Humans don't change...and the external conditions a country faces are more favourable to a young democracy now, anywhere in the world, then they were in North America in the 18th century.

You will have to explain this.

Most countries in the 18th century were self-supporting to a large extent. That is not the case today in a global economy, which is why all of those young and emerging democracies rely heavily on US (and other) economic aid as well as US training on basic democratic institutions and even, to some extent, military assistance.

In conclusion, I do not support an isolationist America. I also dont define America by the extremes (eg 700 club) although a dont discount their influence, particularly during the previous administration.

Uday 04-26-2011 11:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727768)
You will have to explain this.

Most countries in the 18th century were self-supporting to a large extent. That is not the case today in a global economy, which is why all of those young and emerging democracies rely heavily on US (and other) economic aid as well as US training on basic democratic institutions and even, to some extent, military assistance.

In conclusion, I do not support an isolationist America. I also dont define America by the extremes (eg 700 club) although a dont discount their influence, particularly during the previous administration.

America faced a lack of infrastructure, hostile indigents, and was cut off from trade with the world's greatest power for several years after the American revolution. In addition, there were factional disputes and a level of official corruption that makes the modern day look like a fool's paradise.

Today, an emerging nation has the world bank, trade that beats its way to their doors, and very little in the way of external threats. The world in general is far more peaceful on a day to day level than it was even a century ago.

And I do not consider America itself to be extremist, just very confused. In fact, I have considered remaining here when my studies are complete, because America has a much better weekend than Egypt does. I won't, of course, but the idea is very tempting.

Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 11:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uday (Post 727777)
America faced a lack of infrastructure, hostile indigents, and was cut off from trade with the world's greatest power for several years after the American revolution. In addition, there were factional disputes and a level of official corruption that makes the modern day look like a fool's paradise.

Actually, America had more natural resources than any other country in the world at the time and was the first truly democratic country to emerge in the era of colonialism. Of course, it wasnt perfect.

I would urge you to read de tocqueville's "Democracy in America"for an outsider's understanding of the American democratic experiment.


Quote:

Today, an emerging nation has the world bank, trade that beats its way to their doors, and very little in the way of external threats. The world in general is far more peaceful on a day to day level than it was even a century ago
Egypt gets about $2 billion/year in military and economic aid from the US.

Are you suggesting that a new government in Egypt should decline that aid?

Uday 04-26-2011 11:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727781)
Actually, America had more natural resources than any other country in the world at the time and was the first truly democratic country to emerge in the era of colonialism. Of course, it wasnt perfect.



Egypt gets about $2 billion/year in military and economic aid from the US.

Are you suggesting that a new government in Egypt should decline that aid?

Yes. It is better to stand on your own.

Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 11:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uday (Post 727782)
Yes. It is better to stand on your own.

I would bet that a more democratic government that emerges in Egypt will disagree with you.

There is no shame in taking assistance as one is in the early stages of development.

Uday 04-26-2011 11:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727786)
I would bet that a more democratic government that emerges in Egypt will disagree with you.

There is no shame in taking assistance as one is in the early stages of development.

Of course they will disagree with me. Have you ever seen a politician turn down funding?

And Egypt is not exactly in the early stages of development. We are very experienced in changing governments.

Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 11:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Uday (Post 727787)
Of course they will disagree with me. Have you ever seen a politician turn down funding?

And Egypt is not exactly in the early stages of development. We are very experienced in changing governments.

Thirty years is a long time between changing governments. Am I not correct in saying that majority of Egyptians (those under 30) have never known or experienced democracy in their lifetime.

Uday 04-26-2011 11:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Fair&Balanced (Post 727788)
Thirty years is a long time between changing governments. Am I not correct in saying that majority of Egyptians (those under 30) have never known or experienced democracy in their lifetime.

You would be more correct in saying that no living Egyptians have experienced actual democracy as you understand it.

And there's very little chance they will. Egypt is far more factionalised (spelling?) than America. We do not play well together.

This is no reason not to try, of course. But Egypt typically moves to something that more closely resembles a monarchy.

Fair&Balanced 04-26-2011 11:52 PM

I appreciate your perspective and wish you well when you go back home!

Griff 04-27-2011 05:44 AM

Well said, Uday.

TheMercenary 04-28-2011 09:38 AM

Or notion of Democracy and that of what the rest of the world thinks it to be are completely different. This string reinforces it.

TheMercenary 02-14-2012 10:10 AM

Let's see if Obama has the balls to cut the money....

Muslim Brotherhood Warns U.S. Aid Cut May Affect Egypt’s Peace Treaty With Israel

Quote:

So far, the defiant response from Cairo has been attributed mostly to government figures with links to the deposed Mubarak regime, including the anti-Western minister for international cooperation, Fayza Abul-Naga. The military-appointed Prime Minister Kamal el-Ganzouri – who also served during the Mubarak era – told reporters last Wednesday that the authorities “won’t change course because of some aid.”

But now the Muslim Brotherhood (MB), which won almost 50 percent of the seats in recent legislative elections and dominates parliamentary committees, is making its position clear, too.


Egyptians pass a police checkpoint near the Interior Ministry in Cairo on Wednesday, Feb. 8, 2012. (AP Photo/Amr Nabil)

Any U.S. aid cut to Egypt, top MB lawmaker Essam el-Erian told the pan-Arabic al-Hayat newspaper, would violate the U.S.-brokered 1979 peace agreement with Israel.
http://cnsnews.com/news/article/musl...-treaty-israel

TheMercenary 02-14-2012 10:14 AM

Quote:

Although never particularly popular in Egypt, the agreement kept the peace between the former foes for three decades and secured Egypt more than $1.3 billion in U.S. military and economic aid each year.
Save this and we could buy everybody birth control pills.

glatt 02-14-2012 10:23 AM

$1.3 billion is nothing compared to the costs of another middle east war. If we can keep buying peace for that small amount, I support it. I only wish we could have bought peace in Afghanistan and Iraq for a similar amount.

TheMercenary 02-14-2012 10:32 AM

I don't know, sounds a little too blackmailish for me. If nothing else we need to significantly reduce this kind of aid across the board.

glatt 02-14-2012 10:41 AM

Yes, it's ethically and morally questionable, but my portion of that amount works out to about the same cost as a cup of Starbucks coffee per year. I'm happy to pay that to avoid war. I'd up it to 3 coffees per year if I could have avoided war in Iraq and Afghanistan too. It's nothing.

TheMercenary 02-14-2012 10:51 AM

Yea, but if some people get their way you will be buying 10 coffees a year and you would be hooked and addicted to getting financial aid for everything in your life, it's a slippery slope. ;)

TheMercenary 02-15-2012 08:50 PM

Quote:

Russia and Iran are continuing to send arms to the Syrian regime that can be used against protesters, a top State Department official said today.

"Iran is resupplying Syria and through Syria has supplied weapons to Hezbollah," said Tom Countryman, the assistant secretary of state for international security and nonproliferation, at a Wednesday morning breakfast meeting of the Defense Writers Group in Washington.

Countryman's bureau plays a major role in monitoring international compliance with nonproliferation and arms control rules. He declined to go into specifics on what arms Iran and Russia are giving the regime of Bashar al-Assad, but he confirmed that both countries are still supplying arms that can be used to attack civilians and opposition groups inside Syria, who are engaged in an increasingly bloody struggle with the government.

"We do not believe that Russian shipments of weapons to Syria are in the interests of Russia or Syria," he said.

According to Countryman, the Iranian weapons being funneled through the Syrian government to Hezbollah are not being used by Hezbollah inside Syria, but are being transferred to Hezbollah groups inside Syria's neighbor Lebanon.

Countryman also said the U.S. government is working with allies to try to get a handle on the stores of conventional, biological, and chemical weapons inside Syria, to prevent them from falling into the wrong hands if and when the Assad regime collapses.

There are "tens of thousands" of MANPADS - shoulder-fired missile systems -- in Syria and nobody really knows where they all are, Countryman said. Unlike Libya, Syria is not a signatory to the Chemical Weapons Convention, so there is no official reporting on its store of those weapons, but the effort to locate them is underway.

"We have ideas as to the quantity and we have ideas as to where they are," Countryman said. "We wish some of the neighbors of Syria to be on the lookout... When you get a change of regime in Syria, it matters what are the conditions -- chaotic or orderly."
Russia is not our friend Obama....

http://thecable.foreignpolicy.com/po...ashar_al_assad

Happy Monkey 02-15-2012 09:01 PM

Obama's not the one who looked in Putin's soul and liked what he saw.

TheMercenary 02-15-2012 09:03 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Happy Monkey (Post 795650)
Obama's not the one who looked in Putin's soul and liked what he saw.

Maybe, but I bet Obama gave him a blow job.

classicman 02-15-2012 09:11 PM

@ HM - Bwahahahahaa...

Lamplighter 02-15-2012 11:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 795651)
Maybe, but I bet Obama gave him a blow job.

A new low... Merc's parents must be so proud.

Ibby 02-15-2012 11:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lamplighter (Post 795678)
A new low... Merc's parents must be so proud.

Not a new low, but I get yelled at every time I bring up Merc's REAL low points at the Cellar.

Sundae 02-16-2012 04:47 AM

That's because when you rake up the past you get the stench of decay.
Merc's made some gaffes, but it's not necessary to air them if you disagree with a current post. That should be enough.

I live with a woman who is happy to bring up things that happened over 20 years ago. It doesn't make for a sense of community.

TheMercenary 02-16-2012 08:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Lamplighter (Post 795678)
A new low... Merc's parents must be so proud.

My parents are dead. Thanks anyway.

piercehawkeye45 07-18-2012 11:57 AM

Don't know if this is just hype, but there is talk that the latest bombing on Assad's security officials could prove to be a "tipping point" in the Syrian conflict. The problem is, we have no idea where this new direction will take us (civil war, genocide, democracy)

Quote:

The assassinations were the first of such high-ranking members of the elite since the revolt began and could represent a turning point in the conflict, analysts said. The nature and target of the attack strengthened the opposition’s claims that its forces have been marshaling strength to strike at the close-knit centers of state power.
http://www.nytimes.com/2012/07/19/wo...e.html?_r=1&hp


Quote:

The rapid deterioration of Assad's control in Damascus -- the capital was largely free from serious fighting a week ago -- may be surprising, but was also increasingly inevitable. For the past 16 months, the Syrian government has been caught in a vicious cycle: A city or a town rises up, and the military arrests, tortures, and kills its citizens in a bid to quell the uprising -- but only ends up driving Syrians into the arms of the opposition and spurring further military defections. This basic dynamic first played out in miniature in regions like Deraa, then on a grander scale in cities like Homs, and now in the capital . Since the beginning of the uprising, the Assad regime has found itself in a death spiral from which it seemingly has no clue how to extricate itself.

For those of us on the outside, all we can do is watch developments carefully, be careful of rumors and sources with an agenda, and try to make sense of the few pieces of confirmed news that filter out. With that in mind, here is a primer on the three Syrian officials confirmed dead or injured.
http://blog.foreignpolicy.com/posts/...s_death_spiral

Quote:

No answers, only questions:

1. How frightened is the Iranian regime right now about the prospect of losing its only Arab ally?

2. What specifically is the West doing to make sure that Syria's chemical weapons are secure and are not used?

3. Could this mess have been avoided by early intervention?

4. Does Asma al-Assad, Bashar's wife, regret not taking a Jordanian offer of refuge months ago?

5. Anyone want to take out long-term life insurance on newly-appointed Syrian defense minister Gen. Fahad Jassim al-Freij?

6. Did today's suicide bombers watch "Valkyrie" and learn from Tom Cruise's mistakes?

7. What does Kofi Annan do now?

UPDATED:

8. How long before we find out that al Qaeda is behind this bombing, and how long before we discover that it does not know how to stop?
http://www.theatlantic.com/internati...future/259985/

tw 07-18-2012 09:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by piercehawkeye45 (Post 820773)
... but there is talk that the latest bombing on Assad's security officials could prove to be a "tipping point" in the Syrian conflict.

Same questions from Libya apply. Will combat and death rates be long enough and large enough for the country to unite as a nation? Or will the fall of Assad only result in more civil war?

How united are the Syrian people into making a nation rather than craving power or seeking revenge? Important in all such wars is a very high death rate among all combatants.

ZenGum 07-19-2012 06:41 AM

Syria, like many countries in the middle east, has borders drawn in peace conferences by The Powers after WWI and WWII. Those borders do not respect the actual ethnic distributions on the ground, leading to nations that are no more than political facades, held together by repression of dissent.

Civil war - if this isn't already it - seems pretty much inevitable.

ZenGum 08-02-2012 08:09 AM

The Syrian rebels have me quite impressed.

They don't waste ammo firing into the air in celebration.

Their battlefield tactics are competent - teams with covering fire, orders being followed - things that were conspicuously absent in Libya.

They seem to have a coherent strategy, including seizing border crossings to friendly countries (= arms supply) and are making a stand in Aleppo.

Assad still has air power, though.

Spexxvet 08-02-2012 09:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 822628)
The Syrian rebels have me quite impressed.

They don't waste ammo firing into the air in celebration.

Their battlefield tactics are competent - teams with covering fire, orders being followed - things that were conspicuously absent in Libya.

They seem to have a coherent strategy, including seizing border crossings to friendly countries (= arms supply) and are making a stand in Aleppo.

Assad still has air power, though.

I heard this morning that they have acquired some tanks and are attacking the air bases.

Griff 08-02-2012 12:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 822628)
They don't waste ammo firing into the air in celebration.

NPR ran a report last week featuring Syrian rebels shooting holes in the sky after temporarily taking a check point.

classicman 08-02-2012 10:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 822628)
The Syrian rebels have me quite impressed.

They don't waste ammo firing into the air in celebration.

Their battlefield tactics are competent - teams with covering fire, orders being followed - things that were conspicuously absent in Libya.

They seem to have a coherent strategy, including seizing border crossings to friendly countries (= arms supply) and are making a stand in Aleppo.

Assad still has air power, though.

Its almost as if they are being coached, trained and coordinated...
Hmm.:rolleyes:

ZenGum 08-03-2012 08:58 AM

Well, quite a few are deserters from the army.

The saudis seem to be meddling. Iran is the only local friend Assad has. And Russia and China.

Kofi has finally chucked in the towel. He's given it every effort, but it has long since been hopeless.

Spexxvet 08-03-2012 09:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 822851)
Kofi has finally chucked in the towel. He's given it every effort, but it has long since been hopeless.

We'll be seeing him anon.

tw 08-03-2012 03:59 PM

Every war has a strategic objective and an end game. The planning for an inevitable peace. What could Assad be thinking? Or is he that deep in denial? From this perspective, yes. But really, nobody is that naive. What are his alternatives and possible plans?

glatt 08-03-2012 04:51 PM

Assad didn't choose to go to war. His objective is to not lose the war somebody else started.

piercehawkeye45 08-03-2012 05:45 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by tw (Post 822903)
Every war has a strategic objective and an end game. The planning for an inevitable peace. What could Assad be thinking? Or is he that deep in denial? From this perspective, yes. But really, nobody is that naive. What are his alternatives and possible plans?

Defeat the rebels and rule as a tyrant? Other rulers have done it.

ZenGum 08-03-2012 07:59 PM

What PH said. He's clinging to power because that's all he knows. He doesn't give a damn about this silly "peace", he just wants to stay in power. His clique and supporters know that if the revolution wins, there's going to be pay back for decades of tyranny. #$"% 'em.

tw 08-04-2012 07:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by ZenGum (Post 822928)
He doesn't give a damn about this silly "peace", he just wants to stay in power.

Two recent examples of why that strategy does not work were west of him. Meanwhile, Idi Amin and Baby Doc Duvalier both retired rich elsewhere. Why not learn from their examples? Why remain entrenched in a slowly decaying and apparently unwinnable situation?

Well it amazes me how many just know they are right. The so many who got angry because they just knew smoking cigarettes increase health. Or just knew Saddam had WMDs. In both cases, the facts and numbers said something completely different.

Amazing how many will insist the facts and history must be wrong. And amazing that so many of us do it.


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