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-   -   Betting tips (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=12069)

W.HI.P 01-16-2008 10:34 AM

AFC & NFC Championships
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San Diego Chargers @ New England Patriots(-14.0)

This is by far, the best bet of the season.

$$$F$$$R$$$E$$$E$$$
$$$C$$$A$$$S$$$H$$$$


Bet on the Chargers!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers(-7.0)

We have to look into this game a little close to see the picture a little more clear.
The Giants defence was built to sack with their amazing pass-rush.
Unlike the Cowboys, the Packers have a tough time protecting Favre against a normal team.
Result: Favre will get sacked!

The Giants are having a very serious TE problem, so Yes, Eli will also be under pressure and will also get sacked!

The Giants will have a clear advantage in the running game which will show a lot more than against the Cowboys.
Eli has really stepped it up this year as well.

The Giants can win this game!

Bet on the Giants.

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I actually wagered them, at -7.5 and 14.5, but let them be as they are.

deadbeater 01-17-2008 01:07 AM

Um WHIP, a little optimistic with these upset bets? Brett Farve thrives in cold weather better than any other QB in history, even better than Bart Starr, while Eli almost never adjusted to the cold.

W.HI.P 01-17-2008 10:36 AM

I don't consider the Giants beating the Packers an upset at all.
I think it would be an upset if the Packers beat the superior Giants.
Its possible, but highly unlikely.

robsterman1 01-17-2008 12:37 PM

The Packers know snow very well and got it down to a science how to use the snow to their advantage. So it will be a mightly close game and can go one way or the other. Perhaps you need to check the latest line on the Packers.

W.HI.P 01-17-2008 01:05 PM

The man with the cane will get sacked.
So will Eli.
In this match-up, the Giants will have a bettter running game than the Packers will, resulting in a low scoring game that is in the advantage of the Giants.
I can't see the Giants killing the Packers, but they are a better team.
And yes, snow obviously favours the Packers.
Add the fact that they're at home makes this game a very interesting one to watch as it will be close.

The bet of course with the huge pillow of 7.5 points making it a very wise bet.

Not as wise as the Chargers bet, but very good to hook up with.
Easy bet on the Giants+7.5

W.HI.P 01-17-2008 01:12 PM

I'm sorry, but umm, did anyone believe at any time that the Packers were better than the Cowboys?
I didn't think so because if the Cowboys were here you'd have them as odds on favorites.
Great teams show up in the playoffs.
The Giants were simply better than the Cowboys despite the game being played in Dallas.

The main weapon of the Giants is their pass rush.
Against the Cowboys OL and Romo's fast release, it was not effective till the late 3rd period.

The Packers offence is based on the Passing game which favours the Giants defencive style of play.
However the Packers OL is not nearly as good as the Cowboys was and Favre not as quick as young Romo.
The result is that Favre will get sacked, which will force the Packers to run the ball more than they should.
The Packers running game cannot compare to the 3 RB running game of the Giants.
This is a miss-match.

W.HI.P 01-19-2008 03:15 PM

PROPS

New York Giants @ Green Bay Packers

1)Base: QB Sacks made 4.5 .................Bet on the Over = 1.80

Combine in tickets of 3 with the following:

2)Rushing Yards-Brandon Jacobs 78.5 ...Bet on the Over = 1.75
3)Rushing Yards-Ryan Grant 96.5 ..........Bet on the Under = 1.80
4)First half points - 20.5 .......................Bet on the Under = 1.70
5)Second half points - 20.5 ...................Bet on the Under = 1.70


Total = 6 bets

123-pays = 5.67
124-pays = 5.35
125-pays = 5.35
134-pays = 5.50
135-pays = 5.50
145-pays = 5.20

Bet $1000 on each bet = $6.000

Win the base and any two wins = $5.200 $5670
Wn the base and any three, wins = $15.900 $16.670
Win the base and all four, wins = $32.570

Defencive gambling is the only way to go here.
I strongly disagree with any offencive style of betting.

deadbeater 01-19-2008 11:22 PM

Ok, WHIP, so you rationalized the Giants bet (I'm a Giants fan myself).

So, you think SD will make the game close, or will the Chargers win outright?

EDIT: So you figured that SD will beat the Cheaters, er Patriots outright? Er how, if Jacksonville couldn't do it?

W.HI.P 01-19-2008 11:49 PM

Come Febuary 3rd, I don't see why it would be suprising to any NFL fan to see:
LaDanian Tomlinson
Anotnio Gates
Shawne Merriman and Shaun Phillips.

winning the Superbowl
They all deserve to wear the ring.

deadbeater, what I am saying is that they're gonna take the money!.
The money wagered on the Patriots -14.5.
Also, I don't see any reason for them not to take the very large sum of long term bets this week.

W.HI.P 01-20-2008 12:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by deadbeater (Post 425873)

EDIT: So you figured that SD will beat the Cheaters, er Patriots outright? Er how, if Jacksonville couldn't do it?

Jacksonville? Who TF is Jacksonville?
How can anyone compare the Jaguars to the Chargers?

Look, Peyton Manning would have beat Tom Brady.

The Colts didn't get a chance to cause they clashed against a superior team.
Lets not forget the CB's Quentin Jammer and Antonio Cromartie. Has nobody been watching?
The San Diego's defence is well equipped to stop The Patriots offence.

Their offence? LaDainian Tomlinson, Michael Turner and Darren Sproles, make up a hell of a running game.

What makes you think that the Patriots will be able to stop these guys?

W.HI.P 01-20-2008 09:12 PM

Latest Results...
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San Diego Chargers 12-21 New England Patriots(-14) .....WIN
New York Giants 23-20 Green Bay Packers(-7.0) .............WIN
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I'm now a very rich man! :)

So thats 100% in the playoffs!
1 more to go, but I don't think my pick will be so hard to figure out :rolleyes:

deadbeater 01-20-2008 09:31 PM

Hey, they may actually, you know, lower the odds that the Pats may win by, so you may have to take the Pats and give the points. Aw heck, I'll still bet on the Giants vs the Cheaters.

classicman 01-20-2008 09:34 PM

New York Giants vs New England Patriots [-10+]

take the points and the "just happy to be there" Giants. Everything tells me to take the Pats as they will finish with an undefeated season and probably do it with a 20+ point victory. Since I am always wrong.... take the giants.

my G*d if they freakin win this game, I'll never hear the end of it from my NY relatives.

deadbeater 01-20-2008 09:46 PM

10 is waaay to high. It would probably drop to 8 or 7.

lumberjim 01-20-2008 10:03 PM

of all the suck ass matchups that i don't want to watch....this one takes the cake.

i don't give a shit which of those asshole teams wins, they can both suck a dick.

laaaaame


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