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-   -   Global Cooling (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=18922)

xoxoxoBruce 01-18-2009 02:58 AM

Another voice.
Quote:

S. Frederick Singer, who holds PhD in Physics from Princeton University, was a Special adviser to President Eisenhower on space developments, a professor of Environmental Sciences at the University of Virginia, and co-author of Unstoppable Global Warming: Every 1,500 Years.

In this New York Times bestseller, authors Singer and co-author Avery present the compelling concept that global temperatures have been rising mostly or entirely because of a natural cycle. Using historic data from two millennia of recorded history combined with natural physical records, they argue that the 1,500 year natural sunspot magnetic waves cycle that has always controlled the earth's climate remains the driving force in the current warming trend. Man created carbon dioxide has very little effect on the earth's climate.

Since the 1,500 year cycle was discovered in the early 1980's it's general characteristics have been confirmed by measurements in: tree rings (living, preserved and fossilized), pollen, coral, glaciers, boreholes, stalagmites, tree lines, and sea sediments. The most recent cycles have been recorded in human history with forced migrations, starvation, and disease during the cold portion of the cycle and greater population, expanded farm land, greater crop variety, and extra building during the warm portion.

The causes of the 1,500 year cycle are not well understood although 600 of them have been identified in the last million years. This permits the authors to be relatively confident that we have been moving into the warm phase of the cycle for the last 150 years. It also suggests that we may have one or two degrees more warming if we are to get to the typical high of the warm phase.
I still think we should be doing everything we can to regain energy Independence on political grounds... now, more than ever.

TheMercenary 01-18-2009 08:29 AM

I have to agree Bruce. It only takes one to examine the crisis over the dispute between Russia, the Ukraine, and the EU to see the extreme potential to manipulate others with the natural resources. Chavez's weak attempt to do that to the US was met with failure and he is now, thankfully, paying the price for it.

TheMercenary 01-19-2009 07:03 AM

And now we have this:

President 'has four years to save Earth'

Quote:

Barack Obama has only four years to save the world. That is the stark assessment of Nasa scientist and leading climate expert Jim Hansen who last week warned only urgent action by the new president could halt the devastating climate change that now threatens Earth. Crucially, that action will have to be taken within Obama's first administration, he added.
http://www.guardian.co.uk/environmen...m-hansen-obama

Undertoad 01-19-2009 09:46 AM

Hansen is the leading climate scientist in the G.W. conversation. He's not really studied up on international politics though.

This bit is in his full interview linked from the article:
Quote:

Last week, however, Hansen revealed his findings for 2008 which show, surprisingly, that last year was the coolest this century, although still hot by standards of the 20th century. The finding will doubtless be seized on by climate change deniers, for whom Hansen is a particular hate figure, and used as "evidence" that global warming is a hoax.

However, deniers should show caution, Hansen insisted: most of the planet was exceptionally warm last year. Only a strong La Niņa - a vast cooling of the Pacific that occurs every few years - brought down the average temperature. La Niņa would not persist, he said. "Before the end of Obama's first term, we will be seeing new record temperatures. I can promise the president that."
I like predictions like that. We will see soon enough.

Not sure why the opposite effect, El Niņo, is not blamed for global warming if La Niņa is blamed for global cooling. El Niņos have happened a lot recently. There was a particularly strong one in 1998 which is considered the warmest year in the last decade...

Also, Al Gore's movie told us that that G.W. will change ocean currents, not that ocean currents will change G.W. This was meant to tell us that localized cooling, which certainly does happen, is evidence of overall warming.

TheMercenary 01-19-2009 09:52 AM

It will interesting to see what changes the new administration is going to foist onto an already crumbling industry in this country. There is still a lot of talk about carbon credits and swaps which I think is a bunch of goblygoop.

classicman 02-01-2009 02:00 AM

Czech president attacks Al Gore's climate campaign

Quote:

Czech President Vaclav Klaus took aim at climate change campaigner Al Gore on Saturday in Davos in a frontal attack on the science of global warming.

"I don't think that there is any global warming," said the 67-year-old liberal, whose country holds the rotating presidency of the European Union. "I don't see the statistical data for that."

Referring to the former US vice president, who attended Davos this year, he added: "I'm very sorry that some people like Al Gore are not ready to listen to the competing theories. I do listen to them.

"Environmentalism and the global warming alarmism is challenging our freedom. Al Gore is an important person in this movement."

Speaking on the sidelines of the World Economic Forum, he said that he was more worried about the reaction to the perceived dangers than the consequences.

"I'm afraid that the current crisis will be misused for radically constraining the functioning of the markets and market economy all around the world," he said.

"I'm more afraid of the consequences of the crisis than the crisis itself."

Klaus makes no secret of his climate change scepticism -- he is also a fierce critic of the European Union -- and has branded the world's top panel of climate experts, the UN's IPCC, a smug monopoly.
I don't know squat about this guy, but there seem to be more people willing to speak out about the possibility that Al Gore may be a fraud.

TheMercenary 02-01-2009 08:59 AM

Gore had to reinvent himself. He had no choice. He basically failed as a politician in his own right so this keeps him on the lecture circuit and keeps cash in his pocket. Pretty good shtick if you can get it.

classicman 02-01-2009 11:27 AM

I hardly think Al Gore was a failure as a politician. He was the VP for 8 years, and had along history prior to that. I think he's a bit extreme, an alarmist (maybe he learned that from the R's) and I disagree with him on a lot of things, but a failure? Did you see how much this guy makes? I don't think he could be considered a failure. Yes he lost against W, but there are a few who still believe he actually won that election.

TheMercenary 02-01-2009 11:39 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 529295)
I hardly think Al Gore was a failure as a politician. He was the VP for 8 years, and had along history prior to that. I think he's a bit extreme, an alarmist (maybe he learned that from the R's) and I disagree with him on a lot of things, but a failure? Did you see how much this guy makes? I don't think he could be considered a failure. Yes he lost against W, but there are a few who still believe he actually won that election.

I don't support those notions.

classicman 02-01-2009 03:32 PM

ok then define "failure" in terms relating to Al Gore please. You may differ with his opinions, as I do in many cases, but a failure - how?

sugarpop 02-02-2009 07:40 PM

Well global warming causes extreme weather and climate change, right? Isn't the argument that ALL weather will become more extreme, including colder temperatures in some places in winter? I'm not a scientist, so I don't know. I'm asking. I don't know what the science is, but I do believe in global warming.

sugarpop 02-02-2009 07:40 PM

I like Al gore and I don't believe he was a failure.

classicman 02-02-2009 08:47 PM

I dislike Al Gore and I don't think he was a failure.

classicman 02-02-2009 08:49 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sugarpop (Post 529788)
Well global warming causes extreme weather and climate change, right? Isn't the argument that ALL weather will become more extreme, including colder temperatures in some places in winter? I'm not a scientist, so I don't know. I'm asking. I don't know what the science is, but I do believe in global warming.

There is no question that the temperatures vary from warm to cool. The issue is how responsible are humans for that change, if at all.

piercehawkeye45 02-02-2009 09:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 529177)
I don't know squat about this guy, but there seem to be more people willing to speak out about the possibility that Al Gore may be a fraud.

I think that is the same guy you posted earlier. If so, he is a quack....like Gore.

Aliantha 02-02-2009 09:17 PM

You know, if global warming is caused by man, then we have to try and repair the damage. I'm sure no one disagrees with that, but what about if it's not caused by man? Should we just go ahead and let it happen or just accept that it's not our fault and ignore it. If so, why don't we just ignore it anyway?

piercehawkeye45 02-02-2009 09:21 PM

We adapt. The reasons why we can't just ignore global warming is because it effects every aspect of our life. If the climate changes, most farmers will need to start planting new crops, ecosystems will change and maybe fail, weather patterns will change, etc.

Aliantha 02-02-2009 09:22 PM

So even if it's just a natural course of events we should try to stop it?

classicman 02-02-2009 09:28 PM

Yes Ali, we should try to change the natural course of the planet.

piercehawkeye45 02-02-2009 09:31 PM

We can't stop it. I am saying that climate change is unpreferable so we should try to limit what we are doing. If we do have an impact on the environment, we should try to limit it but that is all we can do. Climate change is happening and we need to adapt. It is starting to happen and I do know people in that business, they will have great job security soon.

Aliantha 02-02-2009 09:35 PM

Climate change is always happening...and human beings survived it before without all the technology we have now.

TheMercenary 02-02-2009 09:36 PM

I am building an underground bunker, anyone want to join me?

Aliantha 02-02-2009 09:37 PM

Will there be sugary stuff in it? lol

piercehawkeye45 02-02-2009 09:48 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aliantha (Post 529856)
Climate change is always happening...and human beings survived it before without all the technology we have now.

Yes, but our global economy wasn't as dependent on the climate as it is now. One major drought can effect billions.

Aliantha 02-02-2009 09:49 PM

or flood, or icestorm, or heatwave...

As you said, humans adapt. If they don't they die.

classicman 02-02-2009 09:54 PM

I'd like a ticket merc - please

dar512 02-03-2009 09:20 AM

Bolding mine.
Quote:

Originally Posted by Aliantha (Post 529856)
Climate change is always happening...and human beings survived it before without all the technology we have now.

Doesn't mean it was pleasant. Also doesn't mean we can survive the next one. We know more, but we also put a lot more stress on the planet these days.

Undertoad 02-03-2009 09:47 AM

As with every global change there will be bad things AND good things that come of it. We never hear about the good things.

Bad: sections of the planet become unlivable.
Good: other sections of the planet become livable!

Bad: sea level rise.
Good: Manhattan streets finally clean!

Bad: no ice platforms for polar bears to fish from.
Good: overfishing is a problem anyway!

Bad: change in ocean currents put Britain into permafrost.
Good: George Galloway finally shuts up!

Bad: Alaskan caribou lose homeland.
Good: We can finally drill for oil there!

piercehawkeye45 02-03-2009 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad (Post 530023)
As with every global change there will be bad things AND good things that come of it. We never hear about the good things.

Bad: sections of the planet become unlivable.
Good: other sections of the planet become livable!

Bad: sea level rise.
Good: Manhattan streets finally clean!

Bad: no ice platforms for polar bears to fish from.
Good: overfishing is a problem anyway!

Bad: change in ocean currents put Britain into permafrost.
Good: George Galloway finally shuts up!

Bad: Alaskan caribou lose homeland.
Good: We can finally drill for oil there!

Hahahahaha

sugarpop 02-03-2009 12:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aliantha (Post 529840)
You know, if global warming is caused by man, then we have to try and repair the damage. I'm sure no one disagrees with that, but what about if it's not caused by man? Should we just go ahead and let it happen or just accept that it's not our fault and ignore it. If so, why don't we just ignore it anyway?

You know, regardless of whether or not human beings are playing a part in global warming (which I believe we definitely are), there are other reasons to try to curtail our output of co2, like health reasons. My god, it used to sicken me driving on the freeway in LA. The smell of all that burning gasoline made me literally ill. And I can smell it here in Savannah too. So it isn't just big cities where there is this impact.

In addition, what about that huge spill at the coal plant last month? Or the oil spills in the oceans? Or the strip mining, which releases all kinds of heavy metals into the environment?

The truth is, as a species, we are not very efficient at getting our needs met in a way that isn't harmful. Don't you all want clean air to breathe? And fresh water to drink, and nutritious food to eat? We NEED to reduce our impact on the environment.

sugarpop 02-03-2009 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aliantha (Post 529861)
Will there be sugary stuff in it? lol

There will a dungeon, with all kinds of toys. If you're good, I'm sure there will be fun stuff to eat and drink. ;)

glatt 02-03-2009 12:33 PM

1 Attachment(s)
Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad (Post 530023)
Bad: sections of the planet become unlivable.
Good: other sections of the planet become livable!

The rest of your points were clearly jokes, so I'm only going to address this one, which some people might consider to be true.

Let's take Baffin Island for an example. It's cold and desolate now. If it gets warmer, you might think that people would be able to live there more than they do now.

But if you look at pictures, even after it warms up, it will be gravel. Warm gravel instead of cold gravel. It takes hundreds of thousands of years for gravel to turn into soil with organic material in it.

This was the lushest picture of Baffin Island I could find.

classicman 02-03-2009 01:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sugarpop (Post 530097)
Don't you all want clean air to breathe? And fresh water to drink, and nutritious food to eat?

And spotted owls... (J/K - I owed ya one :D)

Undertoad 02-03-2009 02:00 PM

Good lord Glatt what do you have against gravel? Think of the advantages:

- no lawn to mow!
- awesome drainage everywhere!
- don't have to build roads, just drive over the land!
- lots of things available to throw at someone's window when you want to get their attention!

kerosene 02-03-2009 02:37 PM

I like your attitude, UT. :)

HungLikeJesus 02-03-2009 03:03 PM

Someone got me a global warming coffee mug. It has a map of the world painted on it. When you fill it with a hot beverage, all the low-lying areas begin to disappear, including the entire state of Florida. So, if we do have increasing sea levels due to climate change, where will we keep all the old people?

kerosene 02-03-2009 03:06 PM

In the Colorado Mountains. :D

Aliantha 02-03-2009 03:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sugarpop (Post 530097)
You know, regardless of whether or not human beings are playing a part in global warming (which I believe we definitely are), there are other reasons to try to curtail our output of co2, like health reasons. My god, it used to sicken me driving on the freeway in LA. The smell of all that burning gasoline made me literally ill. And I can smell it here in Savannah too. So it isn't just big cities where there is this impact.

In addition, what about that huge spill at the coal plant last month? Or the oil spills in the oceans? Or the strip mining, which releases all kinds of heavy metals into the environment?

The truth is, as a species, we are not very efficient at getting our needs met in a way that isn't harmful. Don't you all want clean air to breathe? And fresh water to drink, and nutritious food to eat? We NEED to reduce our impact on the environment.

Oh for sure. Human beings should definitely clean up their act. I was really playing devils advocate anyway, although I'm really not so convinced now that human beings are responsible for global warming in any case.

We have issues with air pollution here in Oz, but nowhere near that in the US and some other countries.

Aliantha 02-03-2009 03:44 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by dar512 (Post 530016)
Bolding mine.

Doesn't mean it was pleasant. Also doesn't mean we can survive the next one. We know more, but we also put a lot more stress on the planet these days.

Life is not very pleasant for billions of people now.

sugarpop 02-03-2009 07:27 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Aliantha (Post 530181)
Life is not very pleasant for billions of people now.

Is it any wonder? There are too damn many of us.

You know, before we learned how to exploit old dinosaurs and plankton for energy, there were manageable numbers of people on the planet. Once we started using coal and oil, we began overpopulating like crazy. Between about 1800 and 1930 the population doubled from around 1 billion to 2 billion people. About 40 years later it doubled again. About 25 years later it doubled again. (do you see a trend here?) http://www.vaughns-1-pagers.com/hist...ion-growth.htm

From 10,000 years ago to 1750 CE, population world-wide increased on average by about 67,000 people a year. By the 1990s, that many new babies were crowding onto the planet every seven hours. http://worldhistoryforusall.sdsu.edu.../keytheme1.htm

sugarpop 02-03-2009 07:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by classicman (Post 530110)
And spotted owls... (J/K - I owed ya one :D)

:D

Aliantha 02-03-2009 07:42 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by sugarpop (Post 530244)
Is it any wonder? There are too damn many of us.

You know, before we learned how to exploit old dinosaurs and plankton for energy, there were manageable numbers of people on the planet. Once we started using coal and oil, we began overpopulating like crazy. Between about 1800 and 1930 the population doubled from around 1 billion to 2 billion people. About 40 years later it doubled again. About 25 years later it doubled again. (do you see a trend here?) http://www.vaughns-1-pagers.com/hist...ion-growth.htm

From 10,000 years ago to 1750 CE, population world-wide increased on average by about 67,000 people a year. By the 1990s, that many new babies were crowding onto the planet every seven hours. http://worldhistoryforusall.sdsu.edu.../keytheme1.htm


Yeah...it's those bloody catholics!

TheMercenary 02-04-2009 07:38 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by HungLikeJesus (Post 530161)
Someone got me a global warming coffee mug. It has a map of the world painted on it. When you fill it with a hot beverage, all the low-lying areas begin to disappear, including the entire state of Florida. So, if we do have increasing sea levels due to climate change, where will we keep all the old people?

I want one. Just to see if my house will be underwater. And as for the old people, who says we were going to move them. Just Katrina them. :D


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