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Originally Posted by Beestie
The president of Iran is not religious. He's a politician who is playing his hand very well. Not that outsmarting W takes all that much.
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The president of Iran also has almost no power. Rafsanjani (who was president then) was slowly taking power from the mullahs with support of a large Iranian majority. Then some other country started rattling nukes and threatening Iran. That literally undermined all reform and put the mullahs completely back in power. As a result, Iran's current president is a hard liner; the mullah's #1 choice.
Did we learn from Cuba? Everytime Castro was threatened by American rhetoric, then Castro became very popular. Cuba is having severe energy problems today. Their eight electric generators are old, have support problems, and are making Castro look bad. Anti-Castro graffitti has actually been observed. Now if America can just keep ignoring Castro, then maybe Cubans will demand change. Containment is always a far more powerful solution.
Meanwhile back in Iran, the mullahs are now safely and firmly entrenched; control Iran's government. The mullahs are also the reason why Iran has a nuclear program. Reformists were against nukes until ... well pre-emption really did fix Iran. It wiped out the entire Iran reform movement. The current president in Iran is a hardliner and strong supporter of religious extremism. Rafanjani - because of pre-emption - is also a strong supporter of the mullahs. Religious extremists control Iran's government.
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