The Cellar - Wall Street Protests

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- - Wall Street Protests (http://cellar.org/showthread.php?t=26025)

Quote:

Originally Posted by DanaC (Post 763895)

Right. So the disgruntled and betrayed old veteran is an anomaly, but the bloke shitting on a cop car is mainstream?

Actually, no they are probably one offs, but the number of people who would be willing to shit on anything down there that is close to mainstream would far outweigh the vet from WW2 or Korea who is there for some other unknown issue.

Quote:

Originally Posted by TheMercenary (Post 763890)

Does not change the fact that these FOOLS think I, a tax payer should pay off THEIR debt. Screw them. I am paying for my own kids to go to college. Don't think for one minute that I am going to pay off their debt, regardless of the reason or some other esoteric bull shit reason.

Esoteric? C'mon. It is obvious that the housing bubble was bad for everyone and the recession probably would have been much worse if many of the big finance corporations went under. College graduates make up a large portion of the middle class so it is pretty clear that if many graduates cannot pay off their debt, there are going to large economic issues that will affect everyone.

The question of whether we should do anything about it is a completely topic though.

Quote:

I don't know. Don't the universities exploit their athlete's that they make millions of dollars off of and the athlete gets nothing for their service, other than on some occasions, a scholarship?

Of course they exploit collegiate athletes. They also exploit most of the liberal arts undergraduate students as well. Assuming we are talking about a research university, their reputation depends almost entirely on research and graduate programs. So in order to pay for the research, professors, and graduate programs, along with a lot of other things, a large stream of undergraduates are needed for tuition money. Then they proceed to offer student loans to everyone which can be used for anything the students want.

That is why it is recommended to go to a community college for the first two years, and maybe even a smaller college to finish an undergraduate degree. You basically get the same education for a lot cheaper.

As I said earlier, in general I don't necessarily feel bad for the students with loans that they can't pay off. They should be mature enough at age 18, especially 20, to realize that college is considered an investment and the risks involved with picking a liberal arts major. But, unfortunately, research colleges do not emphasize the practical aspect of picking a major but the "follow your dreams" type argument (which is legitimate but impractical at times).

There was talk about clearing out the protestors/occupiers, but that action has been put off.

What I notice is that the media are using the word "evacuate" instead of evict or remove - trying to imply that it is for the protestors' own good.

How many people here know what Neuro-Linguistic Programming is?

I do. My brother trained as an NLP councillor. He used to fascinate me when he;d come back from a residential course and talk about what he'd learned.

I'm thinking less of the personal aspect and more of the public aspect.

All US politicians and PR firms are into it. Subtle changes in phrasing and emphasis, done often enough and consistently enough, affect how *some* people think. If you're paying close attention and know what to look for you can see through it, but it works a lot.

Yes, he covered that stuff as well. All about how language works and how words and concepts operate within the brain, and how certain rhythms of speech can be employed to particular effect.

He trained as an NLP councillor, but he also studied NLP as part of that. Trained with Sensory Systems (which I think was set up by Richard Bandler(?) one of the leading names in the early development of NLP).

That's what advertising is all about. Don't we all know that? If you hear the same phrase often enough, it's the one that comes to mind when you're in the right circumstance to remember it - hopefully just before the point of sale.

So when Wall Street institutions make bad decisions, take on too much debt or bad investments and are ready to collapse, we (the US) take tax dollars and bail them out, so they can survive and in fact, give themselves big fat bonuses.

Conversely, we have universities preying on students who are young and impressionable (literally - Goldman Sachs-Higher Education) to make yet MORE profit for WALL STREET, leaving these students deeply in debt with no job in sight. And no forgiveness in sight either, since they're nobody (important).

And you wonder why they're resentful and protesting??

Goldman Sachs has supplied some of the smallest minds in finance to governments all over the world. Gotta love them.

http://cellar.org/attachment.php?att...0&d=1318553152

Quote:

Yabbut what does the word "cumulative" mean in that context?

BigV, this chart is a :eek: STUNNING :eek: example of misuse of statistics.

A similar graph would be created in almost ANY bell curve, measuring ANY statistic!

This graph is showing us that the top 1% make more money than the lower 99%. (Duh)

The graph is NOT saying is that the top 1% are getting way way richer than everybody else... and it is NOT saying that the top 1% has any greater inequality in 2007 than it did in 1979!

"Cumulative" means that the data point in 1980 is the after-tax income of 1980 PLUS the after-tax income of 1979. And so the 1981 number is 1981+1980+1979. And so forth.

"But wait a minute," I hear you typing, "Isn't it still remarkably unfair that the top 1% accumulate so much more after-tax money than even their buddies in the 99-95% range?"

No -- because the 1% in 1979 are not the SAME 1% in 2007!

The graph wants you to accept the narrative that it's the same guys in 1979, who now are fabulously wealthy as they accumulated truckloads of stuff by 2007.

But what if we graphed the top 1% of home-run hitters in baseball? In 1979, that would be Dave Kingman, Mike Schmidt, Gorman Thomas, Fred Lynn and Jerry Rice. In 2011, that would be Jose Bautista, Curtis Granderson, Matt Kemp, Mark Teixeira and Prince Fielder.

The graph of that top 1% would look very similar to this graph. Each year, the top 1% of home-run hitters would accumulate more home runs than the bottom 99%. Some years, as in the steroid years, they would accumulate it faster. Some years, as in the current years, they would accumulate it slower. But it's not the same guys accumulating! It's just the constant top 1%.

To put it another way? In 1979, Bill Gates ran a tiny software house that offered a version of the BASIC programming language to fellow geeks. He was busy begging them not to pirate it. In 1979, Bill Gates was measured in the bottom line of that graph.

(phew)

But does the graph tell us anything interesting?

Yeah, it does so in a back-handed sort of way. Just as the home run graph would rise faster during the steroid era, we see that this graph actually has downturns in the top 1%. From 1986-1988 it saw a drop-off which is actually quite stunning. Since this graph is measuring cumulative numbers, it's telling us that the top 1% made very little during those years, a lot of them probably took a loss; and again from 2000-2003.

The gain from 2003-2007 is rather large, but if we continue this graph from 2007-2011, I assure you the drop-off will be similarly massive.

The economics reason for this is simple:

During good times, everybody gets richer, but the rich get richer at a much faster rate. During bad times, everybody gets poorer, but the rich get poorer at a much faster rate.

So when you want to prove income inequality, it's easy: just start your graph at a point where good times BEGIN, and end your graph at a point where good times END.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad (Post 764034)

But what if we graphed the top 1% of home-run hitters in baseball? In 1979, that would be Dave Kingman, Mike Schmidt, Gorman Thomas, Fred Lynn and Jerry Rice. In 2011, that would be Jose Bautista, Curtis Granderson, Matt Kemp, Mark Teixeira and Prince Fielder.

Jerry Rice?

Quote:

Originally Posted by DanaC (Post 763928)

I do. My brother trained as an NLP councillor. He used to fascinate me when he;d come back from a residential course and talk about what he'd learned.

It actually wasn't fascinating, but he used linguistic tricks to make you think it was.

Quote:

Originally Posted by Undertoad (Post 764034)

http://cellar.org/attachment.php?att...0&d=1318553152

BigV, this chart is a :eek: STUNNING :eek: example of misuse of statistics.

A similar graph would be created in almost ANY bell curve, measuring ANY statistic!

This graph is showing us that the top 1% make more money than the lower 99%. (Duh)

The graph is NOT saying is that the top 1% are getting way way richer than everybody else... and it is NOT saying that the top 1% has any greater inequality in 2007 than it did in 1979!

"Cumulative" means that the data point in 1980 is the after-tax income of 1980 PLUS the after-tax income of 1979. And so the 1981 number is 1981+1980+1979. And so forth.

"But wait a minute," I hear you typing, "Isn't it still remarkably unfair that the top 1% accumulate so much more after-tax money than even their buddies in the 99-95% range?"

No -- because the 1% in 1979 are not the SAME 1% in 2007!

The graph wants you to accept the narrative that it's the same guys in 1979, who now are fabulously wealthy as they accumulated truckloads of stuff by 2007.

But what if we graphed the top 1% of home-run hitters in baseball? In 1979, that would be Dave Kingman, Mike Schmidt, Gorman Thomas, Fred Lynn and Jerry Rice. In 2011, that would be Jose Bautista, Curtis Granderson, Matt Kemp, Mark Teixeira and Prince Fielder.

The graph of that top 1% would look very similar to this graph. Each year, the top 1% of home-run hitters would accumulate more home runs than the bottom 99%. Some years, as in the steroid years, they would accumulate it faster. Some years, as in the current years, they would accumulate it slower. But it's not the same guys accumulating! It's just the constant top 1%.

To put it another way? In 1979, Bill Gates ran a tiny software house that offered a version of the BASIC programming language to fellow geeks. He was busy begging them not to pirate it. In 1979, Bill Gates was measured in the bottom line of that graph.

That's one theory... or you could be reading it wrong. You are overthinking it.

I'm gonna go with number two. Let's look at the same values in numeric form, shall we? You can do the multiplier math yourself; tell me what you think, ok?

Code:

Key: Year=Yr;

Lowest Quintile=LQ

Second Quintile=SQ

Middle Quintile=MQ

Fourth Quintile=FQ

Highest Quintile =HQ

All Quintiles=AQ

Top 10%=T10

Top 5%=T5

Top 1%=T1

Average After Tax Income (2007 dollars)=Avg$

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------



 Yr      LQ        SQ        MQ       FQ        HQ       AQ       T10        T5         T1 

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

1979   15,300    31,000    44,100   57,700   101,700   49,300   128,700   169,600    346,600

1980   14,800    29,800    42,600   55,800    98,700   47,700   125,400   164,000    339,200

1981   14,300    29,200    41,800   55,600    98,500   47,400   125,300   164,300    351,100

1982   13,900    28,800    41,500   56,000   101,900   48,300   131,600   176,000    388,600

1983   13,300    27,800    41,000   56,000   106,000   48,800   138,700   186,500    424,800

1984   13,500    29,100    42,500   58,100   112,800   50,600   149,300   203,100    464,500

1985   13,700    29,100    43,200   58,700   116,200   51,900   155,300   213,300    507,400

1986   13,800    29,900    44,300   60,800   131,500   55,700   180,700   259,500    674,100

1987   13,600    29,000    44,200   61,100   120,600   53,300   160,100   218,200    503,200

1988   13,900    29,500    44,600   61,500   130,000   55,500   177,100   250,400    647,700

1989   14,500    30,200    45,200   62,300   130,000   56,200   176,300   246,300    609,700

1990   14,800    30,700    45,000   61,400   126,400   55,600   170,200   236,800    586,000

1991   14,800    30,400    44,500   60,900   121,600   54,200   161,700   220,500    520,100

1992   14,600    30,400    44,800   61,700   126,600   55,600   170,400   237,500    583,700

1993   14,900    30,600    45,100   62,200   124,600   55,400   165,200   225,100    529,400

1994   15,100    31,000    45,500   63,100   126,100   56,000   167,800   229,500    535,100

1995   15,900    32,400    46,700   64,000   131,200   57,900   175,300   244,600    586,400

1996   15,700    32,300    47,300   65,200   137,400   59,600   186,700   261,300    648,100

1997   16,100    32,800    48,000   66,300   145,700   61,900   201,600   289,700    755,700

1998   16,900    34,600    49,600   69,000   155,400   65,200   218,100   319,600    868,200

1999   17,300    35,300    50,600   70,700   163,800   67,700   230,900   338,900    943,800

2000   16,500    34,900    50,400   71,300   170,300   68,700   242,600   360,600  1,038,700

2001   16,500    35,700    51,900   71,600   156,800   66,200   216,800   311,100    824,500

2002   16,100    34,900    51,000   70,600   150,400   63,900   204,600   286,700    730,500

2003   15,900    34,900    51,300   72,000   157,700   65,600   216,400   307,600    792,900

2004   16,000    35,600    52,900   74,200   170,300   69,000   238,400   346,400    946,900

2005   16,400    36,000    53,300   74,800   183,200   71,900   262,100   393,200  1,135,900

2006   16,900    36,300    53,500   75,900   189,900   74,000   273,500   412,900  1,230,900

2007   17,700    38,000    55,300   77,700   198,300   76,400   289,300   440,500  1,319,700

The chart is a graphic representation of these numbers, (omitting some subsets, like top 10%, top5%, etc.). But you can easily do the arithmetic and see that for those people in the lowest quintile (NOT A GIVEN INDIVIDUAL like Bill Gates or some poor single mother) the after tax income for that group has grown by a factor of 17,700/15,300 or about 1.25. You can easily see that the after tax income for the group of people in the top 1% (not individuals, but the folks that were in that group, for that year) has grown by a factor of 1,319,700/346,600 or about 3.75. Just like the graph shows.

The increase in afflluence, the "are you better off today than you were four years ago" Reagan=reasoning, the Life is good and keeps getting better, faster, has happened to the group of people in the top 1% at a rate that is so much faster and farther than the, dare I say it, the 99%, that it is :eek: STUNNING :eek:.

:eek: STUNNING :eek: . unconscionable, counterproductive, unhealthy, and unsupportable. We are the 99% and we're down here in the mud, income wise, as these numbers clearly show. You, and others, fail to comprehend or heed them at your peril.